Eelco van der Maat's Avatar

Eelco van der Maat

@evandermaat

Tenured scholar of genocide, authoritarian politics, and elite rivalry at Leiden University. Argue that mass killing is driven by elite rivalry in authoritarian regimes. Dad to two terrible little dictators. Husband and co-conspirator.

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22.09.2023
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Latest posts by Eelco van der Maat @evandermaat

You know how American intelligence was pretty excited to do to the USSR in Afghanistan what Soviet intelligence did to the US in Vietnam?

06.03.2026 14:44 πŸ‘ 478 πŸ” 121 πŸ’¬ 37 πŸ“Œ 5

These are all answers given by trump and his various sycophants in the last five days to the question, "why are we doing this?"

04.03.2026 20:29 πŸ‘ 328 πŸ” 105 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 4

So, in launching a huge bombing campaign on Iran they apparently didn't plan for:

- Who takes over;
- Interceptor shortages from sustained drone retaliation;
- How to defend US bases in the region;
- Threats to ships in the Strait of Hormuz; and
- How to evacuate Americans with airspace closed.

03.03.2026 21:13 πŸ‘ 11189 πŸ” 3485 πŸ’¬ 616 πŸ“Œ 358

When we talk about Baby Boomers not getting off the stage: In 1997, the US president was born in 1946.

In 2007, the US president was born in 1946.

In 2017, the US president was born in 1946.

And next year in 2027? The US president will have been born in 1946.

03.03.2026 20:10 πŸ‘ 10720 πŸ” 3254 πŸ’¬ 198 πŸ“Œ 245

How are those security guarantees looking to, well, everyone?

03.03.2026 12:17 πŸ‘ 83 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3
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There are at least 10,000 Amcits in Qatar alone, and the US government is saying we are on our own

03.03.2026 06:28 πŸ‘ 1391 πŸ” 516 πŸ’¬ 52 πŸ“Œ 64

I have never seen a politician more directly copy this speech in my life

01.03.2026 22:13 πŸ‘ 8033 πŸ” 2083 πŸ’¬ 30 πŸ“Œ 34

I think the last time the USA created regime change solely through bombing was in Cambodia, when a massive carpet bombing campaign so destabilized the country that the Khmer Rouge came to power and wiped out the Royal governmentβ€”the American ally. Genocide followed.

01.03.2026 07:18 πŸ‘ 220 πŸ” 91 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 3
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How to stop a dictator I spent months studying how authoritarians like Trump lose. The answer is shockingly simple.

I have spent the past several months studying the cutting-edge research on modern democracies that have defeated authoritarian leaders.

I've learned that the conventional wisdom on the topic is wrong β€”Β in ways that have clear implications for the US going forward

THREAD www.vox.com/politics/479...

24.02.2026 14:43 πŸ‘ 2118 πŸ” 901 πŸ’¬ 31 πŸ“Œ 129
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This is the most incredible footage of blue whales I’ve ever seen

22.02.2026 08:55 πŸ‘ 6916 πŸ” 2268 πŸ’¬ 98 πŸ“Œ 417
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Opinion | Trump Is Raising Billions in Federal Funds. That’s Not a Good Thing.

This is a really good piece by Aziz Huq and @vanessawilliamson.bsky.social. I've been highlighting similar themes in my recent power-of-the-purse scholarship. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/17/o...

17.02.2026 12:24 πŸ‘ 51 πŸ” 28 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2
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Quite the chart

11.02.2026 19:44 πŸ‘ 1424 πŸ” 663 πŸ’¬ 55 πŸ“Œ 113

allllll together now:

BAN THE PERVERT GLASSES

10.02.2026 16:50 πŸ‘ 624 πŸ” 185 πŸ’¬ 22 πŸ“Œ 11
Page 1 of a child’s handwritten letter, written in pencil in Spanish. Colorful doodles of a rainbow and hearts are found throughout the page. Translation: β€œI am Maria Antonia Guerra Montoya and I have been 113 days in detention I miss my friends and I feel they are going to forget me. I am bored here. I already miss my country and my house, I came on vacation for 10 Days and they took me into an ice office an officer interrogated me 2 hours without my mom, I was traveling with flight attendant because my mom lives in new york, they only wanted to arrest my mom, because my mom didn’t have documents to live in U.S.A., I always traveled with my tourist visa but ice used me to catch my mom and now I am in a jail and I am sad and I have fainted 2 times here inside. When I arrived every night I cried and now I don’t sleep well, I felt that being here was my fault and I only wanted to be on vacation like a normal family.”

Page 1 of a child’s handwritten letter, written in pencil in Spanish. Colorful doodles of a rainbow and hearts are found throughout the page. Translation: β€œI am Maria Antonia Guerra Montoya and I have been 113 days in detention I miss my friends and I feel they are going to forget me. I am bored here. I already miss my country and my house, I came on vacation for 10 Days and they took me into an ice office an officer interrogated me 2 hours without my mom, I was traveling with flight attendant because my mom lives in new york, they only wanted to arrest my mom, because my mom didn’t have documents to live in U.S.A., I always traveled with my tourist visa but ice used me to catch my mom and now I am in a jail and I am sad and I have fainted 2 times here inside. When I arrived every night I cried and now I don’t sleep well, I felt that being here was my fault and I only wanted to be on vacation like a normal family.”

