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@umsonst

Earth-System Nerd

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29.10.2023
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Latest posts by @umsonst

If Iran keeps up with the holy war the Saudis are finished - all their infrastructure for the bombing while their storage facilities run full

These idiots become ever more efficient to destroy themselves taking us with them somewhere in between...

One Earth, one humanity, one fight!

06.03.2026 12:09 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Dumb fuck - border patrols love such behavior - measured in Saudi standards he is a poor little peasant!

06.03.2026 12:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Importance:

The oceans become neurotoxic...

06.03.2026 09:02 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Tweet today from Ryan Grim of Drop Site.

"An unarmed Iranian ship was invited, along with the U.S., to be part of an Indian Naval exercise, and its sailors paraded on land before the president. 

"The U.S. at the last minute pulled out of the exercise and instead attacked the Iranian ship with a torpedo. 

Breaking with all norms of civilization and warfare, we then refused to rescue the drowning survivors. The Sri Lanka Navy was left to pull the dead bodies from the water. 

"I am hard pressed to think of any other nation throughout history that would do something so cowardly and despicable. We are genuinely in a league of our own, and American media β€” mostly shrugging off the bombing of a girls school and acting as if carpet bombing Tehran is a normal military tactic β€” is deeply complicit."

Tweet today from Ryan Grim of Drop Site. "An unarmed Iranian ship was invited, along with the U.S., to be part of an Indian Naval exercise, and its sailors paraded on land before the president. "The U.S. at the last minute pulled out of the exercise and instead attacked the Iranian ship with a torpedo. Breaking with all norms of civilization and warfare, we then refused to rescue the drowning survivors. The Sri Lanka Navy was left to pull the dead bodies from the water. "I am hard pressed to think of any other nation throughout history that would do something so cowardly and despicable. We are genuinely in a league of our own, and American media β€” mostly shrugging off the bombing of a girls school and acting as if carpet bombing Tehran is a normal military tactic β€” is deeply complicit."

Decent summary from Drop Site News. Misses the Australian 'contribution' (three of the submariners were Royal Australian Navy).

06.03.2026 07:19 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1
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Limited thermal tolerance in tropical insects and its genomic signature - Nature A survey of tropical insect populations and thermal tolerance limits indicates that species from lowland areas have low capacity to survive increased temperatures, and that thermal tolerance is limite...

Next devastating hit to the rainforests loosing fast in resilience while climate impacts intensify rapidly...

"Climate change pushes tropical insects to their heat limit"

Drought and heat extremes trigger insect overkill

Just this means terrestrial biosphere collapse and net emissions

#climate

05.03.2026 14:12 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Kids born during drought get to jump in puddles for the first time Most of us have memories of jumping in big rain puddles, or making mud pies growing up, but for many regional and rural kids in SA last weekend's rain event was the first time they had popped their gu...

Kind of sweet!

Growing up is all about experiences we remember...

05.03.2026 14:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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We discovered lethal new fungal diseases in wild Australian reptiles. It’s time to act fast Australia’s huge diversity of reptiles could be at risk from new fungal diseases.

New fungal pathogens spreading in amphibian species world wide

The fungal microbiome of Earth turns hostile...

#Earth

05.03.2026 11:23 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 5

Interesting stuff!

04.03.2026 20:41 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

In a warmer climate the level of organization of systems and between systems increases

Organization of systems produces the strongest weather extremes

A hurricane is for example an organized system

But it can also be a region with extreme convection coupling stronger with a neighboring dry region

03.03.2026 22:38 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Sharpening Mesoscale Convective Systems Induced by Enhanced Moisture–Convection Feedback Over East Asia During 2000–2021 Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) in East Asia sharpened spatially (2000–2021), doubling their max rain cell intensification rate Sharpening starts about 9h pre-initiation via enhanced shallow ...

"Over East Asia from 2000 to 2021, and find that the spatial structure of MCSs defined by hourly precipitation fields has become sharper, dominated by enhancement in heavy precipitation grid cells. The MCS-maximum precipitation intensity increases at a rate of 16.7% decade"

#climate #extremes

03.03.2026 22:36 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Changes Observed in Cloud‐Top Heights by MISR From 2002 to 2021 Cloud heights have very likely risen globally by β‰ˆ1Β m/yr, and significantly at high latitudes, reaching 5Β Β±Β 1Β m/yr between 45Β°N and 65Β°N The main effect is due to more high-altitude clouds, outwe...

