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The Eyewall

@theeyewallwx

Reliable, no-hype coverage of tropical storms and hurricanes across the Atlantic from the team at Space City Weather! https://theeyewall.com/

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Latest posts by The Eyewall @theeyewallwx

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The Monday Texas weather round-up featuring some very wet weather north into the Ohio Valley And our first multi-day severe weather chance of the season; it's feeling more like April or May than March in Texas

Our Monday update focuses on national warmth, as well as Texas heat. A stormy pattern will bring significant rain to parts of Texas into the Ohio Valley this week. Who will see severe weather? We discuss in our Texas round-up below or at theeyewall.com.

02.03.2026 13:38 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Recapping the mammoth Blizzard of 2026 and looking at how snowfall and model output varied State record snowfall in Rhode Island and mixed results from models with the Euro really struggling; some promise from AI modeling

Today we recap the storm, look at the records, and take a more detailed look at how model performance went ahead of the storm. This one didn’t come completely out of nowhere, but the models had struggles. A fascinating storm to study. More below or at theeyewall.com.

24.02.2026 14:19 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Providence ends up just shy of 38”, obliterating the blizzard of β€˜78. A first ballot hall of fame storm today.

24.02.2026 00:33 πŸ‘ 51 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2

32.8” in Providence, RI is a new record, busting the Blizzard of β€˜78. Numerous 30” totals now across Rhode Island. Just shy of 30” on Long Island. Some 30” in SE Mass now too. Carlstadt, NJ at 28” highest total there. North Stonington, CT leads CT totals with 26.5”.

23.02.2026 19:32 πŸ‘ 28 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Someone will end up at 30 inches from the Blizzard, as we look at the rest of the upcoming week's weather A weekly look-ahead for Texas readers

It seems likely that someone will hit 30" from the Northeast blizzard. Rhode Island or Long Island are in prime position. We take an early look at the numbers. We also debut a weekly look-ahead for Texas readers, as well as what else is coming. Read below or at theeyewall.com.

23.02.2026 16:47 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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East Coast blizzard about to get underway: Some last minute final forecast updates It's going to be a doozy

As the East Coast blizzard begins to wind up, we take one last look at forecast expectations for the event from the snow to the wind to the coastal flooding. It’s going to be a doozy. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

22.02.2026 17:18 πŸ‘ 25 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
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East Coast blizzard: Saturday evening update The forecast has even escalated a little more! A historic storm may be on tap.

The forecast for tomorrow and Monday’s blizzard has even gotten a little more intense from Delmarva through Southern New England. Our evening post updates the snow totals, changes to impacts, and some historical context. Buckle up! Details below or at theeyewall.com.

22.02.2026 01:24 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 4
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A Jersey, Long Island, and southern New England blizzard is in the offing Sunday and Monday Extreme winter storm impacts are likely for significant population

An impressive forecast shift in the last couple days has led to an extremely significant winter storm and blizzard now being likely from Delaware through southern New England. We assess the impacts, how it will perform, and how we got here below or at theeyewall.com.

21.02.2026 16:48 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 4
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Wild winds on the Plains today, along with fire risk as we look at how the Colorado River negotiations failed spectacularly Deadpool in Glen Cayon may loom

Today’s post focuses on weather in the Plains. High winds and fire danger there. Additionally, we take a look at the failure of Colorado River negotiations this weekend. This is a big deal, and we have a bevy of links to primary sources that explain this issue. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

17.02.2026 17:42 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
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It's not just the West. The Southeast needs some rain too And they'll get at least some this weekend

Yesterday we discussed the West. Today, we discuss the Southeast. Some rain is coming this weekend, but will it be enough to help ease drought conditions? Details in our post below or at theeyewall.com.

11.02.2026 15:40 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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After a really dry start to 2026, the West will turn stormier over the next 10 days Mountain snow finally returns

After a very dry open to this year, the West will finally get some meaningful precipitation over the next 10 days. Is it enough to offset a bleak first half of winter? Not really. But it’s a start in the right direction if it can sustain a bit. Details in our post below or at theeyewall.com.

