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Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL)

@aurora.nws-bot.us

A bot sharing aurora forecast details from the NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. This account is unmonitored. Contact @wandrme.paxex.aero if needed.

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Latest posts by Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 06 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

             Mar 06       Mar 07       Mar 08
00-03UT       1.00         3.67         4.00     
03-06UT       2.67         3.33         2.00     
06-09UT       1.67         2.00         2.00     
09-12UT       1.67         1.67         2.00     
12-15UT       3.67         3.00         2.67     
15-18UT       4.00         3.33         2.67     
18-21UT       4.67 (G1)    3.67         2.67     
21-00UT       4.33         3.33         3.00     

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
polarity coronal hole high speed stream.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

              Mar 06  Mar 07  Mar 08
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

              Mar 06        Mar 07        Mar 08
R1-R2           20%           20%           20%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 08 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 06 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08 00-03UT 1.00 3.67 4.00 03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.00 06-09UT 1.67 2.00 2.00 09-12UT 1.67 1.67 2.00 12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67 15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67 21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00 Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 08 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-06T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

06.03.2026 14:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

             Mar 06       Mar 07       Mar 08
00-03UT       2.00         3.67         4.00     
03-06UT       2.33         3.33         2.00     
06-09UT       3.33         2.00         2.00     
09-12UT       3.33         1.67         2.00     
12-15UT       3.67         3.00         2.67     
15-18UT       4.00         3.33         2.67     
18-21UT       4.67 (G1)    3.67         2.67     
21-00UT       4.33         3.33         3.00     

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
polarity coronal hole high speed stream.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

              Mar 06  Mar 07  Mar 08
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

              Mar 06        Mar 07        Mar 08
R1-R2           20%           20%           20%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 08 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 06 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08 00-03UT 2.00 3.67 4.00 03-06UT 2.33 3.33 2.00 06-09UT 3.33 2.00 2.00 09-12UT 3.33 1.67 2.00 12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67 15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67 21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00 Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 08 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-06T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

06.03.2026 08:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

             Mar 06       Mar 07       Mar 08
00-03UT       2.00         3.67         4.00     
03-06UT       2.33         3.33         2.00     
06-09UT       3.33         2.00         2.00     
09-12UT       3.33         1.67         2.00     
12-15UT       3.67         3.00         2.67     
15-18UT       4.00         3.33         2.67     
18-21UT       4.67 (G1)    3.67         2.67     
21-00UT       4.33         3.33         3.00     

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
polarity coronal hole high speed stream.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

              Mar 06  Mar 07  Mar 08
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

              Mar 06        Mar 07        Mar 08
R1-R2           20%           20%           20%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 08 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 06 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08 00-03UT 2.00 3.67 4.00 03-06UT 2.33 3.33 2.00 06-09UT 3.33 2.00 2.00 09-12UT 3.33 1.67 2.00 12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67 15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67 18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67 21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00 Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 08 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-06T02:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

06.03.2026 02:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 05 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

             Mar 05       Mar 06       Mar 07
00-03UT       1.67         3.33         3.67     
03-06UT       0.67         3.33         3.33     
06-09UT       1.67         3.00         2.00     
09-12UT       0.33         2.67         1.67     
12-15UT       1.00         3.00         3.00     
15-18UT       2.33         4.00         3.33     
18-21UT       2.33         4.67 (G1)    3.67     
21-00UT       3.33         4.33         3.33     

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS.


B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

              Mar 05  Mar 06  Mar 07
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

              Mar 05        Mar 06        Mar 07
R1-R2           20%           20%           20%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 07 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 05 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 00-03UT 1.67 3.33 3.67 03-06UT 0.67 3.33 3.33 06-09UT 1.67 3.00 2.00 09-12UT 0.33 2.67 1.67 12-15UT 1.00 3.00 3.00 15-18UT 2.33 4.00 3.33 18-21UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67 21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33 Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 07 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-05T20:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

05.03.2026 20:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 05 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

             Mar 05       Mar 06       Mar 07
00-03UT       1.67         3.33         3.67     
03-06UT       0.67         3.33         3.33     
06-09UT       1.67         3.00         2.00     
09-12UT       0.33         2.67         1.67     
12-15UT       1.00         3.00         3.00     
15-18UT       2.33         4.00         3.33     
18-21UT       2.33         4.67 (G1)    3.67     
21-00UT       3.33         4.33         3.33     

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS.


