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John Pfaff

@johnpfaff

Professor at Fordham Law. Prisons and criminal justice quant. I'm not contrarian, the data are. Author of Locked In. New stuff at johnfpfaff.com.

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Latest posts by John Pfaff @johnpfaff

Thanks!

06.03.2026 01:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Those are really cool!

06.03.2026 01:09 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Straight up at the towers of CC.

Straight up at the towers of CC.

Looking across CC, ground is wet, CPS towers disappearing into fog.

Looking across CC, ground is wet, CPS towers disappearing into fog.

Closer pic across CC to CPS.

Closer pic across CC to CPS.

Towers across from CC, w CC’s β€œJazz” sign in bottom right corner.

Towers across from CC, w CC’s β€œJazz” sign in bottom right corner.

Ok, last few, of Columbus Circle.

06.03.2026 01:08 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks!

06.03.2026 00:57 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Lincoln Center skyline in B&W.

Lincoln Center skyline in B&W.

Lincoln Center skyline in B&W.

Lincoln Center skyline in B&W.

And from my office window.

06.03.2026 00:55 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
B&W pic of Lincoln Center w surrounding towers disappearing into the fog.

B&W pic of Lincoln Center w surrounding towers disappearing into the fog.

Heavy rains after heavy snows can produce some cool fog.

06.03.2026 00:48 πŸ‘ 141 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 2

Markwayne Mullins seems like a safe choice for Trump, bc have to think his Dem colleagues will be happy to get him out of the Senate one two years into his term.

But also feel like this is pure fry-pan-to-fire. MWM has an MMA career section on his Wiki page. That’s … not great temperament.

05.03.2026 18:51 πŸ‘ 42 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 2

I believe it was @johnpfaff.bsky.social who pointed out that, yes, the budget that ICE got last year was huge but the chances of them blowing it on graft and incompetence was high. A $230m ad campaign is yet another piece of evidence for that argument

05.03.2026 17:31 πŸ‘ 91 πŸ” 21 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1

Feel like was in the Levitt and Venkatesh piece. Or Venkatesh’s subsequent book. Certainly remember Levitt telling us that when I was in grad school (as he was working on this piece).

05.03.2026 15:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This post is outrageously unacceptable.

Hegseth has a degree from Harvard too. They shouldn’t be allowed to escape accountability as well.

05.03.2026 15:39 πŸ‘ 48 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

C’mon, man, we know drug gangs are anything but communist. Guys at the top hoover up all the cash.

See, e.g., Levitt and Venkatesh, (2000).

That’s right. Even my sarcasm has citations.

05.03.2026 15:34 πŸ‘ 50 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

I’d add:

If you go to school, borrow money to better yourself, struggle, and declare bankruptcy…

… student loan debt survives.

But if you’re a cop given a public trust, violate by beating up someone handcuffed, lose and a lawsuit and can’t pay damages?

Bankruptcy makes them go away.

05.03.2026 15:27 πŸ‘ 48 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

(Lawsuit in the $350,000 example wasn’t abt doing that. But the article pointed out that bankruptcy applies to civil judgments, and few things scream β€œbroken system” more than protecting the assets of violent cops more than poor students.)

05.03.2026 15:27 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I’d add:

If you go to school, borrow money to better yourself, struggle, and declare bankruptcy…

… student loan debt survives.

But if you’re a cop given a public trust, violate by beating up someone handcuffed, lose and a lawsuit and can’t pay damages?

Bankruptcy makes them go away.

05.03.2026 15:27 πŸ‘ 48 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

It’s not even β€œheads I win, tails you lose.” It’s β€œheads I win, tails I win even more and end up richer bc I sent you to prison for 20 undeserved years.”

Professionally, I am not easily shocked or

I’m permanently outraged, but rarely shocked.

I am, here, shocked.

05.03.2026 15:19 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Just to recap:

Cop misbehaves so badly a man spends 20 yrs wrongly in jail and jury demands cop pay $10M in damages and fees.

But bc city won’t pay, cop sues and not only pays NONE OF THE SETTLEMENT, but GAINS $350,000 for the hassle of LOSING A LAWSUIT ABT MISCONDUCT.

05.03.2026 15:19 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Amidst all sorts of appeals and other litigation, CITY agrees to pay H $7.75M.

Ok. Fine enough.

