Suit over the Khamenei death carveout claims Kalshi has "unclean hands and should not be permitted to invoke policies designed to prevent profiting from death to shield themselves from liability for a market that was, in substance, a trade on that very outcome"
www.documentcloud.org/documents/27...
“Yo brother, legal team confirmed that we can’t work with minors rn" is the best way to summarize this article, an impressively deep look at Kalshi and Polymarket's relentless nationwide campaign to recruit college students and get them hooked to prediction markets early.
at least on “the world’s largest prediction market” scuffle, the patent and trademark office will have to choose one winner eventually…
Tarek has compared his beef w Shayne to the rivalry between Tom Brady & Eli Manning. Tarek strenuously avoids saying or writing the word “Polymarket”
An ex-Kalshi employee told me:
"Kalshi does hate getting confused for Polymarket, but when Polymarket is confused with Kalshi, it's good for them”
When Shayne’s Manhattan apartment was raided by the FBI, Kalshi teamed up with influencers to make memes about it; Kalshi’s prediction market coalition never invited Polymarket; both companies have pending trademark applications for “the world’s largest prediction market”
At the center of the prediction markets boom is a bitter rivalry between two 20-something billionaire fintech bros vying for their companies to be distinct, despite everyone constantly lumping them together
"For them, it's existential," a former Kalshi employee told me
www.npr.org/2026/03/06/n...
New: I talked to the traders who bet Khamenei would die.
One, an Israeli ex-pat, would've won $63,000 before Kalshi froze the bet: “I was booking my trip to Courchevel.”
“American commercial immorality on steroids," @chrismurphyct.bsky.social told me
www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2...
Israeli police have now opened a criminal investigation into user Magamyman who bet on Iran strikes. Notably authorities in Israel have launched the only known prosecution of Polymarket traders www.middleeasteye.net/news/israeli...
Israeli police have now opened a criminal investigation into user Magamyman who bet on Iran strikes. Notably authorities in Israel have launched the only known prosecution of Polymarket traders www.middleeasteye.net/news/israeli...
"Prediction markets are promoting opportunities to bet on events that can only be seen as a proxy for war or assassination," said former SEC chief of staff Amanda Fischer
www.npr.org/2026/03/01/n...
“So this is more or less offering a proxy market on assassination,” Amanda Fischer, a former chief of staff at the Securities and Exchange Commission”
www.wsj.com/world/middle...
a masterclass AND a textbook case? this post is giving written by Claude ngl
It’s Trump admin again picking winners and losers.
Pentagon said this week that xAi is getting approved for use in classified settings when Anthropic’s Claude had been the first and only LLM that had this blessing etc.
Sacks’ woke AI EO laid the groundwork for this, creating a framework against a nebulous bogeyman but in reality targeting one company
Trump blacklisting Anthropic from all government contracts is *quite the gift* to David Sacks’ Craft Ventures, a huge investor in Musk’s xAI, which has been trying to elbow out other frontier labs for lucrative government work.
Fun fact: Since Kalshi is a Designated Contract Market under the CFTC, they are essentially deputized with a legal superpower that allows them to issue fines, clawback profits and ban users. It’s an extraordinary level of self-regulation.
SCOOP: A White House staffer appears to be operating the anonymous pro-Trump X account JohnnyMAGA with nearly 300,000 followers.
More here:
www.wired.com/story/a-whit...
A MrBeast spokesman: “We have a longstanding policy in place against employees using proprietary company information in order to safeguard the highest standards and ethics throughout our organization,” adding that employees are banned from trading on prediction markets in MrBeast-related markets.
Regulatory filing: kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/regulatory/n...
NEW: A video editor working for MrBeast is accused of trading on insider information on Kalshi, which has fined, suspended and reported the editor to federal regulators in the first public instance of the platform disclosing an insider trading investigation
www.npr.org/2026/02/25/n...
Trying to process the Pentagon’s contradictory threats against Anthropic www.npr.org/2026/02/24/n...
Reason why this is so head-spinning: If Anthropic doesn't back down by Friday, the Trump admin is basically saying it will either deem Anthropic national security essential OR a national security risk...
It's been a confusing situation after the Amodei/Hegseth meeting. Initially the take-away was that the Pentagon would be canceling Anthropic's contract if it didn't bend to admin's demands, but then Pentagon officials said they will just use Anthropic tools against their will then blacklist them?
A senior Pentagon official told NPR if Anthropic does not change its stance, it will invoke the Defense Production Act to compel Anthropic to be used as the Trump administration wishes "regardless of if they want to or not"
NEW: Per source familiar with meeting: Hegseth threatened to terminate Anthropic’s $200M contract by Friday if it does not comply to Trump admin's terms. Amodei reiterated Anthropic’s red lines around AI- powered weapons and domestic surveillance.
Immigration courts by the #’s:
- 25% less judges
- 400 less legal assistants + clerks
- 12 courts lost over half their judges, two have no full time IJs
- supervisors spread across several locations
We break down a clear picture of what is happening across the country:
www.npr.org/2026/02/23/g...
but when there’s a high-profile trial in California it’s a funny thing right, because networks are scrambling to book guests when reporters are least available (in court reporting!) so filling that void are usually shameless self promoters with a ring light at the ready
This did not happen. The judge issued a general warning about not recording with smart glasses, but she didn’t “upbraid” or call out Meta’s legal team
Bookers: Getting nuances like this right is why talking to reporters who actually witnessed something, not professional pontificators, is important
the tail that wags the dog that caught the car
New: A comedian set up a fake ICE tip line as a joke. Then 100 calls flooded in: neighbors ratting on neighbors, a teacher reporting a kindergartener. Fans say the viral TikToks revealed deportation's "banality of evil." Conservatives say he should be in prison wapo.st/4kM4qbF