B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

              Mar 05  Mar 06  Mar 07
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

              Mar 05        Mar 06        Mar 07
R1-R2           20%           20%           20%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 07 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 05 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 00-03UT 1.67 3.33 3.67 03-06UT 0.67 3.33 3.33 06-09UT 1.67 3.00 2.00 09-12UT 0.33 2.67 1.67 12-15UT 1.00 3.00 3.00 15-18UT 2.33 4.00 3.33 18-21UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67 21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33 Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 07 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-05T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

05.03.2026 14:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

             Mar 05       Mar 06       Mar 07
00-03UT       2.33         3.33         3.67     
03-06UT       2.33         3.33         3.33     
06-09UT       1.00         3.00         2.00     
09-12UT       1.33         2.67         1.67     
12-15UT       1.00         3.00         3.00     
15-18UT       2.33         4.00         3.33     
18-21UT       2.33         4.67 (G1)    3.67     
21-00UT       3.33         4.33         3.33     

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

              Mar 05  Mar 06  Mar 07
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

              Mar 05        Mar 06        Mar 07
R1-R2           20%           20%           20%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 07 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 05 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 00-03UT 2.33 3.33 3.67 03-06UT 2.33 3.33 3.33 06-09UT 1.00 3.00 2.00 09-12UT 1.33 2.67 1.67 12-15UT 1.00 3.00 3.00 15-18UT 2.33 4.00 3.33 18-21UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67 21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33 Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 07 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-05T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

05.03.2026 08:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

             Mar 05       Mar 06       Mar 07
00-03UT       2.33         3.33         3.67     
03-06UT       2.33         3.33         3.33     
06-09UT       1.00         3.00         2.00     
09-12UT       1.33         2.67         1.67     
12-15UT       1.00         3.00         3.00     
15-18UT       2.33         4.00         3.33     
18-21UT       2.33         4.67 (G1)    3.67     
21-00UT       3.33         4.33         3.33     

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

              Mar 05  Mar 06  Mar 07
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026

              Mar 05        Mar 06        Mar 07
R1-R2           20%           20%           20%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 07 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 05 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 00-03UT 2.33 3.33 3.67 03-06UT 2.33 3.33 3.33 06-09UT 1.00 3.00 2.00 09-12UT 1.33 2.67 1.67 12-15UT 1.00 3.00 3.00 15-18UT 2.33 4.00 3.33 18-21UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67 21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33 Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR ahead of a CH HSS. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 05-Mar 07 2026 Mar 05 Mar 06 Mar 07 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 07 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-05T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

05.03.2026 02:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 04 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

             Mar 04       Mar 05       Mar 06
00-03UT       2.33         2.33         4.33     
03-06UT       3.00         2.33         4.33     
06-09UT       2.00         1.00         3.33     
09-12UT       2.00         1.33         3.33     
12-15UT       0.67         1.00         3.00     
15-18UT       0.67         2.33         2.67     
18-21UT       1.67         2.33         3.00     
21-00UT       2.00         3.33         4.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

              Mar 04  Mar 05  Mar 06
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

              Mar 04        Mar 05        Mar 06
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 06 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 04 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 00-03UT 2.33 2.33 4.33 03-06UT 3.00 2.33 4.33 06-09UT 2.00 1.00 3.33 09-12UT 2.00 1.33 3.33 12-15UT 0.67 1.00 3.00 15-18UT 0.67 2.33 2.67 18-21UT 1.67 2.33 3.00 21-00UT 2.00 3.33 4.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 06 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-04T20:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

04.03.2026 20:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 04 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

             Mar 04       Mar 05       Mar 06
00-03UT       2.33         2.33         4.33     
03-06UT       3.00         2.33         4.33     
06-09UT       2.00         1.00         3.33     
09-12UT       2.00         1.33         3.33     
12-15UT       0.67         1.00         3.00     
15-18UT       0.67         2.33         2.67     
18-21UT       1.67         2.33         3.00     
21-00UT       2.00         3.33         4.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