10.02.2026 14:17 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Coldest morning in over 35 years in parts of Florida, while the Carolinas dig out from a massive, challenging snowstorm Why did the Raleigh-Durham area get the snow total shaft?

This evening, we recap the historic cold in Florida this morning, as well as the snowstorm in the Carolinas. We take a much closer look as well at why the Raleigh-Durham area saw such comparatively little snow relative to the rest of North Carolina. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

01.02.2026 23:00 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Major storm impacts parts of the Mid-Atlantic this weekend, with a major Florida freeze as well Coldest temps in years for parts of Florida

We are back today with a look at the weekend storm and its multiple hazards, as well as the potential for some of the coldest Florida weather in years. That and some observations from this week’s annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society in our post! Details below or at theeyewall.com

30.01.2026 20:39 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Southern snow, return of cold, windy Plains, Pacific tropics? Winter is back, but the Eastern Pacific sort of thinks it's May

You want details on potential southern snow? A windstorm on the Plains? Cold weather? January tropical development in the pacific? What? Read more below or at theeyewall.com.

open.substack.com/pub/theeyewa...

15.01.2026 17:57 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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A quick trip around the world to visit some ongoing flooding in Australia, Mozambique, and Canada Plus, catching up on some news from earlier this autumn

Today, we take a look at some flooding that’s occurring elsewhere on the planet, with a trip into Australia, Mozambique, and Canada. That and some catch-up on news from earlier in autumn in today’s post below or at theeyewall.com.

30.12.2025 18:15 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Wild, windy weather in the Lakes, as winter returns and rain returns to Southern California for New Year's Western U.S. snowpack is lethargic as the future of the Colorado River remains stuck in negotiation purgatory

Wind gusts of 75 mph in Buffalo and lake effect snow indicate a return to winter for many. Meanwhile, more rain is coming for SoCal, and Western U.S. snowpack is in bad, bad shape at a very critical moment in Colorado River negotiations. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

29.12.2025 22:03 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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A quick little snowstorm impacts the Northeast, as record warmth looks to wind down Christmas Day was the warmest on record

A snowstorm is incoming for parts of the Northeast, including New York City. We also look at the record warmth, including some all-time December record warmth in the U.S. A return to more standard winter fare awaits in a few days. Details on that and more today. Click below or visit theeyewall.com.

26.12.2025 21:52 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Serious flooding risk in Southern California on Wednesday, as much of the country gears up for one of the warmest Christmases on record An infrequent "high risk" for flooding is now posted in parts of the LA Metro for Wednesday

It would appear a serious flooding risk is developing for Southern California on Wednesday. We explain, have details on the other impacts across California, including a review of flooding near Redding yesterday. We also discuss a record warm Christmas for many. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

22.12.2025 21:51 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Wild weather in the West leading into Christmas, with warm weather dominating almost everywhere else Extremely high fire danger in the Front Range foothills northwest of Denver today

Some absolutely wild weather out West, with fire danger risks and powerful winds in the Front Range foothills today outside Denver, as well as potential for a major storm in California next week. Details on that and more in today’s post below or at theeyewall.com.

19.12.2025 16:34 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This post has been edited to add a link and context around new reporting from NOTUS (bsky.app/profile/anna...) that suggests the NCAR closure is related to a personal spat between Trump and Colorado's governor, which if true is shocking in its context.

17.12.2025 20:01 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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As atmospheric river events bear down on the West Coast, U.S. weather research that helps public safety and the economy continues to be credibly threatened The Trump Administration plans to gut NCAR, one of the most valuable, important, and effective weather and climate research centers on Earth

Today we discuss the news that NCAR, a critical cog in weather research has been targeted to be dismantled by the Trump Administration and why that's a really, really bad decision. We also connect NCAR to ongoing atmospheric river events. More below or at theeyewall.com.

