US has accrued over decades...
@rachelwhitlark
Associate professor Georgia Tech studying nuclear weapons & foreign policy decision making. Non resident senior fellow Atlantic Council. Director Bridging the Gap. Book: All Options on the Table: Leaders, Preventive War, and Nuclear Proliferation. GO BIRDS
US has accrued over decades...
as a historical leader of the non-proliferation regime, if it ends up having gone to war against not one but two Middle Eastern states ostensibly because of nuclear weapons' pursuits when in fact no such pursuits existed. May be another major blow to the hard-won trust US and credibility
armed with nuclear weapons even for some number of years, that's generally a win. At the same time, if recent events paradoxically convince Iran to move full-steam ahead for nuclear weapons, that's squarely in the negative column. Potentially even worse, is a potential lack of credibility for US
Winding down tonight pondering today's implications for the nuclear non-proliferation regime: after the death of nearly all nuclear arms control treaties, Putin's nuclear saber-rattling in Ukraine, and the growth of DPRK nuclear arsenal in recent history etc, if recent events forestall an Iran
And of course, one key risk of using military force to try to prevent nuclear proliferation is that you catalyze the pursuit of a bomb that you were hoping to stop in the first place.
They've been battered over the military campaign so far but they still have cards to play. Especially if they think regime change is the end goal and those remarks did nothing to assuage such concerns.
Not an optimistic 1st bluesky post, but what we just heard was not reassuring from POTUS. Was hoping for remarks that even minimally gave Iran a route to save face and deescalate, but that, alas, is not what we got. Now we wait to learn the damage assessment from US bombing & see what Iran does next