              Mar 04  Mar 05  Mar 06
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

              Mar 04        Mar 05        Mar 06
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 06 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 04 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 00-03UT 2.33 2.33 4.33 03-06UT 3.00 2.33 4.33 06-09UT 2.00 1.00 3.33 09-12UT 2.00 1.33 3.33 12-15UT 0.67 1.00 3.00 15-18UT 0.67 2.33 2.67 18-21UT 1.67 2.33 3.00 21-00UT 2.00 3.33 4.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 06 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-04T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

04.03.2026 14:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 04 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

             Mar 04       Mar 05       Mar 06
00-03UT       4.67 (G1)    2.33         4.33     
03-06UT       3.67         2.33         4.33     
06-09UT       2.67         1.00         3.33     
09-12UT       1.67         1.33         3.33     
12-15UT       0.67         1.00         3.00     
15-18UT       0.67         2.33         2.67     
18-21UT       1.67         2.33         3.00     
21-00UT       2.00         3.33         4.33     

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 04 Mar
due to CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

              Mar 04  Mar 05  Mar 06
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

              Mar 04        Mar 05        Mar 06
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 06 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 04 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 4.33 03-06UT 3.67 2.33 4.33 06-09UT 2.67 1.00 3.33 09-12UT 1.67 1.33 3.33 12-15UT 0.67 1.00 3.00 15-18UT 0.67 2.33 2.67 18-21UT 1.67 2.33 3.00 21-00UT 2.00 3.33 4.33 Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 04 Mar due to CH HSS influences. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 06 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-04T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

04.03.2026 08:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 04 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

             Mar 04       Mar 05       Mar 06
00-03UT       4.67 (G1)    2.33         4.33     
03-06UT       3.67         2.33         4.33     
06-09UT       2.67         1.00         3.33     
09-12UT       1.67         1.33         3.33     
12-15UT       0.67         1.00         3.00     
15-18UT       0.67         2.33         2.67     
18-21UT       1.67         2.33         3.00     
21-00UT       2.00         3.33         4.33     

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 04 Mar
due to CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

              Mar 04  Mar 05  Mar 06
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026

              Mar 04        Mar 05        Mar 06
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 06 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 04 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 4.33 03-06UT 3.67 2.33 4.33 06-09UT 2.67 1.00 3.33 09-12UT 1.67 1.33 3.33 12-15UT 0.67 1.00 3.00 15-18UT 0.67 2.33 2.67 18-21UT 1.67 2.33 3.00 21-00UT 2.00 3.33 4.33 Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 04 Mar due to CH HSS influences. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 04-Mar 06 2026 Mar 04 Mar 05 Mar 06 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 06 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-04T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

04.03.2026 02:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 1971
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2248 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
 Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2248 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC
 
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Serial Number: 1971 Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2248 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2248 UTC Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

             Mar 03       Mar 04       Mar 05
00-03UT       1.00         3.67         2.67     
03-06UT       2.67         3.33         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
12-15UT       2.00         1.33         1.33     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
18-21UT       3.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.67         2.00         1.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03  Mar 04  Mar 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03        Mar 04        Mar 05
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 05 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:50:03Z

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2248 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.

03.03.2026 22:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 2202
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05 Serial Number: 2202 Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

             Mar 03       Mar 04       Mar 05
00-03UT       1.00         3.67         2.67     
03-06UT       2.67         3.33         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
12-15UT       2.00         1.33         1.33     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
18-21UT       3.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.67         2.00         1.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03  Mar 04  Mar 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03        Mar 04        Mar 05
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 05 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:40:07Z

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.

03.03.2026 22:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 2202
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2232 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05 Serial Number: 2202 Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2232 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

             Mar 03       Mar 04       Mar 05
00-03UT       1.00         3.67         2.67     
03-06UT       2.67         3.33         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
12-15UT       2.00         1.33         1.33     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
18-21UT       3.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.67         2.00         1.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03  Mar 04  Mar 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03        Mar 04        Mar 05
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 05 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:40:03Z

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2230 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Additional Details Here.

03.03.2026 22:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 2637
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2228 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
 Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2228 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC
 
Active Warning: Yes

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04 Serial Number: 2637 Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2228 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2228 UTC Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

             Mar 03       Mar 04       Mar 05
00-03UT       1.00         3.67         2.67     
03-06UT       2.67         3.33         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
12-15UT       2.00         1.33         1.33     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
18-21UT       3.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.67         2.00         1.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03  Mar 04  Mar 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03        Mar 04        Mar 05
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 05 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:30:03Z

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Mar 03 2228 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
Additional Details Here.

