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Ian TB

@iantb

Retired #Marine, scribbler, #wargame analyst, podcast co-host, geek. Author of “A New Conception of War” on #USMC reading list. All views my own.

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Latest posts by Ian TB @iantb

I’ve said this before, in many places, so it’s not new but you follow the laws of war for two reasons: to win the peace, and ensure that when the war’s over, when you look in the mirror you don’t see a monster looking back at you.

05.03.2026 01:06 👍 15 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

The standard military answer is “it depends.” For JDAMs and LGBs, you can get a little more stand-off from the target, but even for those—and for unguided munitions—very high altitudes cause all those problems you just mentioned. But it’s low enough that MANPADS become a real problem.

04.03.2026 20:52 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The first few days of this war.

04.03.2026 19:12 👍 13 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Hard-pressed to tell whether it was a JDAM or dumb bomb.

The real concern here is that because these aren’t true stand-off munitions, aircraft will have to get much closer—and lower—to targets to effectively deliver them. And that’s when we’ll see how much of Iran’s MANPADS inventory survived

04.03.2026 19:12 👍 18 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 0

As a former JTAC I think it should be noted that unguided bombs can still be delivered with a significant degree of precision thanks to the onboard systems of the aircraft delivering them. Those systems can calculate ballistic trajectories so accurate that when the bomb hits the target, you’d be

04.03.2026 19:12 👍 21 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0
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Today is our 14th birthday.

From making your dad lose his mind, to embarrassing members of Congress and the Presidential cabinet, we can't thank all of you enough for your inability to read past the headline.

We'd be nothing without our readers.

Here's to 14 more.

04.03.2026 15:40 👍 84 🔁 17 💬 3 📌 2
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#ICYMI: check out @Mountain_Navy’s review of my #ManeuverWarfare #wargame from @thedietzfoundation.bsky.social at @armchairdragoons.bsky.social:

armchairdragoons.com/rev-manwar/

Still need a copy? Order here!

dietzfoundation-org.square.site/product/mane...

04.03.2026 13:42 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Many thanks to Rocky Mountain Navy for his review of my #ManeuverWarfare #cardgame #wargame from @thedietzfoundation.bsky.social! Check it out at @armchairdragoons.bsky.social:

armchairdragoons.com/rev-manwar/

03.03.2026 01:37 👍 10 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Any time someone says “XYZ is the [insert adjective here] in history,” it’s a good indication they don’t know any history and can’t be bothered to learn.

02.03.2026 13:53 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1

Want to get scared even more shitless
Without naval magazine depth, play a scenario in Littoral Commander, where in 12 hours you’re out of schlitz in basically everything

01.03.2026 18:21 👍 9 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0

So we’re going to abandon the Iranian people, after calling for them to rise up, for the second time in two months.

01.03.2026 17:08 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0

We’ve had all these McDonald’s happy meal cards for ages and I figured it was time to tie it all together.

28.02.2026 23:14 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Heaven help me, what have I gotten me and my son into…

28.02.2026 22:59 👍 11 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Nothing ever ends.

28.02.2026 18:27 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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28.02.2026 13:16 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Top 10 countries Trump will send you to attack rather than release the Epstein files White House sources say ‘bombing foreigners’ remains preferred transparency substitute

Check another one off the list:

www.duffelblog.com/top-10-count...

28.02.2026 13:00 👍 10 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0

The author was my predecessor at the Krulak Center. Proud to know him and proud he wrote this:

28.02.2026 03:16 👍 8 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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There’s Friday Night Fights…then there’s Friday Night Spreadsheet-Building For Future Fights #wargaming

28.02.2026 00:38 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

If you want the wave-tops of “Snowmobiles and Grand Ideals,” you can get the highlights courtesy of @cascaderifles from the Maneuver Warfare Symposium last December:

youtu.be/YzKiZxlnMjI?...

27.02.2026 16:13 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Or maybe break out your copy of #ManeuverWarfare from @thedietzfoundation.bsky.social for #weekend #wargaming. Haven’t order it yet? Then get your copy now!
Order: dietzfoundation-org.square.site/product/mane...
Learn to play: youtube.com/playlist?lis...

27.02.2026 14:33 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Need more Boyd for your #weekend #reading? Then grab “Snowmobiles and Grand Ideals” w/ @Osinga10–it’s the definitive work capturing John Boyd’s ideas on survival & conflict. Also free from Marine Corps University Press
Download: www.usmcu.edu/Portals/218/...
Order: forms.office.com/Pages/Respon...

27.02.2026 14:23 👍 4 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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Looking for stuff to do this weekend? How ‘bout reading “A New Conception of War” on the development of #USMC’s warfighting theory? Available for free from Marine Corps University Press
Download: www.usmcu.edu/Portals/218/...
Order: forms.office.com/Pages/Respon...

27.02.2026 14:16 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

I hope they both lose.

27.02.2026 13:36 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

#2 feels like a disproportionate response to mere snottiness, moderate or not. Simply not engaging in the conversation anymore is always an option.

26.02.2026 23:58 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Interview w/ Larry Pinkerton about his new Civil War game “And the War Came,” from @armchairdragoons.bsky.social:

armchairdragoons.com/int-pinkerto...

26.02.2026 20:33 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

I’m sure continued iterations of movement timelines, transit corridors, aircraft and ship readiness, and airlift priorities are in no way providing adversaries with valuable data points that will later be used against us.

26.02.2026 03:02 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Some newly arrived reflection on the 4th anniversary of the full invasion of #Ukraine:

25.02.2026 01:43 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Four years. Don’t forget and don’t look away. #Ukraine #SlavaUkrayini

24.02.2026 14:03 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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A Forlorn Hope - A Push-Your-Luck Game by Hermann Luttmann A Forlorn Hope is a WWI trench assault wargame. Commanding a regiment, players use a "press-your-luck" mechanic to cross No Man's Land efficiently. Playable solitaire or co-op, it features SIX histori...

Proud to be the 436th backer 😎 on @BackerKit Crowdfunding for A Forlorn Hope - A Push-Your-Luck Game by Hermann Luttmann! www.backerkit.com/c/projects/w...

23.02.2026 13:17 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The “Games of War” hybrid conference at the University of Gdansk is approaching on 24 Feb. I’m honored to be talking about how military educational #wargames can incorporate lessons from Russia’s invasion of #Ukraine. Info and registration here:

gamesofwar.ug.edu.pl

21.02.2026 18:45 👍 6 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0