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stellar wind

@xkeyscore

NYT subscriber. Reading about beliefs and alignments, preference cascades, Persia and Iraq.

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Latest posts by stellar wind @xkeyscore

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Hummers in the sketchbook 🀎

06.09.2025 00:38 πŸ‘ 8216 πŸ” 438 πŸ’¬ 145 πŸ“Œ 23
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See, only fringe figures like the Israeli defense minister are framing Israeli action as collective punishment

08.09.2025 07:38 πŸ‘ 294 πŸ” 73 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 4
Preview
France, at an Impasse, Heads Toward Another Government Collapse A vote of confidence scheduled for Monday appears set to topple Prime Minister FranΓ§ois Bayrou and put more pressure on President Emmanuel Macron.

A politically paralyzed France has had four prime ministers in the past 20 months and appears on the verge of adding a fifth, a degree of instability suggestive of institutional crisis and unknown since the establishment of the Fifth Republic in 1958.

08.09.2025 07:40 πŸ‘ 72 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 5

google the word β€œdisanalogy” and then think a little. will help you.

21.07.2025 00:39 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

employed by the Russians (one example is the bridges over the Dnieper, 2 years before generation was targeted, etc) but that’s a somewhat different conversation to begin with.

21.07.2025 00:36 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œUkraine has been subject to drone and missile β€œjoint firepower strikes” for almost three years straight and it has availed the Russians nothing”

This seems genuinely v difficult to believe, even inc. some pretty dubious assumptions. There is something to be said about that actual targeting…

21.07.2025 00:35 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

They’ve come a long way since the 50s yes

21.07.2025 00:32 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

lol

20.07.2025 22:33 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I’m not that keen on the Taliban but I am glad that Afghanistan is finally at peace. Been thinking a lot about that country lately. From the Herat rising to the time we left. I hope things get better there.

20.07.2025 22:32 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Part of me wants to get a big following on here so I can solicit opinions on various things but part of the reason I nuked my twitter is because I have (had?) a big following and it just got… yeah

20.07.2025 22:19 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

i have quibbles with the article but it is insane that ezra klein is publishing these words in the new york times

20.07.2025 18:49 πŸ‘ 259 πŸ” 41 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 1

Rest in Peace

20.07.2025 21:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I see the replies are still doing "everything in the USG on UKR was Jake Sullivan and only Jake Sullivan's fault" discourse

I don't give a shit about Sullivan but we're going to continue to miss the roots of the problem

01.07.2025 00:23 πŸ‘ 137 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

No, this wasn’t possible. You can model it with the forces they had at the time, where they’d stage from, which units etc. Just wasn’t enough. Ru had a massive overwhelming advantage in the south. Plus a modern army fighting on 2 other axes. Very few countries could deal with that.

06.07.2025 09:46 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

in fairness the paper you’re almost certainly thinking of doesn’t actually argue that/come to those conclusions. It’s misrepresented a lot online.

06.07.2025 09:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Anyway I might have an idea for this

Reply with your most substantive gripes about Dem FP

01.07.2025 02:21 πŸ‘ 103 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 38 πŸ“Œ 6

This is sort of like tracing the Vietnam war back to 1962.

06.07.2025 09:28 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Turns out IAF did have tanker support from USAF, obvious in hindsight can’t believe I missed that.

06.07.2025 09:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

My recollection as a kid was that silver iodide does work, but it could screw weather patterns/produce unwanted second order effects, so we don’t use it. Plus people don’t like govt manipulating weather, we don’t need it to stop famines etc. Cool tech tho

06.07.2025 08:36 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

If they are okay with it could you share a link once it’s done? I’ve heard conflicting things about space based (and Ru countermeasures)

06.07.2025 08:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

well yes. reports had been flooding in the whole summer. β€œBin Laden Determined to Strike in US” remember?

06.07.2025 08:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

We have a lot of (good) lit on the Israeli record wrt LOAC and simple domestic policy vis-a-vis the Palestinians. On their use of torture, adventures in Lebanon, so forth. It wasn’t surprising that they would immediately start mass murder in Gaza.

06.07.2025 08:28 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Could you explain the Magna Carta one please?

06.07.2025 08:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Some historians traced the origins of the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq war back to the pre-Islamic rivalry between the Babylonian and Achaemenid empires πŸ€·β€β™€οΈ

16.06.2025 23:43 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œWhy would he turn off the replies?”

09.06.2025 14:48 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

it isn’t, for precisely the reasons laid out above.

02.06.2025 12:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Just going to point out that in just the last month we’ve seen the most intense, multi-modal warfare between two nuclear-armed states ever (India & Pakistan) and now possibly the largest-ever attack on nuclear-capable assets in a nuclear state (UA vs Ru, today).

The times they are a-changin’.

01.06.2025 17:17 πŸ‘ 166 πŸ” 43 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 1
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Absolutely insane footage! Strategic Russian aviation getting wiped out on an unprecedented scale.

01.06.2025 12:29 πŸ‘ 1434 πŸ” 230 πŸ’¬ 59 πŸ“Œ 29