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Otto Svendsen

@ottosvendsen

Associate Fellow at CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program. Dane in DC. European defense, transatlantic affairs, the Arctic. Views my own.

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25.10.2023
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Latest posts by Otto Svendsen @ottosvendsen

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How Europe Can Build Ukraine’s Future Force As U.S. military aid to Ukraine winds down, Europe must move beyond crisis response to lead Ukraine's long-term defense—establishing strategic coherence, hedging against U.S. disengagement, defining U...

Europe can't just spend more on Ukraine. It needs to spend smarter. Astrid Chevreuil, @ottosvendsen.bsky.social + @maxbergmann.bsky.social outline four priorities for building a force capable of deterring future Russian aggression.

Full piece below.
www.csis.org/analysis/how...

01.03.2026 21:31 👍 10 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Europe is chasing the wrong fix for its growth crisis The continent’s old growth model no longer works in today’s world. And EU leaders need a plan that matches the scale of this shift.

EU Leaders meet tomorrow to discuss measures to lift Europe's anaemic growth rate. But the summit risks turning into a nothing burger.

EU Leaders have cherry-picked a macroeconomically meaningless simplification agenda from the Draghi report

New oped.

1/

www.politico.eu/article/euro...

11.02.2026 09:34 👍 58 🔁 29 💬 2 📌 5
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Jens-Frederik Nielsen: Vi vælger Kongeriget Danmark Efter den seneste tids uro siger Grønlands regeringschef, at fremtiden er hos Danmark og ikke USA.

Greenland PM: "If we have to choose between the US and Denmark at this moment, we choose Denmark. We choose NATO, the Kingdom of Denmark, and the EU"

www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...

13.01.2026 16:10 👍 21 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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EU may need 100,000-strong army, says defense commissioner Andrius Kubilius says the EU needs to reform the way it handles defense at the political level, too — and that the U.K. should get a seat at the table.

European Union Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius has said the bloc should consider establishing a standing military force of 100,000 troops and overhaul the political processes governing defense.

12.01.2026 01:52 👍 106 🔁 34 💬 4 📌 1

It's like someone saying "the only flights linking New York and Brussels are on US airlines. We must therefore invent space rockets to break this monopoly!"

No, you could just... get a European airline to launch a New York-Brussels route. It would be enormously simpler.

05.01.2026 08:38 👍 20 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
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2028-scenariot: Nordisk stat inväntar rysk attack Allt fler talar om ett enat Norden. Men hur skulle en nordisk förbundsstat se ut? Monarki eller republik? Stormakt eller lilleputt? SvD utforskar en gammal tankelek som tycks bli allt mer verklig.

It seems to have become a regular holiday feature in the Swedish newspaper SvD to publish long and dreamy articles about a Nordic union (they even got a name for it: Norden).

Among the nice things we could have they list Jens Stoltenberg as a federal chancellor

28.12.2025 10:37 👍 205 🔁 30 💬 32 📌 1

It's a totally unfair acronym because the fault will lie squarely with the member-states, not the EU.

But then again Brussels does fit in some ways....

16.12.2025 22:06 👍 27 🔁 5 💬 2 📌 0

Spot on. Moment of truth for Paris and Rome.

Is France serious about strategic autonomy or is it just a vacuous talking point once Europe hits real trade-offs?

And is Italy with Europe and Ukraine or Moscow and Washington?

15.12.2025 13:33 👍 62 🔁 22 💬 1 📌 2
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How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America A potential U.S. force posture reduction in Europe will leave the continent vulnerable to further Russian aggression. Europe needs a bold action plan to mitigate capability gaps and ensure deterrence ...

Impressive analysis by @csis.org (from Washington D.C.) of the challenges to European defence: “How Europe can defend itself with less America”.

1/3 ⬇️
www.csis.org/analysis/how...

14.12.2025 20:41 👍 111 🔁 43 💬 9 📌 4
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27 years ago to the day, 4 December 1998, France and the UK signed the St Malo Declaration. Its aims are as noble today as they were back in the relative calm of the late 90s.

