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Jack Kennedy

@jackkennedy.ie

PhD candidate @hertieschool.bsky.social // πŸ” nuclear weapons and strategic stability // editorial fellow @thebulletin.org // Irish in Berlin // He/they // All views my own but willing to share jackkennedy.ie linktr.ee/jack_kennedy

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Latest posts by Jack Kennedy @jackkennedy.ie

I’ve lived in Berlin close to ten years. Left ten years ago, but visit very regularly for work. Feels like the country is sleepwalking into it. Used to be that AFD was the devil, now it seems that no one cares. Somehow I associate it with Gaza. It broke people brains over there.

06.03.2026 20:43 πŸ‘ 69 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I'd say it has much more to do with how deeply deeply unpopular this war is among the European public, and the FdI are opportunists

06.03.2026 17:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I sincerely doubt it. The Hungarian government is much more closely aligned with the Russians. The Italian one, while far-right, has not shown foreign policy alignment with Russia to any degree since taking office. They've broadly continued longstanding Italian strategy

06.03.2026 17:54 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Italian Defense Minister: strike on Iran β€œoutside the rules of international law” - Decode39 Italian Defense Minister Guido Crosetto said that the Israeli attack was ”outside the rules of international law,” responding to protests from opposition lawmakers who accused the United States and Is...

So the Irish government is now being outflanked and morally one-upped on this issue by the postfascist Italian government

06.03.2026 17:39 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

So yeah. That’s the process. This applies in every one of the 80+ countries where the US is party to an MLAT/MLAA; Proton is not unique here.

The lesson is that foreign jurisdiction is not a replacement for opsec.

06.03.2026 17:34 πŸ‘ 122 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

So a lot of the hype around LLMs and a lot of the userbase just fundamentally misunderstands what the technology is and what it’s capable of, instead treating it like a mythical supernatural or religious being. The industry openly encourages this delusion for profit

06.03.2026 14:03 πŸ‘ 708 πŸ” 67 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 8
Preview
All the polls on the U.S. war in Iran so far According to a simple average of new high-quality surveys, 38% of Americans approve and 49% disapprove of U.S. military action. When ignoring "don't know" respondents, 56% disapprove

All the polls on the U.S. war in Iran so far

www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-us-i...

If you ignore people who say they β€œdon’t know” how they feel about the war, disapproval of Trump’s actions is already at 56%. That is higher than the resistance to Vietnam in 1971.

06.03.2026 13:01 πŸ‘ 366 πŸ” 102 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 11

Trafalgar group winning awards for writing the most leading question possible.

06.03.2026 13:11 πŸ‘ 83 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 4

Quite an opening paragraph.

06.03.2026 09:27 πŸ‘ 1062 πŸ” 425 πŸ’¬ 42 πŸ“Œ 91
Preview
Exclusive: US investigation points to likely US responsibility in Iran school strike, sources say Military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school that killed scores of children on Saturday, two U.S. officials told Reu...

Reuters Exclusive

"U.S. military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school."

"The strike would rank among the worst cases of civilian casualties in decades of U.S. conflicts in the ​Middle East."

06.03.2026 02:50 πŸ‘ 9885 πŸ” 5212 πŸ’¬ 619 πŸ“Œ 625

I can forgive war crimes but I draw the line at the line not going up

05.03.2026 19:35 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Someone tell the Irish government and watch them 180 so hard they black out from the G-force

05.03.2026 19:34 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Okay that’s very funny I’m ngl

05.03.2026 19:30 πŸ‘ 136 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

Perhaps too specific to sound fake

05.03.2026 19:17 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Patti Smith once got me to sing happy birthday to her grandson down the phone

05.03.2026 19:17 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Here's the thing about using AI for lit reviews ... If you've actually read the scholarship, writing the lit review yourself isn't that taxing. But what's gonna happen is folks will use AI to save themselves having to *read* the scholarship, which will then make the rest of their article trash.

05.03.2026 18:44 πŸ‘ 301 πŸ” 42 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 5

In some ways it's impressive that they conceived of a way to make Essex worse,

05.03.2026 16:44 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Looking out over Essex and being like "the real problem with this place is the lack of slave labour, tasteless hotels, and weather that kills you"

05.03.2026 16:42 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Pointing out over the Dubai skyline and saying "I want Clacton to look like this" is

1. An instant classic
2. Something that would end your political career in any just world

05.03.2026 16:37 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
SΓ‘nchez defies Trump in political gamble as Madrid say no to war As audacious as opportunistic, the Spanish PM in clash with Trump revives 'no to war' movement. SΓ‘nchez bets on a Villepin moment that can energize his progressive base and crown him leader of the lef...

This is such an easy, popular, morally consistent rebuke to American aggression and yet it's hard to imagine any of our other current leaders replicating it

www.euronews.com/my-europe/20...

05.03.2026 16:17 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

things could change but so far all the Americans have done to SΓ‘nchez is throw a few insults at him and, bizarrely, lie to their base about him supporting their war

archive.ph/iyaWY

05.03.2026 16:00 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The european public are displaying unprecedented unity in crying out for leadership that will stand up to American belligerence and somehow we don’t have a single national leader whose name isn’t Pedro SΓ‘nchez interested in the popularity layup

05.03.2026 15:56 πŸ‘ 37 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

for my own sanity I have to imagine that the venn diagram intersection of "crypto investor" and "3-4 star flag officer" is very small

05.03.2026 16:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

every time dan caine comes up I am forced to remember that they somehow found a crypto guy eligible to be CJCoS

05.03.2026 15:56 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

anyway how's the quad doing lol

05.03.2026 15:54 πŸ‘ 66 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2

Of course, there's always the risk that some NSC staffer will bet on nuclear war and then go about trying to fix the game, as it were, given the combo of stupidity and evil at work in the Trump admin. So yeah probably better they took that one down

05.03.2026 15:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And honestly this is the first I've felt some sympathy for the good people at Polymarket because if someone offered to make a bet with me where they paid upfront but I only had to pay them if we were all dead...yeah I'd probably take that action

05.03.2026 15:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

There's a lot to unpack about the Polymarket nuclear war betting but more than anything I think it speaks to the intelligence of the kind of people gambling on geopolitics - how were you planning to collect and spend your winnings, buddy?

05.03.2026 15:40 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Small Brain: The Cold War never ended

Big Brain: The Cold War began in 1919

Planetary Brain: The Cold War began in 1854

Galactic Brain: The Cold War began in 1830

05.03.2026 15:26 πŸ‘ 48 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

A special military operation, if you will.

04.03.2026 16:36 πŸ‘ 179 πŸ” 38 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 2