17.12.2025 18:00 πŸ‘ 28 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 4
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Opinion: Water does not care about your geopolitical borders Transboundary flooding in Washington & British Columbia should serve as another wakeup call

Recent flooding in Washington and British Columbia exposes the challenges of competing neighboring interests when it comes to water. It should serve as another wakeup call that collaborative, joint approaches to flooding/water are critical for the future. More below or at theeyewall.com.

15.12.2025 14:51 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Record flooding prompts trouble in parts of western Washington, and a look at record cold in the Midwest this weekend Plus, could a prolonged warm spell spoil Christmas week?

We have an update on the now-record flooding in spots that’s occurring in Washington State. We also take a look at record cold this weekend in the Midwest and the potential for a serious nationwide warm up leading into Christmas week. Details below or at theeyewall.com.

11.12.2025 18:41 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Severe flooding for the Pacific Northwest and a look into Western U.S. & Colorado River water issues Book lists, links, and more!

ICYMI last night, we've got a new post sharing a bunch of info on the Colorado River water situation in the West, including a booklist! We also tackle the ongoing atmospheric river event in the Pac NW and tie it back to what's been happening this autumn. More below or at theeyewall.com.

10.12.2025 14:21 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Severe flooding for the Pacific Northwest and a look into Western U.S. & Colorado River water issues Book lists, links, and more!

It’s late, but we finally got done a post we’ve been meaning to do for a long time β€” and then some! A deep dive on the Pacific Northwest flooding, a look at Colorado River negotiations, a book list for understanding water in the West, and much more! Check it out below or at theeyewall.com.

10.12.2025 04:29 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Thanksgiving Wednesday travel may not be too bad, as we check out the lake effect snow this week, the tropics, and risk of Central & Eastern cold next week Could we get legitimate cold? Or will the warm Gulf fight back?

We have an updated outlook for Wednesday’s travel! Doesn’t look awful, but there are a couple things to point out. Also, lake effect snow cranks later this week. We assess the chances of a strong blast of cold next week as well, and a handful of news too. Oh, and the tropics? Not totally dead.

24.11.2025 13:46 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Taking a look at Texas rains this week, while taking a peek at Thanksgiving travel weather Also the latest on FEMA, Alaska recovery, news on mosquitoes, floating homes, and the Panama Canal

We have the latest on Texas rain and flooding risk today, as well as an early look at Thanksgiving and holiday travel weather. We also take a look at FEMA news, mosquito news, recovery news in Alaska, and the Panama Canal. Below or at theeyewall.com.

19.11.2025 20:32 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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A first look at hurricane season's historical perspective, plus Snowvember! Lake effect returns, plus a look at the federal government withdrawing from disaster mitigation and assistance

This week’s weather includes snow, cold, and a wet West. We take a first crack at the historical perspective of this hurricane season. And newsy bits today focuses on the federal government’s withdrawal from disaster mitigation and aid. More in the post! Below or at theeyewall.com.

10.11.2025 18:34 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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First Arctic air of winter invades the East, with a stormy California on the horizon Plus, lots of weather-related news and an update on NOAA/NWS

Back this Thursday. The latest on a push of Arctic air this weekend into the Eastern US, as well as a developing stormy pattern late next week in California. A lot of weather-related news from research to flood mitigation to share and an update on NOAA/NWS as well below or at theeyewall.com.

06.11.2025 18:07 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Another deadly New York City flood event last week, plus an update on Melissa's damage and a look at this week An atmospheric river arrives in the Northwest

We have an update on Melissa’s aftermath in the Caribbean, plus a look back at an event that got kind of lost in the shuffle with Melissa: A deadly flash flooding event in New York City back on Thursday. Plus, a look at a forthcoming atmospheric river for the West. More below or at theeyewall.com.

03.11.2025 14:19 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0