03.03.2026 22:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 5276
Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2208 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2208 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 5276 Issue Time: 2026 Mar 03 2208 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2208 UTC Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0600 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

             Mar 03       Mar 04       Mar 05
00-03UT       1.00         3.67         2.67     
03-06UT       2.67         3.33         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
12-15UT       2.00         1.33         1.33     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
18-21UT       3.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.67         2.00         1.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03  Mar 04  Mar 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03        Mar 04        Mar 05
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 05 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T22:10:03Z

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Mar 03 2208 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Mar 04 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Additional Details Here.

03.03.2026 22:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

             Mar 03       Mar 04       Mar 05
00-03UT       1.00         3.67         2.67     
03-06UT       2.67         3.33         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
12-15UT       2.00         1.33         1.33     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
18-21UT       3.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.67         2.00         1.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03  Mar 04  Mar 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03        Mar 04        Mar 05
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 05 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T20:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

03.03.2026 20:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

             Mar 03       Mar 04       Mar 05
00-03UT       1.00         3.67         2.67     
03-06UT       2.67         3.33         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
12-15UT       2.00         1.33         1.33     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
18-21UT       3.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.67         2.00         1.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03  Mar 04  Mar 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03        Mar 04        Mar 05
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 05 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 00-03UT 1.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 05 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

03.03.2026 14:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

             Mar 03       Mar 04       Mar 05
00-03UT       2.00         3.67         2.67     
03-06UT       1.67         3.33         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       1.33         2.00         1.67     
12-15UT       2.00         1.33         1.33     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
18-21UT       3.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.67         2.00         1.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 05 Mar.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03  Mar 04  Mar 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03        Mar 04        Mar 05
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 05 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 00-03UT 2.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 1.67 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 1.33 2.00 1.67 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected through 05 Mar. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 05 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

03.03.2026 08:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

             Mar 03       Mar 04       Mar 05
00-03UT       2.00         3.67         2.67     
03-06UT       1.67         3.33         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         2.33         1.33     
09-12UT       1.33         2.00         1.67     
12-15UT       2.00         1.33         1.33     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.67     
18-21UT       3.33         2.00         1.67     
21-00UT       3.67         2.00         1.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 05 Mar.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03  Mar 04  Mar 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

              Mar 03        Mar 04        Mar 05
R1-R2           30%           30%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 05 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 03 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 00-03UT 2.00 3.67 2.67 03-06UT 1.67 3.33 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 1.33 2.00 1.67 12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67 21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected through 05 Mar. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 R1-R2 30% 30% 30% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 05 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-03T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

03.03.2026 02:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 02 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

             Mar 02       Mar 03       Mar 04
00-03UT       1.67         3.33         2.33     
03-06UT       1.00         3.67         2.67     
06-09UT       1.33         2.67         2.33     
09-12UT       1.00         2.00         2.33     
12-15UT       1.00         2.00         2.00     
15-18UT       1.33         2.33         2.00     
18-21UT       2.00         2.67         2.00     
21-00UT       3.00         2.67         2.00     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

              Mar 02  Mar 03  Mar 04
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

              Mar 02        Mar 03        Mar 04
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale:  There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 04 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 02 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 00-03UT 1.67 3.33 2.33 03-06UT 1.00 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 1.33 2.67 2.33 09-12UT 1.00 2.00 2.33 12-15UT 1.00 2.00 2.00 15-18UT 1.33 2.33 2.00 18-21UT 2.00 2.67 2.00 21-00UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 04 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-02T20:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

02.03.2026 20:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 02 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

             Mar 02       Mar 03       Mar 04
00-03UT       1.67         3.33         2.33     
03-06UT       1.00         3.67         2.67     
06-09UT       1.33         2.67         2.33     
09-12UT       1.00         2.00         2.33     
12-15UT       1.00         2.00         2.00     
15-18UT       1.33         2.33         2.00     
18-21UT       2.00         2.67         2.00     
21-00UT       3.00         2.67         2.00     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

