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Mark Hibbs

@mark88

Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. They are in Washington, D.C. I'm in Berlin.

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08.07.2023
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Latest posts by Mark Hibbs @mark88

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Beyond oil and gas: Russia's nuclear leverage explained Russian oil and gas face sanctions, but nuclear energy is another story. DW shows how far Russia's influence extends, and why countries continue to turn to it for nuclear energy.

I also said that Moscow's demonstrative non-interference in Rosatom clients' politics was separate from Russia's efforts to access and influence these states' internal strategic decision making.

www.dw.com/en/russia-oi...

27.02.2026 14:24 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Global Entry should be terminated. At Islamabad airport, personnel request baksheesh to let you jump the queue. At US airports, it's the federal government that asks you to grease their palm for that 'service.' DHS should staff up and put an end to this form of institutionalized corruption.

23.02.2026 14:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Ironically but, given the legacy of binary myopia in Washington over Iran, probably predictably, it was Trump's adversaries who, likewise for partisan reasons, beat this drum promptly after the air war. ("Iran has hidden assets... Iran will now race to the bomb... could be weeks or months")

22.02.2026 22:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

FYI, the incoming and current CDU-led government relieved Kahl of his responsibilities in the national security area and appointed him as German ambassador to the Vatican.

22.02.2026 21:22 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

How will Leafs receive Austin Matthews when he returns to Toronto ice? editorinleaf.com/auston-matth...

22.02.2026 20:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

If Canada wins in Milan this afternoon, Trump will say: 1.) Canada stole the game from the US, and/or 2.) The referees were disloyal and unpatriotic.

22.02.2026 13:31 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Remember when back then campaigners believed that the DPRK would give up its strategic nuclear defense assets in exchange for 2 power reactors and some windmills?

14.02.2026 22:10 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

German media on hand at MSC reporting Euros reacted w/polite restraint but dismiss Rubio's shmooz & line. MOD Pistorius reminded Rubio on stage that just days ago Trump claimed US would grab Danish sovereign territory.

14.02.2026 20:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Merz' message was inter alia to underscore that walking all this back to, say, the universe of Merkel/Scholz-Obama/Biden is neither feasible nor desirable: "We face committed and hostile adversaries."

14.02.2026 16:09 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

As a frame, worth recalling that yesterday at MSC German Chancellor Friedrich Merz quoted the philosopher Peter Sloterdijk: The 5-decade "holiday from world history is over."

14.02.2026 13:07 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Chernobyl is a magic word in the attention economy, but there are no operating reactors with live fuel there, and there are other places in Ukraine which if directly attacked could unleash far more severe accident scenarios.

20.01.2026 15:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Good to see, thanks, also on the late and legendary Jacky Blot's fine unsung reds. Q: Why do I seem to be increasingly finding Bourgueil & other CFs that come out of the bottle tasting on margin like rusty blood? Because producers rushing to make bio wines don't know how to do it right?

19.01.2026 16:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Turkey’s Nuclear Turbines Since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022 we’ve heard a lot of chatter about US and European resolve to sanction or otherwise deter cooperation [...]

Backstory to this is here: www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1219... French supplier's contract for Rosatom projects in NATO member state may be worth several USD billion.

13.01.2026 14:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Akkuyu 2's turbine generator stator installed The 437-tonne turbine generator stator was moved on a special track before being lifted into place in the turbine hall of unit 2 at Turkey's Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant.  ;

No information here on who supplied the turbine generator equipment for A-2. France shipped it to Rosatom in a deal with Erdogan and Trump to brush off U.S. trade sanctions imposed after Putin's invasion of Ukraine?
world-nuclear-news.org/articles/akk...

13.01.2026 12:07 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Appreciate your data on Pinon's Vouvrays. We popped open a '22 Les Déronnières, you called it right. That said, our bottle was 13.5% alc. The one you tasted was a whole percent less. What gives? Is the output a standard deviation where buyers must be careful e. g. to avoid hot wines--caveat emptor?

