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Charles W.L. Hill

@charleswlhill

Emeritus Professor, University of Washington, Foster School. Economist. Text Book Author. Competitive sailor.

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09.09.2023
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Latest posts by Charles W.L. Hill @charleswlhill

Early estimates suggest that the US war with Iran is costing $1 billion a day, so $8 billion in the hole and counting. It will get more expensive if we actually invade.

07.03.2026 13:42 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

How fucking stupid does he think we are? Even Trump calls it a war.

07.03.2026 03:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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U.S. Lost 92,000 Jobs in February The payrolls number was worse than the gain of 50,000 jobs economists expected and a sign that the job market continues to struggle in nearly every sector.

The greatest economy ever! The impacts of Trump’s policies on the economy are starting to become evident. www.wsj.com/economy/jobs...

06.03.2026 15:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Administration Sued by States Over Latest Global Tariff Regime Case challenges the legal basis for new duties imposed after the Supreme Court struck down previous tariffs.

No surprise here. Section 122 was designed to address international payments problems in a world of fixed exchange rates. We do not have an international payments problem, the balance of payments is in balance, and we live in an era of floating exchange rates. www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

05.03.2026 20:57 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

When your country is run by truly stupid people…..

05.03.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Bessent Says Trump’s Tariff Hike to 15% Likely This Week Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that President Donald Trump’s plan to increase a 10% universal tariff up to 15% will likely be done this week.

God forbid that they would let things stand still for more than a couple of weeks. The constant uncertainty around the tariff regime creates a disincentive for businesses to make long term, job generating, investments. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

04.03.2026 15:02 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

1956 Land Rover
1969 Mini Cooper
1975 VW Beatle (orange of course)
2011 Toyota FJ Cruiser
2025 Rivian RT1

04.03.2026 14:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Projection.

03.03.2026 17:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Double speak.

03.03.2026 01:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The Government does not know what it’s doing. I’m so surprised.

03.03.2026 00:36 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The Time Lords are a force for good in the Universe, how dare you denigrate them.

27.02.2026 14:24 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Donald Trump’s oil embargo reveals a solar boom in Cuba Chinese solar panels are flooding into the troubled island nation

Would’nt it be ironic if Trump’s oil embargo turned Cuba into a solar powered state. www.economist.com/the-americas...

26.02.2026 15:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Opinion | The Economics of Illegal Drugs As a teenager I saw the war on drugs up close. Then I studied it as an economist and saw it differently.

The best Opinion article the WSJ has published in a long while. www.wsj.com/opinion/the-...

25.02.2026 20:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

So, Trump is still saying that foreign countries pay his import tariffs, when they don’t (American importers do), and claiming tariffs can replace the income tax, which would require tariff rates of 100% (assuming import substitution) and would decimate many American businesses. Nuts!

25.02.2026 15:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Stupid. He can’t grasp the reality of who pays.

25.02.2026 03:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

To be fair, the US has outperformed the rest of the world for several years, so a catchup was in the cards.

25.02.2026 02:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Attack of the Zombie Tariffs A brain is a terrible thing to have eaten

paulkrugman.substack.com/p/attack-of-...

24.02.2026 15:42 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What is Bonesmashing? Inside the Extreme Looksmaxxer Technique As looksmaxxing enters our lexicon, the practice of bonesmashingβ€”tapping your face with a hammer to shape your bone structureβ€”is trailing close behind.

The latest trend in Trump land - hit yourself in the face with a hammer. www.gq.com/story/what-i...

24.02.2026 15:28 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 3
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The Greenlandic Bricklayer Behind Trump’s Plan to Send a Hospital Ship JΓΈrgen Boassen says he was the one who inspired the governor of Louisiana to propose the idea to President Trump.

This is the story of how dumb, dumber, and really fucking dumb decided to send a hospital ship that sits in a dry dock and can’t go anywhere to a country that didn’t need or want it. www.wsj.com/world/the-gr...

24.02.2026 15:22 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The point being, there are no grounds for imposing the new round of tariffs under section 122, because the problem they are ment to address DOES NOT EXIST. 3/3

24.02.2026 06:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

True we run a TRADE DEFICIT, importing more than we export, and yes, this means a net outflow of dollars. But foreigners invest those dollars back into the US, buying US financial assets like T bills. As a result, the balance of payments is in balance. There is no balance of payments problem. 2/3

24.02.2026 06:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thoughts on Section 122: the language states that the President can impose tariffs to address a serious balance of PAYMENTS problem - but we DO NOT have a balance of payments problem. We DO NOT have a deficit in the balance of payments. 1/3

24.02.2026 06:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Says Top General Predicts Easy Victory Over Iran; He Says Otherwise in Private

The mad king is now fantasizing about Iran, just like he fantasizes about everything else. There is reality, and then there is Trump land, and the two are not the same at all. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/23/u...

24.02.2026 03:17 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

He’s mentally ill.

24.02.2026 02:35 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Mentally ill is the correct term.

23.02.2026 03:28 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s just a start.

23.02.2026 00:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Exactly. You would have thought the FT would know better.

23.02.2026 00:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This system has worked well for the US, and so long as the dollar maintains its unique status as the world’s reserve currency, it will continue to. However, Trump’s trade policies are now putting that status at risk, which is bad.

22.02.2026 15:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Trade deficits aren’t a problem if they can be financed by capital inflows. The US has been doing this for 50 years. We buy stuff from foreigners and give them dollars. They lend those dollars back to us, buying T-bills and other financial assets. This lowers the cost of capital in the US.

22.02.2026 15:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Someone should challenge the legality of Trump’s 122 tariffs. We don’t have a balance of payments emergency. At around 3% of GDP, the trade deficit is at the low end of the historic range since 2000. The US has run a trade deficit since the 1980s, yet economy has grown significantly. No emergency!

22.02.2026 15:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0