Pavel is always on the run
@d1fun
i buy things & sell things w the goal of making $ for those i love, those that trust me & myself. at times w/o disclosures do not copy me or trade bc of me. here to share & debate, not advise. i change my mind often & get lots of things wrong
Pavel is always on the run
*telegram
Get with the times
I am too dense - I presume this is humour? π
ie insights into the degen brain
The one caveat is everyoneβs algo is tailored to them
Tons of victory laps and content out there celebrating the first torpedo kill since ww2
Bad guy vs good guy. Removes the human aspect for many
That much is true. Very true
ive tended to selfishly avoid watching the live cell phone vids
humanizes everything im trading and gets me too emotional :/
yup
spare the Greeks
damn
π©³ szn it is
Well how do we define βwinβ
plugged my nose and bought a few fallen angel software co's after the destruction too, but all small. shouldve gone heavier
i tend to agree too, fwiw
net short equities
short silvy
long energy
long (many) commods
long real assets / real estate
long chems
[i'm still long at shitton of biotech from last year too when we chatted abt the true max pain / fear washout... but exiting out of as LTCG come through]
thank u
facts change. probabilities change π«‘
industry just giong to keep consolidating too. stuff like $wes buying $kntk
can keep simple and just own the big boy tax efficient $et. their network would cost almost $2 trillion to replace tody
also own a ton of US midstream but ill likely hold that regardless of CL prices unless they really run higher. i like the oligopoly toll road biz. most are trading below $0.10 on the dollar replacement cost.
structural inflation + ai / energy demand winners too
still fading? or think facts changed and it's π― time?
i'm still long
- got sco for the direct exposure, and
- a basket of chems companies that are structural winners from higher too
- tiny positions in a few levered equity stub shitcos like $kos , but those have run 100-200%+ since jan
What about those gold miners in Nevada that donβt mine gold? And have a live $500M shelf?
fortunately they got a diversified 3x levered etf i can try to slam at the extremes
wise
worst short of my life was a bio. ripped my face off. lost more $ in 1 hour than i thought id ever touch in a lifetime as a college kid
was cracking up for a few mins
(darkens)
and if ur bad, #1 and #2 dont apply, bc the mkt will take ur $ for u π
the 2 big things are
1) never keep too much $ on there (both hack risk, and separately, you get hunted on ur positions if u trade any size)
2) if ur good, change wallets bc ppl copy u since it's a live track record. and ur trades / funding rates get crowded when ppl copy
eh i can manage the risk
it's some of the best risk/reward bets u can make. it's the silliest counterparties of all time all transparently in one place
already got multiples of my original capital out, and will contineu to do so
thank u btw
you're an all time poaster
Bloombergβs reporting is entirely inaccurate btw
To this day still almost no one in finance understands (the weeds of) crypto mkts
can i ask - increasing budget above $100 now ?
HL mkts r capped out now (i.e., degens betting on limit up)