Read more from our fellows in our new roundtable on the Iran war. tcf.org/content/comm...
Read more from our fellows in our new roundtable on the Iran war. tcf.org/content/comm...
So far, a combination of diplomacy and Houthi interest calculations have kept the Yemeni militants out of the Iran war, writes
@peterjsalisbury.bsky.social.
But if they enter the fray, it could have serious implications for global shipping.
Read more from our fellows in our new roundtable on the Iran war. tcf.org/content/comm...
America won’t be able to control when the Iran war ends, writes @tcambanis.bsky.social.
But leaders should use all means to block funding for America’s continuing participation.
Meanwhile, the most vulnerable—in the US and worldwide—will suffer from eroded security and spiking energy prices.
Read more from our fellows in our new roundtable on the Iran war. tcf.org/content/comm...
The "forever war" paradigm doesn't really describe the Iran war, writes
@abujamajem.com.
This U.S.–Israeli attack is something more acute, and immediate—this is a war of aggression, chaotic and wild.
Read more from our fellows in our new roundtable on the Iran war. tcf.org/content/comm...
Israel has shifted from managed containment to comprehensive destruction writes @yaelmiz.bsky.social. Long-term consequences will be devastating.
Hezbollah escalated a war with Israel that had never ended, despite a nominal ceasefire.
Renewed fighting will punish Lebanese civilians, but will probably also further weaken Hezbollah.
@abujamajem.com in new roundtable
tcf.org/content/comm...
The predictable regional fallout has begun from America's reckless war of choice against Iran.
New roundtable from @tcambanis.bsky.social @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @sajadjiyad.bsky.social @yaelmiz.bsky.social @abujamajem.com
tcf.org/content/comm...
Lebanon’s grinding energy crisis has benefited generator owners, smugglers, and large fuel importers. But in a new report based on three years of fieldwork, @charlielawrie.bsky.social identifies a more basic, root cause of the crisis: the country’s structural dependency on fossil fuel.
Read more: tcf.org/content/repo.... With support from @XCEPT_Research
Only int'l cooperation can stop the Houthi arms program. But US disengagement & regional tensions make a coalition unlikely. Now, there’s growing danger the Houthis are exporting their deadly capabilities to war zones in Africa. - @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @veenaa.bsky.social + Henry Thompson
Read more: tcf.org/content/repo.... With support from @XCEPT_Research
In a decade, Yemen’s Houthis have transformed from low-tech insurgent group to regional power that can fire missiles up to 2,600km.
Our new report shines a light on the inner workings of the Houthis’ startling expansion. By @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @veenaa.bsky.social + Henry Thompson
No one has been able to constrain the Houthis. Why?
Using OSINT research, our report reveals how the Houthis built an astonishing arsenal in secret using a complex web of global supply chains.
By @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @veenaa.bsky.social and Henry Thompson & w support from @XCEPT_Research
To stop settlements, sanctions need to address state and institutional support.
Otherwise, the settlement enterprise will continue to expand and foreclose the possibility of equal rights for Palestinians in a Palestinian state.
Read more: tcf.org/content/comm... (5/5)
Settlements aren’t a sideshow. They’re the centerpiece of Israel’s policy to control Palestinians and make a Palestinian state impossible. (4/5)
@yaelmiz.bsky.social argues that current sanctions misdiagnose settler violence as a matter of individual accountability.
Sanctions fail when they treat settlements as an aberration rather than what they are: a project of state policy. (3/5)
Many policymakers in Europe and the US have called for sanctions on “extremist settler violence” in response to ethnic cleansing of Palestinians in the West Bank.
But sanctions, as currently conceived, haven’t worked, and probably aren’t going to. (2/5)
The settlement enterprise is not separate from the Israeli state—it is the Israeli state.
So argues @yaelmiz.bsky.social in a new commentary. (1/5)
@yaelmiz.bsky.social argues that current sanctions misdiagnose settler violence as a matter of individual accountability.
Sanctions fail when they treat settlements as an aberration rather than what they are: a project of state policy. (3/5)
Many policymakers in Europe and the US have called for sanctions on “extremist settler violence” in response to ethnic cleansing of Palestinians in the West Bank.
But sanctions, as currently conceived, haven’t worked, and probably aren’t going to. (2/5)
Elections remain mostly free, though there are storm clouds on that horizon, as well.
But the study results indicate that voting still offers Americans an escape hatch from an antidemocratic nightmare.
Full report: tcf.org/content/repo... (5/5)
But civil society, higher education, and rights also severely suffered in 2025—especially because of immigration enforcement that violated rights and due process. (4/5)
The core problem is an all-powerful executive branch, made worse by a pliant Congress, a compromised judiciary, and grand corruption. t.co/4ykYgUCz0O (3/5)
TCF’s new US Democracy Meter uses 23 indicators and a 100-point scale to analyze the erosion of American democracy in 2025. The results: American democracy is now at greater risk than at any time since Watergate, & may even be approaching its pre-Civil Rights Movement low. (2/5)
In the first year of Trump 2.0, the United States went from being a passing if imperfect democracy to sliding into authoritarianism: new Century Foundation findings from @nateschenkkan.bsky.social @tcambanis.bsky.social tcf.org/content/repo... (1/5)