Page 2 of a child’s handwritten letter, written in pencil in Spanish. Translation: β€œThey don’t give me my diet I am vegetarian, I don’t eat well, there is no good education and I miss my best friend julieta and my grandmother and my school I already want to get to my house. Me in dilei [Dilley] am not happy please get me out of here to colombia.” Below the text is a drawing of the girl and her mother in the government-issued gray sweatsuits of the detention center.

Page 2 of a child’s handwritten letter, written in pencil in Spanish. Translation: β€œThey don’t give me my diet I am vegetarian, I don’t eat well, there is no good education and I miss my best friend julieta and my grandmother and my school I already want to get to my house. Me in dilei [Dilley] am not happy please get me out of here to colombia.” Below the text is a drawing of the girl and her mother in the government-issued gray sweatsuits of the detention center.

6/ β€œWhen I arrived every night I cried and now I don’t sleep well, I felt that being here was my fault and I only wanted to be on vacation like a normal family.”

9-year-old Maria Antonia Guerra Montoya, detained on her way to Disney World, spent 113+ days at Dilley.

09.02.2026 12:38 πŸ‘ 3248 πŸ” 1336 πŸ’¬ 27 πŸ“Œ 72

these people have a moral rot

06.02.2026 19:25 πŸ‘ 171 πŸ” 40 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 1

Fund independent media www.liberalcurrents.com/support-us/

06.02.2026 19:44 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Journalisten moeten zorgvuldig zijn in hun taalgebruik en zaken omschrijven zoals ze zijn. Het zijn geen β€œstrengere” asielwetten, ook wl zeggen politici dat. Ze doen niets met de criteria voor asiel. Ze maken verblijf en opvang van mensen erbarmelijker, terwijl die vaak genoeg al erbarmelijk zijn

01.02.2026 09:22 πŸ‘ 89 πŸ” 34 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

something the research on genocide, ethnic cleansing, & communal violence shows us is that the processes tend to stop where local officials & local people refuse to participate in them. there may be obstacles to refusalβ€”being threatened, being overpoweredβ€”but violence isn’t inevitable once it starts

31.01.2026 17:13 πŸ‘ 86 πŸ” 18 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

when we say complex processes of repression & violence are highly contingent & dynamic, we mean they depend on active choices people makeβ€”nothing is inevitable.

we know from lots of research that people can interrupt violent processes by making choices that reflect their values. this is an example.

31.01.2026 17:04 πŸ‘ 561 πŸ” 183 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 7

I think it is OUTRAGEOUS that people are LEAPING to the conclusion that some our post prominent Americans are child rapists when it is EQUALLY PLAUSIBLE that they are simply indifferent to whether other people are child rapists so long as those other people can offer them access to power.

31.01.2026 14:41 πŸ‘ 6866 πŸ” 1328 πŸ’¬ 81 πŸ“Œ 63

holy shit, Xi purged Zhang Youxia. that's pretty much a clean sweep of PLA senior leadership at this point.

25.01.2026 04:48 πŸ‘ 666 πŸ” 103 πŸ’¬ 22 πŸ“Œ 23

Imagine what’s happening in the camps.

24.01.2026 23:29 πŸ‘ 26014 πŸ” 6857 πŸ’¬ 317 πŸ“Œ 133
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Videos From Minnesota Show How Aggressive ICE Has Gotten During Arrests and Encounters With Protesters (Gift Article) For weeks, residents have documented the impact of President Trump’s mass deportation campaign and captured many violent confrontations on camera.

The NYT has collected a number of videos shot by regular people and put them together in a solid narrative.

Gift article link:

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

24.01.2026 19:17 πŸ‘ 372 πŸ” 172 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 5

Our initial analysis is up.

The video footage appears to show that the gun was taken away from the man before he was shot.

He was UNARMED before any of the shots were fired.

24.01.2026 19:10 πŸ‘ 6870 πŸ” 2398 πŸ’¬ 127 πŸ“Œ 85

"in most cases, these videos appear to have been filmed secretly - using Meta smart glasses."

Argh for the love of god BAN. THE. PERVERT GLASSES.

24.01.2026 08:02 πŸ‘ 1946 πŸ” 588 πŸ’¬ 65 πŸ“Œ 42
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I got very choked up in class today showing my students what James Baldwin had to say about Shakespeare:

β€œthe greatest poet in the English language found his poetry where poetry is found: in the lives of the people. he could have done this only through love…”

21.01.2026 19:57 πŸ‘ 785 πŸ” 205 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 10
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Trump’s Year of Anarchy The unconstrained presidency and the end of American primacy.

One year in, it's Hobbes all the way down. Me & @dandrezner.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com.

www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

20.01.2026 12:13 πŸ‘ 168 πŸ” 77 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 25

Peace for our Times.

20.01.2026 19:37 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

At least our ignorance makes up for our lack of courage.

20.01.2026 08:49 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump posts an image depicting Canada and Greenland as part of the United States

20.01.2026 06:09 πŸ‘ 2995 πŸ” 1153 πŸ’¬ 702 πŸ“Œ 718