Sertalp B. Çay

Caption reads: "FPL value-for-money" "Calculated using SOlio projections in GW22 of the 2025/26 season" A line graph showing the change in "Optimised projected points per gameweek for the next 10gws" over increase in "starting budget"

Team value in FPL has never been less important than right now.

In previous seasons, you could consistently expect around 0.30 to 0.35 extra projected points per gw per 1mill of budget (peaking as high as ~0.42 at the start of the 22/23 season).

Currently it is around ~0.17

I calculated a soccer-specific chess rating for 4,400 online games between ~100 players' accounts

Top 10:
1. Marten de Roon
2. Yussuf Poulsen
3. Antonee Robinson
4. Stefan de Vrij
5. Borna Sosa
6. Christian Pulisic
7. Michael Olise
8. Kevin Prince Boateng
9. N'Golo Kante
10. Josip Stanisic

💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW17

Sharp market projections for the next round of PL fixtures: goals & CS%, teams to target and WDL odds 👇

FPL Gameweek 13 - Sertalp's Wildcard YouTube video by Solio Analytics

📺 Gameweek 13 - Sertalp's Wildcard

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com to discuss analytics philosophy, team strength editing, Sertalp's wildcard, and how to think about FH13.

youtu.be/Or3zaqn1Hn4

FPL Gameweek 12 - James' Wildcard YouTube video by Solio Analytics

📺 Gameweek 12 - James' Wildcard

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @trout-post.com, CTO of Solio Analytics, to discuss some recent Solio features, planning with risk, and James's chip strategy and wildcard draft (he has all his chips left!)

youtu.be/Ic-JVdnwQGg

#FPL Player baselines and projected minutes are updated on Solio for #GW11 based on press conferences and latest market numbers.

fpl.solioanalytics.com

FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd YouTube video by Solio Analytics

📺 FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss Solio's new "wisdom of the crowd" feature and what we can learn from people's beliefs, as well as the current trend of defenders dominating the FPL points, and some Free Hit planning.

youtu.be/gSr36PyXWHU

📊 #FPL Defender DEFCON vs xGC tiers | GW1-9

As requested, a look at which defenders have best balanced:
🛡️ Clean sheet potential (team xGC p90)
🛡️ DEFCON bonus potential (CBIT p90)

Converted using a Poisson-based model to map out equivalent points tiers🤓😅

FPL Gameweek 9 - What's happening with Salah? YouTube video by Solio Analytics

📺 GW9 - What's happening with Salah?

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss how we can evaluate Salah and his projections moving forward, as well as a dive into some of the popular midfield and forward options for the upcoming gameweeks.

youtu.be/S2ZWdMRKHCk

💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW9

Sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: goals & CS%, WDL odds & teams to target 👇

📊 GW6: Solio projected #FPL points and picks

A look at some of the top projected GW6 players from our live @SolioAnalytics model after today's press conferences - & an example 'free hit' team 👇

Triple Everton, Spurs & City and double Utd! Model will update until deadline

💹📊 Projected team goals and CS odds | GW6–19

From sharp betting markets & our @solioanalytics.com market-derived model

Extended the usual 6GW horizon to the season's halfway mark - hopefully useful for chip planning. Later GW for guidance only, plenty will change!

💹 PL GW6 matchups

A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇

📉 Through GW1-6, markets have projected ~20 fewer PL goals compared to this time last season

🤔

At Tier 3 you get unlimited access to all our features, and you get new ones 4 weeks early. Details below.

#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague

Throughout the day – at 12.00, 3.00, 6.00, and 9.00 PM (UK) – we’ll be revealing the contents of our subscription tiers. First up, the prices (and our season long discount offer below).

#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague

GW4: Wildcard Active YouTube video by Solio Analytics

GW4: Wildcard Active

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss wildcard timing and chip strategy, examining when and why to use your first wildcard of the season.

youtu.be/B8FtDFIjF4g

With Ange Postecoglou set to take over at Forest, we went back to look at some DEFCON data from his Spurs spell

His high line + pressing style generally created more DEFCON chances for opponents than for his own players 👇

🐐

Bruno has split time between deep & advanced midfield roles in Amorim’s 3-4-2-1

We re-scored his Amorim-era #FPL pts with the new DEFCON bonus & compared his data when starting in different roles

So far, not much evidence that he struggles when deeper 👇

Really fun game to try if you like solving puzzles and chess (and the football theme is a big bonus too!)

It's really fun, but not being able to complete a bonus round is dropping my productivity 😅

🙌

Analytics in FPL YouTube video by Solio Analytics

Analytics in FPL 📽️

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com, co-founder of Solio Analytics, for an in-depth discussion about the analytical foundations behind successful Fantasy Premier League strategy.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q4k...

Our new FPL app at fpl.solioanalytics.com 😊

#FPL Optimized sample is completed, and we are ready for GW2

Last week, we have added an option to edit your team. By clicking at the leftmost 'root' node, you can enter your transfers, change the price, and adjust ITB.

You can also go back to previous GWs to find your old plans: Top-left menu, plan settings, start gameweek

Solio is already back online for #GW3 planning. 🚄

#FPL

Thank you!
Yep, CBIT, Bonus, Penalty (Taker) adjustments are in the pipeline. We noticed that people really liked the idea of adjustable projections, so we are improving the structure to make everything editable (easily). Hopefully will give an update on it soon.

OPTA stats are pretty expensive (as we have no income right now). Will raise other items to the team and will discuss.