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Pawel Zerka, PhD

@pawelzerka

Senior Policy Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), based in France / public opinion on foreign affairs / European sentiment / France / Poland / Belarus / Latin America

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25.11.2024
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Latest posts by Pawel Zerka, PhD @pawelzerka

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According to the latest #polling data from ECFR, Europeans largely believe that the #war in #Ukraine will continue for at least another year. And there is a prevailing sentiment of dissatisfaction regarding the EU's performance in efforts to resolve the conflict.

Source: datacollection.ecfr.eu

25.02.2026 09:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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SLAVA UKRAINI, HEROIAM SLAVA!

Over the past 4 years, Europe has shown an incredible #solidarity with #Ukraine. But European leaders wonโ€™t avoid difficult questions as to whether they have done enough to end the #war, if they have done the right thing, and if they have a plan.

24.02.2026 09:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@rafal-trzaskowski.bsky.social powinien zaczฤ…ฤ‡ mรณwiฤ‡ o 2027.

Jeล›li Nawrocki motywuje wyborcรณw potrzebฤ… zatrzymania jedynowล‚adztwa Tuska, to ล‚atwo to odwrรณciฤ‡. Prawica ze skrajnฤ… prawicฤ… mogฤ… dojล›ฤ‡ do wล‚adzy w 2027.

Trzaskowski jako prezydent jest potrzebny, aby zatrzymaฤ‡ ich jedynowล‚adztwo.

20.05.2025 11:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

These are Eurovisionary times.

07.05.2025 10:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 20 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Rightwing Polish presidential candidate meets Trump The first round of the Polish presidential election will take place on May 18.

This is interesting on so many levels: as an effort of #Trump 2.0 to influence domestic politics in Europe (this time in #Poland); as an experiment on whether this can boost rather than damage the candidate's credibility; and as presence of 'US policy' in elections.

tvpworld.com/86489103/rig...

02.05.2025 10:43 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

With @celiabelin.bsky.social and @camillelons.bsky.social, we argue Le Pen's conviction will have implications well beyond France, serving as a powerful proof for the international far-right that the system is unfair and skewed against them ๐Ÿ‘‡ @ecfr.eu

01.04.2025 20:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Disdain for Ukraine: How Europeans can support Zelensky against Trumpโ€™s cuts The Trump administration has withdrawn all military aid for Ukraine. Europeans can fill the voidโ€”but they need to act fast

The Trump administration has withdrawn all military aid for Ukraine. Europeans can fill the voidโ€”but they need to act fast, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social

Read here:

05.03.2025 14:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 23 ๐Ÿ” 8 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Join us next week for the discussion inspired by ECFR's fresh polling data.

05.02.2025 15:36 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Don't write off #France just yet, but instead keep it engaged in Europe's defence & #Ukraine decisions + seek to fill in Europe's leadership gaps that its domestic political turmoil only exacerbates.

Here's our recommendation - with @camillegrand.bsky.social & Camille Lons - for the rest of Europe.

06.12.2024 12:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 8 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Germany, France... Which is the other EU country most vulnerable to government collapse or the need to call snap elections?

The Netherlands? The Czech Republic? Spain?

05.12.2024 08:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Today's vote to end #Barnier gov looks like a lose-lose situation to me.

Not only will it heighten economic uncertainty in and vis-a-vis #France, but it's also to-be-seen if the left or the far-right, who voted the government down, will be able to draw any political benefit from it.

04.12.2024 20:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Argentina needs Brazil or Europe needs Argentina?

26.11.2024 08:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Samba Steps: Understanding Brazilโ€™s global role and what it means for Europe As global power dynamics shift amid intensifying US-China rivalry, the rise of assertive middle powers, and increased scepticism toward the international rules-based orderโ€ฆ

Why #Europe needs #Brazil, how the two misunderstand each other, and what would it take for them to build a real partnership.

We discussed these with Monica Hirst @jpuglierin.bsky.social & Nacho Torreblanca at the @ecfr.bsky.social webinar last Friday. Watch it here ๐Ÿ‘‡

ecfr.eu/event/samba-...

25.11.2024 14:43 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0