What have we done to truly strengthen European defence since 1998?

www.cvce.eu/content/publ...

04.12.2025 20:16 👍 12 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 0
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NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang on Securing American Leadership on AI | CSIS Events Please join CSIS president and CEO Dr. John J. Hamre for a fireside chat with NVIDIA founder and CEO Jensen Huang on securing U.S. leadership in AI.

Today at 5 p.m. ET, CSIS president and CEO John Hamre hosts a fireside chat with NVIDIA founder and CEO Jensen Huang on securing U.S. leadership in AI.

Register here to watch the discussion: www.csis.org/events/nvidi...

03.12.2025 15:00 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Swedish foreign minister on the disproportionate amount of Nordic support given to Ukraine, vs rest of NATO.

21.11.2025 20:16 👍 182 🔁 54 💬 4 📌 4
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How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America A potential U.S. force posture reduction in Europe will leave the continent vulnerable to further Russian aggression. Europe needs a bold action plan to mitigate capability gaps and ensure deterrence ...

Must-read 👉🏻 A new CSIS report by @maxbergmann.bsky.social & Otto Hastrup Svendsen outlines 5 key tasks #Europeans should undertake to defend themselves with less #America & deter further #Russian aggression
www.csis.org/analysis/how...

11.11.2025 21:56 👍 7 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0
How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America
How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America With the war in Ukraine ongoing and a potential drawdown of U.S. forces in Europe on the Horizon, European leaders are facing renewed pressure to strengthen ...

Watch | @maxbergmann.bsky.social discusses the current role of the U.S. military in Europe’s ability to defend itself, the vulnerabilities that could result from a significant reduction of U.S. forces, and what must be done to address them.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=RhQj... 

10.11.2025 21:00 👍 6 🔁 5 💬 0 📌 1
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As usual, @maxbergmann.bsky.social and @ottosvendsen.bsky.social are asking all the right questions! Give this new report by them for @csis.org on “How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America”. Timely stuff!

Read: www.csis.org/analysis/how...

11.11.2025 13:13 👍 8 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
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Why funding Ukraine is a giant opportunity for Europe The bill will be huge. It is also a historic bargain

Eurobonds for Ukraine, say we. www.economist.com/leaders/2025...

30.10.2025 11:20 👍 82 🔁 33 💬 1 📌 3
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How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America A potential U.S. force posture reduction in Europe will leave the continent vulnerable to further Russian aggression. Europe needs a bold action plan to mitigate capability gaps and ensure deterrence ...

A significant reduction of US forces in Europe could leave the continent exposed to Russian aggression.

@maxbergmann.bsky.social @ottosvendsen.bsky.social offer a bold plan to close capability gaps and sustain deterrence with limited US involvement. Learn more below:
www.csis.org/analysis/how...

15.10.2025 15:28 👍 10 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 2

🚨New report ahead of US force posture review. There needs to be a revolution in European military affairs. It's great Europeans are spending more. But they are neglecting the deeper reforms needed for Europe to defend itself with (potentially much) less America. We offer some ideas... 1/

09.10.2025 22:04 👍 21 🔁 9 💬 1 📌 0
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Danish Prime Minister Frederiksen:

"We do not want either a conflict or a war with Russia. No one in Europe wants that. There is only one aggressive party, and that is Russia…

If we do not dare to stand up for ourselves&do what needs to be done,we will simply be too easy a target at some point”

18.09.2025 17:57 👍 1881 🔁 544 💬 49 📌 24
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It's Complicated: A Status Update on EU Trade, Mercosur, and The State of the Union feat. Sander Tordoir and Federico Steinberg | The Eurofile | CSIS Podcasts Max and Donatienne are back from summer vacation with a preview of European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen’s State of the Union address to European Parliament this week, and a conversation ...

On a recent podcast with @maxbergmann.bsky.social, the CSIS crew discusses Europe's efforts to rig up a trade grand strategy as the US and China smash the global trading order.

"It's Complicated: A Status Update on EU Trade, Mercosur, and The State of the Union"

www.csis.org/podcasts/eur...

