:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 06 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
00-03UT 1.00 3.67 4.00
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.00
06-09UT 1.67 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 1.67 1.67 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
polarity coronal hole high speed stream.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 08 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-06T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
06.03.2026 14:04
๐ 1
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๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
00-03UT 2.00 3.67 4.00
03-06UT 2.33 3.33 2.00
06-09UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.33 1.67 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
polarity coronal hole high speed stream.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 08 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-06T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
06.03.2026 08:04
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๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
00-03UT 2.00 3.67 4.00
03-06UT 2.33 3.33 2.00
06-09UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.33 1.67 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
polarity coronal hole high speed stream.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 08 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-06T02:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
06.03.2026 02:04
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๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 05 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
00-03UT 1.67 3.33 3.67
03-06UT 0.67 3.33 3.33
06-09UT 1.67 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 0.33 2.67 1.67
12-15UT 1.00 3.00 3.00
15-18UT 2.33 4.00 3.33
18-21UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67
21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 07 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-05T20:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
05.03.2026 20:04
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๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 05 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
00-03UT 1.67 3.33 3.67
03-06UT 0.67 3.33 3.33
06-09UT 1.67 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 0.33 2.67 1.67
12-15UT 1.00 3.00 3.00
15-18UT 2.33 4.00 3.33
18-21UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67
21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 07 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-05T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
05.03.2026 14:04
๐ 0
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
00-03UT 2.33 3.33 3.67
03-06UT 2.33 3.33 3.33
06-09UT 1.00 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 1.33 2.67 1.67
12-15UT 1.00 3.00 3.00
15-18UT 2.33 4.00 3.33
18-21UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67
21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 07 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-05T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
05.03.2026 08:04
๐ 0
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
00-03UT 2.33 3.33 3.67
03-06UT 2.33 3.33 3.33
06-09UT 1.00 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 1.33 2.67 1.67
12-15UT 1.00 3.00 3.00
15-18UT 2.33 4.00 3.33
18-21UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67
21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026
Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 07 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-05T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
05.03.2026 02:04
๐ 0
๐ 0
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๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 04 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
00-03UT 2.33 2.33 4.33
03-06UT 3.00 2.33 4.33
06-09UT 2.00 1.00 3.33
09-12UT 2.00 1.33 3.33
12-15UT 0.67 1.00 3.00
15-18UT 0.67 2.33 2.67
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 3.00
21-00UT 2.00 3.33 4.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 06 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-04T20:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
04.03.2026 20:04
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๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 04 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
00-03UT 2.33 2.33 4.33
03-06UT 3.00 2.33 4.33
06-09UT 2.00 1.00 3.33
09-12UT 2.00 1.33 3.33
12-15UT 0.67 1.00 3.00
15-18UT 0.67 2.33 2.67
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 3.00
21-00UT 2.00 3.33 4.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 06 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-04T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
04.03.2026 14:04
๐ 0
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 04 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 4.33
03-06UT 3.67 2.33 4.33
06-09UT 2.67 1.00 3.33
09-12UT 1.67 1.33 3.33
12-15UT 0.67 1.00 3.00
15-18UT 0.67 2.33 2.67
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 3.00
21-00UT 2.00 3.33 4.33
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 04 Mar
due to CH HSS influences.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 06 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-04T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
04.03.2026 08:04
๐ 2
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 04 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 4.33
03-06UT 3.67 2.33 4.33
06-09UT 2.67 1.00 3.33
09-12UT 1.67 1.33 3.33
12-15UT 0.67 1.00 3.00
15-18UT 0.67 2.33 2.67
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 3.00
21-00UT 2.00 3.33 4.33
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 04 Mar
due to CH HSS influences.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026
Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 06 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-04T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
04.03.2026 02:04
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๐ 0
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 1971
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2248 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2248 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:50:03Z
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2248 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.
03.03.2026 22:50
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๐ 0
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 2202
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:40:07Z
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.
03.03.2026 22:40
๐ 1
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 2202
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2232 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:40:03Z
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.
03.03.2026 22:40
๐ 0
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 2637
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2228 UTC
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2228 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:30:03Z
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2228 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
Additional Details Here.
03.03.2026 22:30
๐ 0
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 5276
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2208 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2208 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:10:03Z
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2208 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Additional Details Here.
03.03.2026 22:10
๐ 0
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T20:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
03.03.2026 20:04
๐ 1
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
03.03.2026 14:04
๐ 1
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 2.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 1.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 1.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 05 Mar.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 05 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
03.03.2026 08:04
๐ 1
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 2.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 1.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 1.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 05 Mar.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026
Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 05 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
03.03.2026 02:04
๐ 1
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 02 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
00-03UT 1.67 3.33 2.33
03-06UT 1.00 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 1.33 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 1.00 2.00 2.33
12-15UT 1.00 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 1.33 2.33 2.00
18-21UT 2.00 2.67 2.00
21-00UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 04 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-02T20:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
02.03.2026 20:04
๐ 1
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 02 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
00-03UT 1.67 3.33 2.33
03-06UT 1.00 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 1.33 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 1.00 2.00 2.33
12-15UT 1.00 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 1.33 2.33 2.00
18-21UT 2.00 2.67 2.00
21-00UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 04 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-02T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
02.03.2026 14:04
๐ 1
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.33
03-06UT 2.33 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 2.00 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 2.00 2.00 2.33
12-15UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.33 2.00
18-21UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
21-00UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 02-04 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-02T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
02.03.2026 08:04
๐ 0
๐ 0
๐ฌ 0
๐ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.33
03-06UT 2.33 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 2.00 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 2.00 2.00 2.33
12-15UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.33 2.00
18-21UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
21-00UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026
Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 02-04 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-02T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
02.03.2026 02:04
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:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 01 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.00
03-06UT 2.67 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 2.00 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 2.67 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.33
18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33
Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming
periods, on 01 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb,
followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences on 02 Mar.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 03 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-01T20:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
01.03.2026 20:04
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:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 01 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.00
03-06UT 2.67 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 2.00 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 2.67 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.33
18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33
Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming
periods, on 01 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb,
followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences on 02 Mar.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 03 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-01T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
01.03.2026 14:04
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:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
00-03UT 3.33 3.33 2.00
03-06UT 4.33 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 4.00 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 2.67 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.33
18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 01-03 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-01T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
01.03.2026 08:04
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:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
00-03UT 3.33 3.33 2.00
03-06UT 4.33 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 4.00 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 2.67 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.33
18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026
Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 01-03 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-01T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
01.03.2026 02:04
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:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 28 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 28-Mar 02 2026
Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
00-03UT 1.67 3.33 3.33
03-06UT 2.67 4.33 3.67
06-09UT 1.67 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 1.33 3.00 2.67
12-15UT 1.67 2.67 3.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.67 3.00
18-21UT 3.00 3.00 3.33
21-00UT 3.33 3.00 3.00
Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming periods
on 01-02 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb,
followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026
Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026
Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) through
02 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-02-28T20:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.
28.02.2026 20:04
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:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 28 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 28-Mar 02 2026
Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
00-03UT 1.67 3.33 3.33
03-06UT 2.67 4.33 3.67
06-09UT 1.67 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 1.33 3.00 2.67
12-15UT 1.67 2.67 3.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.67 3.00
18-21UT 3.00 3.00 3.33
21-00UT 3.33 3.00 3.00
Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming periods
on 01-02 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb,
followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026
Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026
Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) through
02 Mar.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.
Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-02-28T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.
28.02.2026 14:04
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