Politics Doesn’t Define How Most People See Themselves
I’ve written a blog post just published by The Inquisitive Mind.
Link: www.in-mind.org/blog/post/po...
Very brief summary in the thread.
Excitement, tension, bingo and great insights from my fellow PolComm colleagues - think that describes our election event in CREA quite well. Great way to count down to the exitpolls! @markboukes.bsky.social @favstats.eu @ulrikeklinger.bsky.social @lindabomm.bsky.social @corinnaoschatz.bsky.social
New modeling paper that examines the effect of mandating preregistration, finds that "universally mandatory preregistration, compared to mere incentivization, promotes a more balanced coexistence of research methodologies" contingent upon thhe incentive system.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Just so we're clear was it not a crisis when it was the other way around?
Und als wäre es nicht schlimm genug, dass eine rechtsextreme Partei 20,8 % der Zweitstimmen und 15 % der Wahlkreise gewinnt, verzerrt diese Karte den Anteil der von der AfD gewonnenen Wahlkreise deutlich.
15 % der Wahlkreise stehen 30 % der Fläche gegenüber - also das Doppelte.
Land does not vote.
Eine Karte wie zu Beginn der Animation ist seit der Bundestagswahl oft zu sehen gewesen. Sie zeigt die Parteizugehörigkeit der Wahlkreissieger nach Erststimmen.
Wir sehen: ziemlich viel AfD-Blau.
🧵
#Bundestagswahl 📊
With many lazy takes on the Linke around, this is a very good comparison. The new Linke is much more like a progressive left party than traditional populist left. I would add to the list an emphasis on keeping movement ties rather than relying primarily on professionalized party infrastructure.
The 'feeling' that X under Musk is a different place than before is quantified in this new study titled 'Substantial Hate'
1️⃣ hate speech up to 50% higher;
2️⃣ hate speech increase persistent;
3️⃣ no reduction in inauthentic accounts
#commsky @polcomm.bsky.social
journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...
What drives candidates' use of negative campaigning?
We suggest and empirically test a comprehensive theoretical model in 12 German state elections.
Now out in EPSR 👇
Now available Open Access:
📰 Does (immigration) framing influence public opinion?
🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
We originally wrote this article in Word, but then we converted it to Latex to make it look more like science.
I am very late to this thread, but want to note this old paper from Andrew Gelman in which he explains a good reason to use LaTeX (like to PDF www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/rese...)
In Germany 62% of voters named the protection of democracy and the fight against right wing extremism as the most important problem. There is hope people!
#Etmaal25 in the books! Was very happy to present and get input on our first insights on how citizens cope with societal threats.
Already looking forward to next year!
Does loneliness correlate with support for the populist radical right? In the Netherlands, yes-lonelier individuals were more likely to support the PRR across 15 years of data (2008-2023), with effect sizes comparable to health correlates of loneliness. (1/9)
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Why do voters often not mind negative or uncivil campaigns—is it for a lack of better electoral alternatives? 🧵
In my PhD study “The Fleeting Allure of Dark Campaigns” (w/ @lindabos.bsky.social & @alessandronai.bsky.social) we test this idea:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
#polcom #commsky
Kiezers vinden immigratie ongeveer net zo belangrijk als energiekosten en klimaat. Ze zijn er alleen minder bezorgd over en ervaren immigratie als minder bedreigend dan energiekosten en klimaat.
- @bnbakker.bsky.social, @gijsschumacher.bsky.social en ik op Stuk Rood Vlees.
shorturl.at/dKRXZ