16.09.2025 07:11 👍 13 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
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Loss for Trump as Denmark chooses Franco-Italian air defense system over US Patriots The decision comes after the U.S. president threatened to annex Greenland.

Turns out, threatening allies is bad for business.

www.politico.eu/article/denm...

12.09.2025 12:33 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Statesmen's Forum: His Excellency Lee Jae Myung, President of the Republic of Korea The CSIS Korea Chair welcomed South Korean President Lee Jae Myung for an address on U.S.-Korea relations following his White House meeting with President Donald J. Trump, marking President Lee's firs...

This evening, @korea.csis.org hosted His Excellency Lee Jae Myung, President of the Republic of Korea, for an address on foreign policy and U.S.-Korea relations following his White House meeting with President Donald J. Trump.

Read his remarks here: www.csis.org/analysis/sta...

25.08.2025 23:58 👍 10 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 0
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Have burning questions about the #EU, #NATO, or what’s going on in European politics?
✍️ We want to hear from YOU on #Eurofile!
📤 Send your Questions to erep@csis.org or reply below
🎙️ Hosts @maxbergmann.bsky.social & @donatienneruy.bsky.social are ready

23.08.2025 14:58 👍 4 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 1

Truly unnecessary and unfortunate. NATO setting itself up for another major effort to avoid a Trump blowup. Earlier alliance history did not have annual summits. Let’s go back to that.

19.08.2025 18:26 👍 9 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 1
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Europe Bends the Knee on Trade and Previewing Denmark’s EU Presidency with Lykke Friis | The Eurofile | CSIS Podcasts Max and Donatienne discuss last week’s EU-US trade deal announcement, and Max talks with Lykke Friis, director of the Copenhagen-based think tank Europa, about Denmark’s presidency of the European Uni...

🌐 NEW: As the dust settles in Scotland, what stands out about the EU-US trade deal? @maxbergmann.bsky.social & @donatienneruy.bsky.social discuss:
🔹 What's next for transatlantic trade?
🔹 Has Brussels dodged the worst of US tariffs?

🎧 Tune in to #TheEurofile below:
www.csis.org/podcasts/eur...

01.08.2025 14:33 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

A test: if the bad trade deal was a necessary evil in order to maintain the US security guarantee, then, in order to ensure that Europe is stronger moving forward, member states will have zero problems in implementing ALL of the “#Draghi” and “#Letta” conclusions and agreeing to the next MFF?

31.07.2025 13:46 👍 4 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
The Looming US-EU Trade Collision and a Preview of the EU-China Summit with Noah Barkin | The Eurofile | CSIS Podcasts Max and Otto discuss President Trump’s latest tariff threats and the timid European response.

Enjoyed talking EU-China relations in the Trump era with @maxbergmann.bsky.social

www.csis.org/podcasts/eur...

18.07.2025 21:47 👍 8 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 1
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CSIS mourns the loss of our Chief Communications Officer, Andrew Schwartz. For 20 years, he led with vision and integrity, shaping how CSIS engaged the world. His leadership, mentorship, and legacy in strategic communications will have a lasting impact

Full Statement: www.csis.org/analysis/mem...

17.07.2025 17:11 👍 10 🔁 6 💬 2 📌 4
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Small State Power: Be Like Denmark In this week’s Europe Dispatch, Minna Ålander writes about how Denmark is showing that even small states can punch far above their weight and lead by example.

Wrote a little love letter to Denmark 🫶🇩🇰

In good Nordic style, I of course had to dunk on them a little. But the main point is: if all European countries were more like Denmark, Ukraine and Europe would be in a very different place now.

On the Europe Dispatch with @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

16.07.2025 15:00 👍 349 🔁 91 💬 19 📌 14
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The next EU budget cannot be business as usual The bloc must rethink and reprioritize in order to seize opportunities and tackle the new challenges we face today.

Very good example of EU budget-related cheap talk by the Swedish PM: First, here are all the things I want more money for. Second, I am not ready to pay more. Third, this means other things become less important - but I won’t tell you which ones and where I would cut.

14.07.2025 07:16 👍 41 🔁 15 💬 2 📌 3