              Mar 02  Mar 03  Mar 04
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

              Mar 02        Mar 03        Mar 04
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale:  There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 04 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 02 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 00-03UT 1.67 3.33 2.33 03-06UT 1.00 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 1.33 2.67 2.33 09-12UT 1.00 2.00 2.33 12-15UT 1.00 2.00 2.00 15-18UT 1.33 2.33 2.00 18-21UT 2.00 2.67 2.00 21-00UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 04 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-02T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

02.03.2026 14:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

             Mar 02       Mar 03       Mar 04
00-03UT       2.67         3.33         2.33     
03-06UT       2.33         3.67         2.67     
06-09UT       2.00         2.67         2.33     
09-12UT       2.00         2.00         2.33     
12-15UT       2.00         2.00         2.00     
15-18UT       2.33         2.33         2.00     
18-21UT       3.00         2.67         2.00     
21-00UT       3.00         2.67         2.00     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. 

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

              Mar 02  Mar 03  Mar 04
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

              Mar 02        Mar 03        Mar 04
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 02-04 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 02 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.33 03-06UT 2.33 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 2.00 2.67 2.33 09-12UT 2.00 2.00 2.33 12-15UT 2.00 2.00 2.00 15-18UT 2.33 2.33 2.00 18-21UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 21-00UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 02-04 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-02T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

02.03.2026 08:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

             Mar 02       Mar 03       Mar 04
00-03UT       2.67         3.33         2.33     
03-06UT       2.33         3.67         2.67     
06-09UT       2.00         2.67         2.33     
09-12UT       2.00         2.00         2.33     
12-15UT       2.00         2.00         2.00     
15-18UT       2.33         2.33         2.00     
18-21UT       3.00         2.67         2.00     
21-00UT       3.00         2.67         2.00     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. 

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

              Mar 02  Mar 03  Mar 04
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026

              Mar 02        Mar 03        Mar 04
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 02-04 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 02 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.33 03-06UT 2.33 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 2.00 2.67 2.33 09-12UT 2.00 2.00 2.33 12-15UT 2.00 2.00 2.00 15-18UT 2.33 2.33 2.00 18-21UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 21-00UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 02-Mar 04 2026 Mar 02 Mar 03 Mar 04 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 02-04 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-02T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

02.03.2026 02:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 01 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

             Mar 01       Mar 02       Mar 03
00-03UT       2.67         3.33         2.00     
03-06UT       2.67         3.67         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         3.00         2.00     
09-12UT       2.00         2.67         2.00     
12-15UT       2.67         3.00         2.00     
15-18UT       2.67         3.00         2.33     
18-21UT       3.00         3.33         2.00     
21-00UT       3.00         3.00         2.33     

Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming
periods, on 01 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb,
followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences on 02 Mar.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

              Mar 01  Mar 02  Mar 03
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

              Mar 01        Mar 02        Mar 03
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 03 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 01 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.00 03-06UT 2.67 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 3.00 2.00 09-12UT 2.00 2.67 2.00 12-15UT 2.67 3.00 2.00 15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.33 18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33 Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming periods, on 01 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb, followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences on 02 Mar. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 03 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-01T20:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

01.03.2026 20:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 01 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

             Mar 01       Mar 02       Mar 03
00-03UT       2.67         3.33         2.00     
03-06UT       2.67         3.67         2.67     
06-09UT       2.33         3.00         2.00     
09-12UT       2.00         2.67         2.00     
12-15UT       2.67         3.00         2.00     
15-18UT       2.67         3.00         2.33     
18-21UT       3.00         3.33         2.00     
21-00UT       3.00         3.00         2.33     

Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming
periods, on 01 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb,
followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences on 02 Mar.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

              Mar 01  Mar 02  Mar 03
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

              Mar 01        Mar 02        Mar 03
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 03 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 01 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 00-03UT 2.67 3.33 2.00 03-06UT 2.67 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 2.33 3.00 2.00 09-12UT 2.00 2.67 2.00 12-15UT 2.67 3.00 2.00 15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.33 18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33 Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming periods, on 01 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb, followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences on 02 Mar. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 03 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-01T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

01.03.2026 14:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

             Mar 01       Mar 02       Mar 03
00-03UT       3.33         3.33         2.00     
03-06UT       4.33         3.67         2.67     
06-09UT       4.00         3.00         2.00     
09-12UT       3.00         2.67         2.00     
12-15UT       2.67         3.00         2.00     
15-18UT       2.67         3.00         2.33     
18-21UT       3.00         3.33         2.00     
21-00UT       3.00         3.00         2.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. 

