The long-awaited Schools White Paper, “Every child achieving and thriving,” arrived yesterday with lots to digest.
At the UCL Centre for Education Policy & Equalising Opportunities, we study how policy can reduce inequality and improve life chances.
Here are 5 takeaways from CEPEO 👇
Structural Equation Modeling [2026, colourized]
#rstats
Me: [Selecting the button it presents me with] Sure, go ahead and access my calendar.
Copilot: I’m ready to help — but I need to let you know one important thing: I can’t actually access your Outlook calendar directly.
What a timewaster Microsoft 365 Copilot is (a 2 act play, edited for brevity).
Me: Could you help me set up a scheduling poll?
Copilot: Just let me know your availability!
Me: Can you see my calendar?
Copilot: I can definitely read your calendar and do this automatically — if you grant permission.
📣A journal article from the COSMO Study's @jakeanders.uk and @ericaholtwhite.bsky.social has been published in Social Indicators Research!
The article uses COSMO data to highlight inequalities in young people’s subjective wellbeing and mental health in the wake of the pandemic 🧵
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
I’ve tried a few ways of querying Zotero from LLM and agree this MCP is the best at present.
Where in the world does typical teacher professional development address educational inequity? Out now w/ Nils Kirsten and Jan-Eric Gustafsson!
And since Bluesky seems to like econometrics, the #OA study uses a within-student-between-subject approach :)
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
I contributed a chapter co-authored with @carlcullinane.bsky.social & @beckymontacute.bsky.social and drawing on the work of the whole cosmostudy.uk team @cepeo-ucl.bsky.social & @suttontrust.bsky.social summarising our findings on the unequal impacts of the pandemic.
Book cover of "Global Perspectives on Recovery from Learning Disruption: Educational Responses to the Covid-19 Pandemic"
Great new book out edited by @mcazaola.bsky.social on the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on education, focusing on learning disruption and recovery from that disruption.
www.bloomsbury.com/9781350520523
You can read the full results from this paper now that they have, indeed, forthcome (open access for all to see!) in Social Indicators Research here:
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
And if you want even more, you can see all the analysis code behind the paper on this Github respository (github.com/jakeanders/c...) and obtain all the data for your own work from @ukdataservice.bsky.social (datacatalogue.ukdataservice.ac.uk/series/serie...).
You can read the full results from this paper now that they have, indeed, forthcome (open access for all to see!) in Social Indicators Research here:
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
I’m basically imagining this is going to be stitched together into a training montage at the start of a co-presented Travelling Turtle video in 18 years time.
We are pleased to announce the first Economic Opportunity in Europe Conference, co-organized by @oppinsights.bsky.social, Sciences Po and @labdeoportunidades.bsky.social
Paris, France | Jun 15–16, 2026 | Keynote: Raj Chetty
Sub deadline: March 1
🔗More Info: opportunityinsights.org/updates/econ...
Interested in applying for a research fellowship using admin datasets, like the National Pupil Database and LEO? Have a look at this blog for some guidance on how to shape your proposal.
vist.ly/4nvpw
Today, we celebrate the 80th year of the @um-src.bsky.social at ISR by launching a new web panel starting Fall 2026. It is called M-Panel and will be collecting a national sample representative of the U.S.
School accountability (in the US) had positive effects on various attainments, with little evidence for teaching to the test, economists find. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
Highlighting some of our findings from COSMO Wave 2 — which you can download and use for your analysis from @ukdataservice.bsky.social
New post by @jakeanders.uk on @ukdsimpact.bsky.social highlights some things we've learned from Wave 2 of COSMO (our study with @clscohorts.bsky.social & @suttontrust.bsky.social).
blog.ukdataservice.ac.uk/cosmo-wave-2/
You can download and use all the COSMO data from @ukdataservice.bsky.social
Good lord, you’ve done wonders on getting a sleep rhythm going there! Here’s our youngest’s Huckleberry map from a comparable point…
I have been predicting that for some time now.
Dog*
* Terms & conditions apply.
Might work for you/yours. Might be a colossal waste of cash. I think there is no way to predict in advance.
I’ll see what I can do!
Last call for this as a) it’s almost full and b) we have to send the list of attendees very early in the year so registration will close either way!
Congratulations! May she bring you both ever so much joy
Does this make you a NIMBY, Alex?
You never know what they might get up to by themselves.
Never leave your UKDS datasets unattended!