16.10.2025 20:05 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

@ 17:25: L'objectif d'Ernest Chausson était-il de se "de-wagneriser" la musique du 19e siècle?

03.10.2025 15:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

re Chinon: Read yr take on Couly-Duteil, also for me in 90s intro to appellation. C-D also had a grand tasting room near Gare du Nord. No more. C-D cld be exhibit A on wine-biz evolution--product differentiation aside, maybe today too many single cuvΓ©es, some as you identify having less quality.

03.10.2025 15:10 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Perhaps this incident will prompt SΓ‘nchez and his Socialist Party base to take seriously from now on what NATO is facing on its eastern border.

24.09.2025 20:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe decant this and re-taste: by dinnertime 24 hrs later, recorked half approached softer trad Anjou reds, w/o losing contour, so it improved. 600 km from Haute-Loire to Fiefs VendΓ©en, w/every bottle you learn more & more; your notes are helpful, also in this case.

15.09.2025 22:52 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

@chriswinedoctor.bsky.social U were generous in rating Ch. Plaisance Grand Lopin '21 at 87/100 but yr points still held in '25: Little sweetness, dense but opaque profile en bouche, thin, flat palette, sour finish. Nose improved since yr '22 tasting Their whites are better than this on average.

13.09.2025 22:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Iran’s Nuclear Program Took a Real Hit. So Did IAEA Oversight of It The U.S. attack on Fordow did real damage to the site. But it also set back the IAEA’s oversight of Iran’s nuclear program.

The IAEA contributed to what little is known about the impact of the June attacks on Iran's nuclear installations. But the challenges to the IAEA going forward in and with Iran will be mammoth. www.worldpoliticsreview.com/us-iran-nucl...

17.07.2025 15:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Here in Germany if extreme polarization prompted justices of the Constitutional Court to make such accusations, the country's leadership & everyone else would engage on how to avoid/prepare for a national state of emergency (Innerer Notstand/Notstandsgesetze)

05.07.2025 21:48 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Louis-Ferdinand Céline à Eugène Dabit, 1933: "La vie ne passe plus par la littérature. C'est une ville ancienne capitale comme Dijon abandonnée aux chats amputés...''

05.07.2025 14:22 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Nuclear Inspectors Leave Iran After Cooperation Halted With U.N. Watchdog

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/04/w...
For the IAEA for 3 weeks management of this issue wasn't trivial. When the 12-day bombing got underway, I heard then, there were personnel in Israel, also in Tehran and in a location between Natanz and Fordo.

05.07.2025 11:58 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

As Nicole's good thread I believe implied, there is a reasonable probability that Iran's post-12-day-war timeline is neither 'never' nor is it 'months'

29.06.2025 20:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Read Nicole's thread on Iran timelines. What she was maybe too polite or politic to say is that many op-ed estimates are ultimately less driven by analytical assumptions and more by DC-routine binary myopia: Trump loyalists claim all was destroyed. Trump's foes say Iran can get the bomb in months.

29.06.2025 20:27 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, what does noncompliance inspire? NPT includes reporting procedure, but no enforcement mechanism for noncompliance. That's ad-hoc. Absent common int'l resolve odds favor savvy, determined violator: 25 years and 80 board meetings of Iranian rope-a-dope with the IAEA board.

27.06.2025 21:28 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The NYT article is consistent with what I know. The IAEA's information pointing to this conclusion is of a quantitative and measurable nature. It isn't about wishful thinking.

26.06.2025 14:47 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Grossi isn't guessing. The IAEA in fact has some quantitative evidence permitting the conclusion that the centrifuges at Fordo are broken.

26.06.2025 14:08 πŸ‘ 25 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

"Expert X says Iran could have nuclear weapons in a year." "Expert Y says Iran's nuclear weapons quest was set back between 2 and 5 years." "Expert Z says Iran's nuclear weapons program was virtually destroyed."

24.06.2025 16:08 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0