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Oren Hadar

@futureis.la

LA has the best bones of any city in the world. It can become a true world capital if we only let it. Sign up at https://futureis.la

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20.05.2025
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Latest posts by Oren Hadar @futureis.la

Yikes. That's worse than the bike rack at my Vons.

07.03.2026 00:14 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Sure!

06.03.2026 21:23 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

They just ignored it until somebody told them they had to stop. The Willits people seem to know about it, but the settlement was 10 years ago, so...

06.03.2026 19:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

The trend shift in adults per family household is so insane.

its even more insane that every important policymaker and economist thought we were slowly soaking up a glut of homes even into the 2010s.

And it’s even more insane that there are still supply-crisis skeptics today.

05.03.2026 23:58 πŸ‘ 377 πŸ” 96 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 17

A little confusing that the dashed line for the NoHo bus goes right through the letter "D" by Wilshire/Western. (Also I rewrote that three times to avoid provoking giggles).

04.03.2026 19:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‘€

02.03.2026 20:08 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Incredibly deeply reported history by @maylin.bsky.social of LA's failure to build curb ramps for decades. Her discussion of the Willits settlement makes me wonder if the city stopped repaving in response to developments in that case (which has been in mediation in recent years).

27.02.2026 21:54 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

LA keeps saying it's fixing its housing shortage.

Oren Hadar got the real numbers and asks whether the City Council will use this moment on SB 79 to finally do something real, or just do the minimum to delay another four years.

Full breakdown in his thread. Highly recommend reading.

26.02.2026 19:57 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Plus single-stair reform...

24.02.2026 04:00 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Would CT be feasible in single family areas with lower IZ requirements? I believe it's currently two low-income or three moderate-income units for a 16 unit building.

24.02.2026 03:22 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

FWIW, the map depicts the average time to permit a 30-unit building, using a very complicated methodology that takes up an entire appendix (C) of the paper.

23.02.2026 22:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‘€ The insane correlation in LA between how long it takes to build an apartment building and how wealthy the neighborhood is. Left is from Soltas' paper, right is the Planning Dept.'s neighborhood map. Maybe we should make it easier to build in rich neighborhoods!

23.02.2026 20:14 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Update: the Planning Dept. told me they listed a 500+ unit TOIA project by mistake, and I found a duplicate (also TOIA). The correct total homes proposed in CHIP's first year: 99 projects, 8,835 units. Total TOIA: 2,286 units, or less than a quarter of what was proposed in TOC's first year.

23.02.2026 17:39 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Here's a map of the (paltry) 101 CHIP projects proposed in LA in the program's first year. See thread below for my analysis.

22.02.2026 23:05 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Slowly CHIPping away The city's big housing plan turned a year old last week. It's not exactly going gangbusters.

My full writeup is here:

21.02.2026 18:11 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
First year of CHIP, no DB projects

Here's the list of projects for anyone who wants to take a look:

21.02.2026 18:11 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

But the single-family debate might get a redo as the city debates SB 79 implementation. LA could delay SB 79 until 2030 by allowing either TOIA or CT in single-family zones around transit stops. Would these meh programs work better in SFZ? Even more than SB 79 itself? City Council has to decide.

21.02.2026 18:11 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The two truly new programs that actually allow apartment buildings in new places were total busts. Opportunity Corridors - 6 projects submitted the entire year. Corridor Transitions - zero projects submitted. Part of what handicaps OC and CT is that they can't be used in single-family zones.

21.02.2026 18:11 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
A bar graph titled "Homes proposed in first year" with two columns representing two LA housing programs - the old TOC, which producedd 9909 it its first year, and the new TOIA, which produced just 2862.

A bar graph titled "Homes proposed in first year" with two columns representing two LA housing programs - the old TOC, which producedd 9909 it its first year, and the new TOIA, which produced just 2862.

A bar graph titled "Homes proposed in first year" with two columns representing two LA housing programs - the old ED 1, which producedd 10306 it its first year, and the new AHIP, which produced just 6077.

A bar graph titled "Homes proposed in first year" with two columns representing two LA housing programs - the old ED 1, which producedd 10306 it its first year, and the new AHIP, which produced just 6077.

And those rebranded programs did worse than their predecessors did in their first years. TOIA produced 30% of the homes TOC did in its first year, and AHIP produced 60% of ED 1.

(Note: I ignored homes submitted using the state density bonus program - they should be counted separately from CHIP.)

21.02.2026 18:11 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
A bar graph titled "Homes proposed in CHIP's first year" depicting the total homes proposed through CHIP's four programs. The columns are TOIA, which produced 2862 homes, AHIP, which produced 6077, Opportunity Corridors, which produced 472, and Corridor Transitions, which produced zero. There is also a Total column, which shows 9411 total homes proposed.

A bar graph titled "Homes proposed in CHIP's first year" depicting the total homes proposed through CHIP's four programs. The columns are TOIA, which produced 2862 homes, AHIP, which produced 6077, Opportunity Corridors, which produced 472, and Corridor Transitions, which produced zero. There is also a Total column, which shows 9411 total homes proposed.

Only 9,411 new homes were submitted through CHIP's four big programs in year 1. Way less than the state's expectation that LA build ~60k homes per year. Worse, 95% of homes were submitted through the two programs (TOIA and AHIP) that are basically update/rebrands of existing programs (TOC and ED 1).

21.02.2026 18:11 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Slowly CHIPping away The city's big housing plan turned a year old last week. It's not exactly going gangbusters.

Happy first birthday to CHIP, LA's big housing plan to spur homebuilding and help us meet state housing targets. How was baby's first year? I got a list of all the projects submitted so far, and it's...underwhelming at best. A 🧡, including how this could affect SB 79 implementation:

21.02.2026 18:11 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3

1. Singapore

19.02.2026 20:36 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
17.02.2026 18:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Southern California air board rejected pollution rules after AI-generated flood of comments SoCal’s pollution authority scrapped a plan to phase out gas-powered appliances after receiving more than 20,000 emails sent by an AI-powered platform called CiviClick.

"Public comment" was always hackable, first by NIMBYs, then by astroturf groups funded by big corporations, and now by AI. All along the way it has made our government less representative and more captured by special interests who favor the status quo. It causes more harm than good. Let's ditch it.

17.02.2026 16:20 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

LA City Council: serving hyper local special interests over the greater good since 1850

16.02.2026 20:48 πŸ‘ 89 πŸ” 21 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Bass helped Raman win reelection. Now Raman wants to unseat her. Some call it 'a betrayal' Raman’s last-minute run for mayor has shocked the city’s political elite and infuriated Bass' supporters. Some observers called it a betrayal of Shakespearean proportions.

Perfect framing of how LA’s political elite view things: elections aren’t for giving voters an opportunity to choose on the future of their city, county, or district; they’re for rewarding loyalty to the establishment machine.

www.latimes.com/california/s...

15.02.2026 16:16 πŸ‘ 83 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 3

When they say "millions" here, they mean over $100M!

Together these awards totaled to:

Wilmington Safe Streets: $32M
Skid Row Connectivity Project: $39M
Boyle Heights Connectivity Project: $32M

(it's notable that the motion omits the embarrassing total)

14.02.2026 19:03 πŸ‘ 93 πŸ” 25 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Do the ADUs have to be detached from each other?

13.02.2026 21:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It's alive!

11.02.2026 16:56 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Has this been implemented anywhere?

06.02.2026 22:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0