But recall the bad cop, D, has an open lawsuit vs the city over indemnification.

To make that go away, city pays D $350,000.

In the end, the bad cop is RICHER THAN BEFORE.

05.03.2026 15:19 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Reading @jcschwartzprof.bsky.social paper on police indemnification, and one of her anecdotes?

OMFG.

H spends 20 yrs in prison on wrongful conviction.

Gets freed, sues cops, wins ~$10M vs cop D.

City won’t indemnity D, D (w H intervening w him) sues city to make them indemnity.

Wait for it….

05.03.2026 15:19 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

George Washington was apparently a weighted average of post-Coach-era Craig T. Nelson and Star Trek TNG-era Brent Spiner.

05.03.2026 05:06 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

I mean, GW hanging around in a Hanes t-shirt calmly talking into a mic is absolutely insane.

But ... Bruen? Wurmanmania? So much other crap?

It's hard to oversell the insanity that is originalism.

05.03.2026 05:02 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm not even being sarcastic when I say this could be LESS dumb than most originalism out there.

Arguably the model is trained on GW's actual speeches, writings, etc., and sorta contained to what he's said in those?

That ... that might--100% sincere--be more accurate than what Thomas does daily.

05.03.2026 05:02 πŸ‘ 31 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1

We were just trying to get his license plate number. We got about 4 of the 6 before the guy peeled off at an exit and disappeared into midtown.

05.03.2026 02:26 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

To be fair to the cabbie, the guy whose car he was trying to catch had, a few blocks before, hopped out of his own car, run up to the cabbie, and punched him in the head thru the open driver-side window because the cabbie had honked once at him.

I'd been in NYC for about 45 minutes at that point.

05.03.2026 02:20 πŸ‘ 43 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I was in a high-speed car chase down the FDR, years before I moved to NYC, back when I was in college. Like swerving in and out of lanes, chasing down the car in front of us.

I was trapped in the back seat of a cab driven by a very angry cab driver.

05.03.2026 02:20 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

In the category of β€œwhy we should never use two y-axes,” this here is the GOAT. Absolute GOAT.

There’s a reason R won’t even let you do two y axes. That reason is this.

(That said, still a legit huge accomplishment by China.)

05.03.2026 00:40 πŸ‘ 59 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 1

I feel less bad that I said earlier I couldn’t pick Thune out of a lineup bc even after seeing this pic I still couldn’t.

He is literally the personification (or lack thereof) of the β€œGeneric Republican” ballot entry.

04.03.2026 23:30 πŸ‘ 41 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 0

WHY IS EVERY PAPER ON EARTH USING SCHUMER’S PICTURE WHEN HE LOST ON A PARTY-LINE VOTE??

THUNE IS THE FACE OF THIS, NOT SCHUMER.

I MEAN, COME ON.

04.03.2026 23:24 πŸ‘ 1020 πŸ” 237 πŸ’¬ 27 πŸ“Œ 14

Takes like this literally reinforce the problem.

β€œWhat can you do abt the GOP? They ran as assholes, and they’re crushing it.”

THAT’S THE PROBLEM.

As Dril taught us, you do not, in fact, have to hand it to them.

They deserve BLAME for doing what they said they’d do.

04.03.2026 23:00 πŸ‘ 49 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
Jay from Quahog @fromquahog.com β€’ 1m
THE GOP ran on BEING PIECES OF SHIT
The DEMS did NOT
We EXPECT MORE Form them
and THEY are FAILING MISERABLY!
...
jtunes6.bsky.social @jtunes6.bsky.so... β€’3m
And there will be about a million BlueSky posts, probably half of them RW trolls acting as leftist voices, blaming "Dem leadership".
β€’β€’β€’

Jay from Quahog @fromquahog.com β€’ 1m THE GOP ran on BEING PIECES OF SHIT The DEMS did NOT We EXPECT MORE Form them and THEY are FAILING MISERABLY! ... jtunes6.bsky.social @jtunes6.bsky.so... β€’3m And there will be about a million BlueSky posts, probably half of them RW trolls acting as leftist voices, blaming "Dem leadership". β€’β€’β€’

It’s almost art. If only the order were reversed.

04.03.2026 22:58 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The @theguardian.com have an ombudsperson? Because this is the sort of editorial choice that a photo editor should have to publicly answer for.

04.03.2026 22:56 πŸ‘ 25 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0