Bouke Klein Teeselink

Just a week left to apply!

📢 Call for papers!

We are organizing the 6th Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy on 14-15 May 2026 at King’s College London!

Keynote: Shanker Satyanath (NYU)

No fee, travel grants might become available!

Submit at: tinyurl.com/qpe2026

Link to paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

If we want to understand where labor markets are headed, this is where to look.

It is important to note that we capture predicted changes based on which tasks could be automated. Since many of these tasks have not been automated yet, the effects are likely to grow significantly larger as AI becomes increasingly powerful.

We don’t find an effect of expertise change on job listings. A plausible explanation is that rising expertise requirements may create churn: incumbent workers who fall below the new threshold are displaced, forcing firms to recruit replacements even as the qualified pool shrinks.

This is exactly what we find. Occupations where AI targets low-expertise tasks experience wage increases compared to occupations where high-expertise tasks are exposed to AI automation.

Second contribution: Building on Autor and Thompson (2025), we argue it matters not just how many tasks are exposed, but which tasks. We distinguish:

• AI that automates low-expertise tasks → raises skill requirements → wages ⬆️

• AI that automates high-expertise tasks → lowers barriers → wages ⬇️

Countries with stricter employment protection see somewhat larger displacement, as highly exposed firms may avoid hiring workers they would later struggle to dismiss.

Countries with higher digital readiness see smaller effects, as infrastructure may help adaptation.

We find negative effects of AI exposure on job openings in 31 out of 39 countries, with an average decrease of 6.1%.

We extend previous research on the topic in two major ways.

First: most existing evidence on AI labor market effects comes from single-country studies (US, UK, Denmark).

We estimate effects across 39 countries with vastly different labor markets and digital readiness.

🚨 New research: AI, Automation, and Expertise🚨

We analyze hundreds of millions of job ads across 39 countries to understand how AI is changing labor markets around the world.

But other studies DO identify disruption:

🗽In the US: www.hbs.edu/ris/Publicat...

& papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... @acjohnston.bsky.social

💂‍♂️In the UK papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... @bkleinteeselink.bsky.social

💻 Among freelancers: pubsonline.informs.org/doi/abs/10.1... (4/5)

Thanks a lot for the useful comments on our paper yesterday. Really enjoyed being back and meeting everyone! Thanks, @bkleinteeselink.bsky.social for a very engaging day across Aldwych.

Application link here: t.co/0uXrDCmbD9

Using large-scale labour market data and advanced statistical techniques, this project will examine how genAI is affecting the supply and demand for skills, labour market inequalities, and entrepreneurship.

🚨 PhD Opportunity on the Economics of AI 🚨

I'm recruiting a fully funded 3.5-year PhD student to study how generative AI is transforming UK labour markets!

This position is a unique collaboration between King's College London and the AI Security Institute.

Lecturer in Economics | King's College London

📢 We’re hiring!

King's College London Political Economy is recruiting an Assistant Professor (Lecturer in the UK system) in Economics.

Apply here: www.kcl.ac.uk/jobs/130885-...

Feel free to contact me for information about the role and our department.

@kcl-spe.bsky.social @kingsqpe.bsky.social

This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Massimo Morelli (Bocconi) on "The Financial Drivers of Populism in Europe"

Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.

For the full paper, see: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

🚨How is AI reshaping UK jobs? 🚨

Fears about AI causing hiring freezes, fewer entry roles, and pay pressure are widespread. My new research investigates whether these fears are justified.

@kcl-spe.bsky.social wrote a great blog summarising my results!

New study reveals early impact of AI on job market in UK | King's College London Artificial intelligence is reshaping the UK labour market, with high-paying firms and professional occupations experiencing the most significant declines in employment and wages, while lower-paid sect...

New research from Dr Bouke Klein Teeselink has shed light on the emerging impact of AI on the UK's labour market 🤖

👶 Entry-level roles adversely affected
📉 Job vacancies in exposed industries down
🗣️ Customer-facing roles resilient

Read more 👇

www.kcl.ac.uk/news/new-stu...

🧠 New analysis of LinkedIn posts finds junior workers are feeling the brunt of generative AI's impact on the labour markets. Fascinating work by @bkleinteeselink.bsky.social

📄 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Kicking off this year's seminar series with Lucy Barnes (@lucy-barnes.bsky.social) on "Economic Orientations and Preferences Over Redistributive Taxation."

Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.

🚨 New paper in @thejop.bsky.social

Why do politicians often misperceive what citizens' policy positions are?

@simonotjes.bsky.social and I study ~10,000 estimates of public opinion by politicians in Denmark & the Netherlands to uncover the sources of these (mis)perceptions

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For a summary of the paper, see this blog by @kingscollegelondon.bsky.social @kcl-spe.bsky.social:

www.kcl.ac.uk/news/study-f...

Great thread summarising my new paper with @gmelios.bsky.social on the effect of disability benefits on employment in the UK!

Join us at King's College London for a great seminar series in Quantitative Political Economy!

If you're in London and would like to join, let me know

🚨 New paper in Science Advances @science.org

Can changing how we argue about politics online improve the quality of replies we get?

T HeideJorgensen, @gregoryeady.bsky.social & I use an LLM to manipulate counter-arguments to see how people respond to different approaches to arguments

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🚨Publication alert!🚨

Thread below👇