The Plains may have been in the limelight when it comes to the forecasts, but a tornado has been underway in the state of Michigan for a while. One can see a related velocity couplet in this doppler animation:
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Here's a look at the continental radar composite as severe weather risk continues. A level 3 out of 5 risk area has been highlighted by the SPC across the central and southern Plains and the Lower Missouri Valley.
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An active weather pattern is underway. The SPC has highlighted risk areas up to level 3 out of 5 with concerns being large to very large hail, a few tornadoes and severe winds.
Visible imagery from GOES-19:
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A look at air temperature across the continental USA this morning:
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Here's an ECMWF scenario of clouds and significant weather at 5 AM CST early Tuesday as a total lunar eclipse will be visible at least in part across the country, weather permitting. Timing for the eclipse favors areas in the west.
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A look at Florida this morning in the visible imagery generated from GOES-19 data:
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Potentially historic winter storm is set to impact the northeastern US bringing heavy snowfall, strong winds and coastal flooding.
GFS scenario of significant weather through Monday:
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Severe thunderstorms are possible today across the parts of Midwest and lower Ohio Valley. Risks include tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds.
An HRRR scenario of simulated radar reflectivity, 500 mb wind streamlines and surface wind vectors: weather.us/model-charts...
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A look at the continental radar composite this morning as active weather continues in several regions. Wintry weather is expected from Upper Midwest to New England. Heavy snow also continues to be a concern in Sierra Nevada and Intercontinental West:
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Here's a look at dew points across the continental USA this morning. Extremely critical fire weather is expected today across the central Plains due to the winds and low relative humidities. Elsewhere, flood threat continues in California due to rain.
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Large areas of rainfall can be seen over California in the continental US radar composite as the WPC has highlighted a level 2 out of 4 risk for excessive rainfall for parts of the state today.
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Shown is an ECMWF scenario of significant weather in the continental USA over the next three days as an area of low pressure is expected to bring widespread precipitation to the southern and southeastern regions this weekend.
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A look at air temperature across the continental USA this morning:
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Here's a look at the latest hourly wind gusts across Alaska as a storm is continuing to impact the state.
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A look at observed weather reported across the continental USA this early afternoon, expressed with the standard WMO symbols:
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Cracks have formed in the ice over Lake Erie which are so large that they can be detected in visible satellite imagery from GOES-19. This morning's view is facing some interference from clouds but the cracks are still visible:
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Shown is a map of hourly wind gusts across the continental USA as of 11 AM Central Time.
Latest data:
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A look at the continental US in visible satellite imagery from GOES-19 this noontime:
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A graph of hourly rain amount and the accumulated rain amount between 5 PM CET on February 3rd, 2026 and 5 PM CET February 4th, 2026. A label on the right indicates an hourly rainfall amount of 1.06 inches and an aggregation period total of 16.80 inches.
In addition to the US weather, we also have weather data from around the world. Here's for example a rainfall observation from Grazalema, Spain, which is experiencing a major rain event. The station has so far measured 16.8 inches of rain in the past 24 hours:
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Light snow is possible today from the upper Ohio Valley all the way into the Mid-Atlantic. Meanwhile, rain and thunderstorms will be a topic in the southeast and along the Gulf Coast.
Scenario of significant weather from GFS:
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A look at air temperature across the continental USA this forenoon:
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Here's a look at visible imagery from GOES-19 as winter storm warnings are in effect in several states ahead of the winter storm expected this weekend.
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Another significant winter storm is expected to impact the eastern United States this weekend. In addition to winter weather conditions, coastal flooding is possible in the Mid-Atlantic from strong onshore winds coinciding with astronomical high tide.
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A look at air temperature across the continental USA this noontime:
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Here's a look at observed temperatures this forenoon as below average temperatures continue in the eastern half the Lower 48 this week. There are hints in the guidance of new weather trouble this weekend.
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Here's a look at reported air temperatures across the continental US this noontime. The weekend's historic winter storm is now shifting away from the East Coast, but heavy snow continues today in the Northeast.
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Here's a look at observed weather reports across the CONUS as a major winter storm impacting a large area from southern Rockies to New England is getting underway. It won't be just snow, there will also be a swath of significant freezing rain.
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Here's a look at the map of air temperatures this morning, showing the cold airmass setting the stage for a major winter storm that is about to unfold from the southern Plains/Rockies into the Mid-Atlantic and New England this weekend.
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Winter storm watches have been issued from NM to TN for what could become a major winter storm this weekend. Here is a scenario of significant weather from ECMWF for noon CST on Saturday, but be aware of uncertainties and compare with other models.
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Here's a look at the latest visible satellite imagery from GOES-19. For now, a lot of clear skies can be seen on the image, but trouble is brewing for the weekend as a winter storm could impact areas from southern Plains to the Mid-Atlantic.
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