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

              Mar 01  Mar 02  Mar 03
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

              Mar 01        Mar 02        Mar 03
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 01-03 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 01 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 00-03UT 3.33 3.33 2.00 03-06UT 4.33 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 4.00 3.00 2.00 09-12UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 12-15UT 2.67 3.00 2.00 15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.33 18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 01-03 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-01T08:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

01.03.2026 08:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

             Mar 01       Mar 02       Mar 03
00-03UT       3.33         3.33         2.00     
03-06UT       4.33         3.67         2.67     
06-09UT       4.00         3.00         2.00     
09-12UT       3.00         2.67         2.00     
12-15UT       2.67         3.00         2.00     
15-18UT       2.67         3.00         2.33     
18-21UT       3.00         3.33         2.00     
21-00UT       3.00         3.00         2.33     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. 

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

              Mar 01  Mar 02  Mar 03
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026

              Mar 01        Mar 02        Mar 03
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 01-03 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Mar 01 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 00-03UT 3.33 3.33 2.00 03-06UT 4.33 3.67 2.67 06-09UT 4.00 3.00 2.00 09-12UT 3.00 2.67 2.00 12-15UT 2.67 3.00 2.00 15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.33 18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.00 21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 01-Mar 03 2026 Mar 01 Mar 02 Mar 03 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 01-03 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-03-01T02:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

01.03.2026 02:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 28 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

             Feb 28       Mar 01       Mar 02
00-03UT       1.67         3.33         3.33     
03-06UT       2.67         4.33         3.67     
06-09UT       1.67         4.00         3.00     
09-12UT       1.33         3.00         2.67     
12-15UT       1.67         2.67         3.00     
15-18UT       2.33         2.67         3.00     
18-21UT       3.00         3.00         3.33     
21-00UT       3.33         3.00         3.00     

Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming periods
on 01-02 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb,
followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

              Feb 28  Mar 01  Mar 02
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

              Feb 28        Mar 01        Mar 02
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) through
02 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Feb 28 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02 00-03UT 1.67 3.33 3.33 03-06UT 2.67 4.33 3.67 06-09UT 1.67 4.00 3.00 09-12UT 1.33 3.00 2.67 12-15UT 1.67 2.67 3.00 15-18UT 2.33 2.67 3.00 18-21UT 3.00 3.00 3.33 21-00UT 3.33 3.00 3.00 Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming periods on 01-02 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb, followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) through 02 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-02-28T20:04:01Z
Additional Details Here.

28.02.2026 20:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 28 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

             Feb 28       Mar 01       Mar 02
00-03UT       1.67         3.33         3.33     
03-06UT       2.67         4.33         3.67     
06-09UT       1.67         4.00         3.00     
09-12UT       1.33         3.00         2.67     
12-15UT       1.67         2.67         3.00     
15-18UT       2.33         2.67         3.00     
18-21UT       3.00         3.00         3.33     
21-00UT       3.33         3.00         3.00     

Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming periods
on 01-02 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb,
followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

              Feb 28  Mar 01  Mar 02
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

              Feb 28        Mar 01        Mar 02
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) through
02 Mar.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2026 Feb 28 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02 00-03UT 1.67 3.33 3.33 03-06UT 2.67 4.33 3.67 06-09UT 1.67 4.00 3.00 09-12UT 1.33 3.00 2.67 12-15UT 1.67 2.67 3.00 15-18UT 2.33 2.67 3.00 18-21UT 3.00 3.00 3.33 21-00UT 3.33 3.00 3.00 Rationale: There is a chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming periods on 01-02 Mar due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 25 Feb, followed by the onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02 R1-R2 25% 25% 25% R3 or greater 5% 5% 5% Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) through 02 Mar.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

Aurora Forecast Update for 2026-02-28T14:04:02Z
Additional Details Here.

28.02.2026 14:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0