I've posted some things to my Substack lately that I might not have put here. But today I've also posted two videos to my YouTube channel. Here's the one I liked the best. One criminal defense lawyer I know like it and the other said, "I wouldn't show that to potential clients." youtu.be/dfWPyeoYKpw
Finally posted the last of a four-part series that I'd been working on since around the start of January, I think. This last part took the longest to complete, but here it is.
Get it while it's hot!
substack.probablecause.media/p/the-volunt...
I don’t think anyone acquainted with the Epstein files can deny that the Republican Party is sincerely committed to putting children to work.
“Many have said civic virtue and sacrifice for the common good are dead. Those commentators have been proven wrong. The people of Minnesota and across the nation have rallied in opposition to “the harbingers of reappearing tyranny and oppression.”
www.thebulwark.com/p/american-v...
Finally, a new post on my Substack. The last of the four-part series I've been working on since around the start of January, I think.
substack.probablecause.media/p/the-volunt...
So eloquent. Everyone needs to watch this entire speech by this young woman who ICE attempted to assassinate with the blessing of our current administration. youtu.be/qUV9AiMfrs0?...
Crucial from @brianbeutler.bsky.social: Anyone selling warehouses to ICE for camps should prepare for video leaking of "people inside being tortured." They'll have to answer for atrocities "in their communities."
On the pod we went big on Trump's new vulnerabilities:
newrepublic.com/article/2061...
He cannot be clearer. There is no difference to him between bombing random fishermen on boats and shooting Americans protesters in the face
California chose treatment over punishment.
Courts are still saying no.
Mental Health Diversion is being denied for reasons the law doesn’t permit — and appellate courts keep reversing it.
substack.probablecause.media/p/treatment-...
Courts don’t discover truth at leisure.
They price risk under pressure.
Why market metaphors keep explaining criminal defense better than legal rhetoric does:
substack.probablecause.media/p/seeing-the...
Shameful, nonsensical whataboutism from a guy who’s supposed to be a serious establishment Republican.
That, I believe, is part of the point for him.
A white refrigerator door covered with colorful plastic magnetic letters arranged to read, “PBS didn’t become woke. You grew up to be a bad person.” Loose magnetic letters are scattered along the bottom edge of the fridge.
So vicious it's delicious.
Stories compress uncertainty. Evidence resists it.
Why courts and markets fail the same way — and why interruption matters more than explanation.
substack.probablecause.media/p/there-are-...
Friday, for the first time in my career, a client's family member said, "You're just like the Lincoln Lawyer". At the _end_ of the day, I got a text from a friend who lives in Texas saying that her husband called me Mickey Haller, the Lincoln Lawyer.
substack.probablecause.media/p/testimony-...
Is this a trick question?
If you are a foreign president who commits crimes overseas, America will come get you, arrest you, and lock you up.
But if you are a US president who commits crimes here in the United States, America will give you immunity from prosecution, reelect you, and bribe you with billions of dollars.
Of all the competitive authoritarian developments of the past year I think the fall of CBS News is among the most chilling. That this can happen to easily and so quickly freaks me the fuck out.
The GOP is dominated by gutter trash bigots.
AI language can sound certain without being grounded.
Here’s why that matters in court and in reasoning:
substack.probablecause.media/p/rhetoric-w...
Confidence is not comprehension.
“AI Crutchery” looks at how LLMs are becoming substitutes for thinking — and why fluency without understanding is especially dangerous in law.
If any of you read my posts on Substack, a like and/or a comment and/or a share would be greatly appreciated. I need all the help I can get since Google AI has been destroying my small business.
ICE has pushed into every space where people are most vulnerable — hospitals, schools, polling places, newsrooms, tribal communities, courthouses.
This isn’t a collection of anomalies. It’s a policy architecture built on fear.
substack.probablecause.media/p/parasites-...
"I guess I have a very different view of the dangers and real-world consequences of your position than what you explored with Justice Kavanaugh. My understanding was that independent agencies exist because Congress has decided that some issues, some matters, some areas should be handled in this way by nonpartisan experts—that Congress is saying that expertise matters with respect to aspects of the economy and transportation and the various independent agencies that we have. "So having a president come in and fire all the scientists and the doctors and the economists and the PhDs and replacing them with loyalists and people who don't know anything is actually not in the best interest of the citizens of the United States."
Justice Jackson to Solicitor General Sauer (just now, in Trump v. Slaughter arguments):
I honestly believe that Dickwad Donnie is potentially more evil than any other evil person who came before him. It’s not totally clear yet, but I think it will be soon.
"We are not the party of participation trophies..."
I hate to break this to you, but...
The social worker murdered at San Francisco General Hospital dedicated his life to the community, including the LGBTQ community. Rest in peace — & loving energy to his partner & other family & friends.
Too many health care workers are at risk of violence & we must do more to protect them.
