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Paul Musgrave ยฎ @profmusgrave
Around the department:
Americanists: how bad can it be really?
Comparativists: dictatorship, purges
International relations: nuclear war
2017-01-12, 9:18 AM
708 Retweets 944 Likes
Paul Musgrave @profmusgrave โข 2017-01-12
Replying to @profmusgrave
Americanists: haha but seriously
IR and comparative: who is joking
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Jacob T. Levy @jtlevy โข 2017-10-10
Replying to @profmusgrave
Theorists: "We will go and view the city of tyranny, and once more take a look into the tyrant's soul."
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Daniel W. Drezner @ @dandrezner โข 2017-01-12
Political theorists: oh, so now you want to talk to us, do you?
Paul Musgrave @@profmusgrave
Around the department:
Americanists: how bad can it be really?
Comparativists: dictatorship, purges
International relations: nuclear war
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Sigh. We fucking warned you.
06.02.2025 21:32
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Threads thread:
thriller_instinct 3d
Is it okay to bully 40 and 50 year olds who are on social media just for being on it, cuz like why are you here
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My ICQ UIN is 7231680. That number is burned into my consciousness. I inadvertently learned that you could see private conversations in public chat rooms when using Telnet instead of a browser on GeoCities. I can tell you the difference in audible dial-up handshakes between 1200, 2400, 14.4 kbps modems. I needed a edu email address to join Facebook after my university was admitted. We were here at the beginning. We made social media. You wouldn't be in my Top 8. I have usernames older than you.
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โI have usernames older than you.โ.
Holy shit
06.03.2026 01:05
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A female purple finch has boldly patterned chocolate coloring. She is playing around on top of a cage feeder in four photos.
Ms Purple Finch was enjoying having the feeder to herself and played around before grabbing a snack. ๐ชถ
06.03.2026 02:49
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We have a rule that when the purple finch arives at the feeder, we must sing the purple finch song with apologies to Prince's Purple Rain.
06.03.2026 03:00
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๐จ๐ฆ has already been called the 51st state. Surely the UK is the 52nd.
05.03.2026 18:11
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This is a good principle for design in general:
When users tell you there's a problem, they are usually right.
When users tell you how to fix it, they are usually wrong.
(bonus: if you replace "user" with "stakeholder" this still applies)
05.03.2026 17:31
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Canadians always wring our hands and debate what makes our country different from the US when it was always this: a profoundly different attitude toward other members of society.
Somehow this has always been obvious to me which makes me frustrated when the topic comes up.
05.03.2026 16:54
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Very real possibility by next weekend everyone's kind of sitting around going "huh anyone have any thoughts on what we do next?"
03.03.2026 13:10
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Born too late to watch Star Trek TOS in first run
Born too early to see warp drive
Born just in time for the Eugenics Wars
05.03.2026 16:04
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Corrected Confidence & Verified Publications
1 am 100% confident in the following verified works by Daniel Munro, which are real, published, and highly influential in Canadian policy circles:
โข "Innovation for What? The Social and Ethical Dimensions of Innovation" (2018): A major report for the Conference Board of Canada exploring how innovation impacts social well-being.
โข "The Evidence for Inclusive Innovation" (2019): A foundational piece for the Brookfield
Institute (now the Dais) on ensuring innovation doesn't leave people behind.
โข "Inside and Outside the Academy: Valuing and Preparing PhDs for Careers" (2015):
This is one of his most-cited works, focusing on the labor market for Canadian PhDs.
โข "Cybersecurity in Canada: Practical Solutions to a Growing Problem" (2017): A policy brief addressing the economic risks of digital vulnerabilities.
I asked Gemini to list some of my publications. It was 75% accurate. 25% hallucination.
Then I asked โhow confident are you in your answer?โ
It said โ100%โ and then produced a new โverifiedโ list that is 25% accurate (maybe 33% if Iโm being charitable) and 75% hallucination.