Upper tropospheric clouds tops rising in a warmer climate:

03.03.2026 20:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Observed decreasing trend in the upper-tropospheric cloud top temperature - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Observed decreasing trend in the upper-tropospheric cloud top temperature

Top cloud temperature decreasing:

03.03.2026 20:47 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Upper tropospheric clouds could be cooling in a warmer climate as the rise to higher altitudes

New discussion, but there seems to be trend as two study results point to the same development

Would be another positive feedback

Studies in comments...

#climate #Earth

03.03.2026 20:46 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

On the feedback parameter of Earth in the past, recent years, and in some years:

Its invariant to the temperature levels

Oh no, it increases disproportionately with warming

Oh fuck it depends non-linear on the warming rate!

#climate #Earth

03.03.2026 13:42 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

There exist no two or three publications that give a warning

Another one warns that we could trigger a tipping point between the upper oceans and the atmosphere - mutual reinforcing - this is what happened in 2023/24.

Take home message: one more jump and we are cooked!

03.03.2026 11:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The warming happens via synchronizations of feedbacks with the most important one being the oceans surface forced into a heating state - the signal in 2023/24 won't be all that this system has in store for us...

03.03.2026 10:56 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The thing is that if it's a feedback between ocean heat uptake shifting to shallower depths driving marine heatwave Expansion which triggers a cloud feedback feeding back at ocean heat uptake which shifted it's cooling function into a warming function this indicates that temp jumps will grow in size

03.03.2026 10:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Fun fact: the only person who disregards the cloud feed back since years is Leon Simmons as he operates like a populist, discarding anything that weakens his termination shock narrative - it's all about clicks!

03.03.2026 09:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I always wrote that it is both - so why imply that I did not?

Just that there's exist the possibility of no large net effect of SOx reductions as aerosols increased in the SH

03.03.2026 09:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

THEY ARE BOT EQUAL 😁

03.03.2026 08:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

To speak of a self inflicted termination shock while we trigger a self reinforcing feedback between the upper ocean and atmosphere is dangerous!

And yes SOx reinforced it, but the vicious cycle will now fast take over forcing 2Β°C around 2030

03.03.2026 08:49 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Last, If you look at all the studies from experts on marine heatwaves in the North Pacific and North Atlantic not one sees aerosol reductions as a cause.

Only one model study exist on the NP which sees an important contribution.

03.03.2026 08:46 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And last we have now this satellite study on aerosol cooling effect - waited for one as the glory mission had crashed - 0.5 *C.

60MT we reduced - warming over time since 2010 of about 0.25 Β°C which has not fully realized yet. At most some.

03.03.2026 08:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

2: two studies exist now aerosols increased in the Southern Hemisphere with no large global net effect - our emission reductions against increases from tonga, DMS production oceans and wildfires.

03.03.2026 08:37 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Never said that - but two issues exist:

1: IMO reductions had been just 8Mt - no termination shock. Till now no study that over the pristine oceans SOx has a much larger effect but observatiional ones that it had not been too much

03.03.2026 08:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It's a fourth reich on the move...

02.03.2026 11:33 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The oceans switched their cooling role via ocean heat uptake to a warming role via stratification shifting OHU to shallower depths...

The discussion is just starting

02.03.2026 11:27 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Just for the record: IMO sulfur regulations did not cause a termination shock as it had been only some 8Mts

Some warming yes but the recent acceleration since 2014 is driven by feedbacks between the upper oceans and the atmosphere accelerating ocean heat uptake which contributes now to the warming

02.03.2026 10:30 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Record-breaking rain across inland Australia like β€˜weather whiplash’, BoM says Some areas receive more rainfall in a week than in all of last year, having only a few weeks ago sweltered through temperatures up to 50C

Tropical phytoplankton can adapt to 1.5Β°C of warming - from then on it could decline - will be interesting how far the single species can adapt...

Synechococcus and the more vulnerable Prochlorococcus decisive

#oceans

02.03.2026 10:26 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Record-breaking rain across inland Australia like β€˜weather whiplash’, BoM says Some areas receive more rainfall in a week than in all of last year, having only a few weeks ago sweltered through temperatures up to 50C

It's just starting to lift off...

"Some areas receive more rainfall in a week than in all of last year, having only a few weeks ago sweltered through temperatures up to 50C"

#climate

02.03.2026 09:56 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0