Note that the electoral side is that important given how awful this proposal is but... I am sure the sight of sobbing children being handcuffed and dragged onto planes will boost the Government's standing with the progressive voters we're losing.
Fuck. This.
Not quite sure what it will take for MAGA to see Putin as an enemy.
I’m just…staring at this
"I feel liberated," said a top banker. "We can say 'retard' and 'pussy' withtout the fear of getting cancelled... its a new dawn"
We should never ever forget why they did it
Used to be essential pc monitor props back in the day
Why is the national security advisor there lol?
So you don't heave a missile into an elementary school, then fire a second missile into the school to finish off the survivors is why a professional military engages in dumb, politically correct rules of engagement. But no, American exceptionalism > 175 schoolgirls.
This will manifest in other states' domestic politics similarly to Dem opposition to Trump in the US, with the left-right axis replaced by the fight-cave axis.
For now, sunk costs and potential reprisals make balancing against the US too risky. But as the costs of caving rise, that will change.
No more insane than the video promo mash up from the other side.
Must read piece.
'The US has started a war without any legal, moral, strategic or political basis whatsoever. And yet instead of raising the alarm about it, the British press’ main question is why Britain is not more involved.' And 'Is Iraq really that long ago?'
Chance that your house might get blown to pieces? Nah can’t see that affecting property values not at all.
Important to seek clarity today on whether Home Office and No 10 will try to defend - or will now withdraw - a false+misleading claim applying settlement reforms to 2022-24 cohort saves £10bn
Not just overspinning lifetime saving in 30 years time
Gvt policy doesn't save maybe £8-10 billion of it!
Science likes to picture itself as a republic of letters — open borders, shared standards, disputes settled by evidence rather than passports. Merton (1973) coined this ethos as CUDOS: Communalism, Universalism, Disinterestedness, and Organised Scepticism.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
sorry to doom post but I think the "wars only get less popular with time" take is premature. The unpopular war scenario is the one with steady attrition and no clear purpose. This war has no clear purpose but could still end quickly and end up looking something like a success
It'll be the local secondary modern for them, glowing after a bowl of ready brek, walking to school because the Allegro has broken down.
Very well done
Exactly! Macro types are equipped to tell you what happens conditional on a given path for oil supply. But we have no idea what is going to happen to oil supply which depends on the inclination and ability of Iran to keep that Strait closed vs ability of the US/Israel to force them to open it.
Command and Control by Eric Schlosser.
Just shows how much contempt Reform has for their own supporters. This is a policy that helps the kids of the wealthy educated liberal elites they claim to despise. And would harm the types of constituency they do well in.
I think one of the most staggering industry shifts in my 16 years as a tech reporter is that it’s not become a question of “should our product help the government kill and/or surveil people?” but “to what extent?”
www.anthropic.com/news/where-s...
[and analogously for the threats posed to energy infrastructure in the region by Iran]
Exactly! Macro types are equipped to tell you what happens conditional on a given path for oil supply. But we have no idea what is going to happen to oil supply which depends on the inclination and ability of Iran to keep that Strait closed vs ability of the US/Israel to force them to open it.
IMO it all boils down to 'when will that thin bit of water all the oil has to go through reopen?' and macro types have no idea. At least I have no idea! Answering that requires a lot of insight into the heads of both sets of war protagonists who also probably don't kow.
I don't think I would listen to macro types. Their views are going to be downstream of knowledge about oil and gas supply, which is not their specialism, and that is going to be downstream of knowledge of the progress and prospects for the war, which is not energy people's specialism.
We need an account liveposting ship movements around the Strait of Hormuz
There's the fog of war and then the fog of war reporting when all sides are lying their heads off.
The more countries that stand up to the US in concert, the more effectively the US can be restrained and also deterred from retaliating. They are not going to threaten trade embargoes on several countries at once.
Pretty difficult to refute a single thing in this perfect assessment of where the f**k we are, from @iandunt.bsky.social:
It's nothing to do with evidence. Like Kruger on "sexual regulation" it's part of an urge to bring back the 50s: boys playing on bomb sites, everything shut on Sundays, everyone smoking & dripping for tea.