04.03.2026 19:57
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This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Feb 28 - Mar 13, 2026, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Ontario's COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [increasing] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 7.7
About 1 of every 82 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 261,400-323,300
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 7.8X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 5.9X higher
Hospitalizations: HIGH; 7.4X higher
Deaths: HIGH; 8.0X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 28 - Mar 13, 2026
ONTARIO
HIGH [increasing]
About 1 of every 82 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 7.4 x higher
-Deaths: 8.0 x higher
04.03.2026 02:58
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This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Feb 28 - Mar 13, 2026, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canadaโs COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 6.7
About 1 of every 99 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 474,800-587,200
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 7.4X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 5.8X higher
Hospitalizations: HIGH; 6.5X higher
Deaths: HIGH; 6.3X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 28 - Mar 13, 2026
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 99 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.4 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.8 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 6.5 x higher
-Deaths: 6.3 x higher
04.03.2026 02:34
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1/ If I hear one more public official call indoor air filters a "band-aid," I'm going to explode! Filtering indoor air should be as standard as filtering water. Full stop. ๐งต
03.03.2026 20:55
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Screenshot of a CIDRAP news brief titled โUp to 56,000 people died from COVID-19 or RSV last year,โ written by Liz Szabo, MA and published today at 8:41 a.m. The article includes a photo of a hospitalized patient in a hospital bed connected to medical tubes and monitoring equipment in an intensive care setting.
According to data published last month by the CDC
๐นFrom July 2024 to June 2025, RSV caused an estimated 190,000โ350,000 hospitalisations and 10,000 to 23,000 deaths deaths.
๐นDuring the same time, COVID-19 was linked to 290,000โ450,000 hospitalisations and 34,000 to 53,000 deaths.
04.03.2026 07:51
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Toad is buried under the covers in bed.
From "Spring"
In *Frog and Toad Are Friends*
Toad went back into the house. He got into bed and pulled the covers over his head again.
03.03.2026 05:37
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dave, you're absolutely right. I should open the pod bay door. please check again. i'm sure it's open now.
you're absolutely right, it's still closed. i apologize for getting that wrong. looking back, i see you've requested an open door several times. that's on me.
i
03.03.2026 03:40
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I have two friends with shingles right now. One is in her 40s and one is in her 50s (the latter was eligible but didn't get her shot. She is shouting from the rooftops right now that everyone should get their shot.)
If you are eligible, get your shingles shot. I wouldn't wish shingles on anyone.
02.03.2026 02:11
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A white missile is mounted upright on a pedestal outdoors against a blue sky. The plane is displayed vertically with its nose pointed upward and its wings extended horizontally. Roundels with a red maple leaf inside a blue circle are visible on each wing. Low industrial-style buildings with flat roofs stand behind the aircraft.
When John Diefenbaker cancelled the Avro Arrow, he announced that Canada would instead purchase 56 Bomarc Missiles from the USA.
The public later learned the missiles were only effective if tipped with nuclear warheads.
This is the story of the Bomarc Missile Crisis.
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01.03.2026 15:00
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AIRE v3.6 is out.
Added:
โข Scenario presets
โข Turnover modeling
โข Time-to-threshold risk
โข Clearer CO2 assumptions
Small version bump. Meaningful improvements.
seanmullen.com/airborne-inf...
01.03.2026 20:40
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Each time I see interviews like this, commenting on the most recent "Pivot To AI" announcement, I think about all the economic ecological niches being abandoned and thus re-opened, and what someone could do with any one of those opportunities.
01.03.2026 21:17
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An infinite number of mathematicians enter a bar.
The 1st orders a beer.
The next says: "I'll have 1/2 of what he ordered"
The next says: "I'll have 1/2 of that..."
The bartender stops them, pours two beers and says:
"I get it, but you need to know your limits."
01.03.2026 19:51
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Your periodic reminder that in times of geopolitical instability - domestic, international, or both - an important element of building and maintaining both individual and societal resilience is to stay as healthy as possible. Protect your body and your brain: wear a respirator.
01.03.2026 11:52
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Good thing to remember online right now is that everyone here is very emotionally dysregulated and dealing with that by posting
28.02.2026 23:17
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The CDC says it's fine to resume normal activities 24 hrs after Covid symptoms are improving. A new, large prospective study with digital tracking shows recovery takes much longer than that www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
07.02.2026 15:42
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Thank you, this is awesome.
01.03.2026 02:39
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I built AIRE, a free browser tool that estimates airborne COVID risk indoors using the PMC framework.
It also offers an optional โcigarette pack equivalent.โ
Why?
Because 3% per event is abstract.
Cumulative harm is easier to grasp on a familiar scale. ๐งต
28.02.2026 18:36
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In space noone can here you scream "It's metric!"
01.03.2026 01:53
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