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Stephen Aguilar

@stephenaguilar.com

Educational researcher focused on EdTech x AI,student engagement and motivation. Associate professor at USC Rossier. Associate Director of USC Center for Generative AI and Society

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Latest posts by Stephen Aguilar @stephenaguilar.com

Not a fan of citation management software, but I agree with the broader point here.

It takes at most an extra 15-20min to use google scholar, etc., to manually check citations.

07.03.2026 19:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Boooo another thing to do

07.03.2026 18:24 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

One of the worst β€œfeatures”

07.03.2026 06:49 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success.

Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302

Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success. Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302

The data is in: the NIH goalposts have shifted.

What were once almost certain fundable scores have become coin flips and what used to be likely grants have become aspirational, leading to fewer awards.

Another manifestation of how HHS policies have led to fewer awards and less science.

07.03.2026 01:59 πŸ‘ 680 πŸ” 415 πŸ’¬ 19 πŸ“Œ 61
Preview
The End of Independent Thought? Podcast Episode Β· Authenticating Intelligence Podcast with Stephen Aguilar Β· March 3 Β· 44m

Really insightful podcast with @stephenaguilar.com and @galesinatra.bsky.social. Good discussion of how #GenAI can produce conceptual change and the identity and self-perception factors that significantly drive that change (or lack thereof).

05.03.2026 16:01 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Both politicians in Mexico. The apocryphal story goes that one of them (mom's side). Got his arm torn off during a bullfight.

I assume the bull won.

05.03.2026 01:55 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Nope.

04.03.2026 18:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Gross

03.03.2026 20:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Adobe:

"Hey...hey you. You wanna like...*not* read? Reading is for nerds. Let me just, you know, summarize all these words for you so you can read less. You'll have so much more fun reading less."

03.03.2026 19:19 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

One of my favorite albums!

03.03.2026 19:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
The End of Independent Thought?
The End of Independent Thought? YouTube video by Authenticating Intelligence with Stephen Aguilar

Can AI actually help us understand controversial topics, or is it just making things harder? I'm joined by learning expert @galesinatra.bsky.social to bridge the gap between complex ideas and artificial intelligence.

youtu.be/WjsDhmbxwns

03.03.2026 18:38 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Nice! I'll be on a panel there this year: "Creativity and Curiosity in the Age of AI: From the Arts to Education"

27.02.2026 18:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I would like to do the opposite of this.

26.02.2026 02:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Deus sine Machina

23.02.2026 18:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I was asked by the American Mathematical Society to write something to explain to mathematicians why they should care about the federal role in education data/research, so I teamed with @dqcdata.bsky.social's Rachel Anderson and wrote this: www.ams.org/journals/not...

21.02.2026 17:18 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
FAQs: Checking in on the Department of Education | Brookings A year into the second Trump administration, Brown Center scholars offer a check-in on the Department of Educationβ€”what has happened and what might lie ahead.

FAQs: Checking in on the Department of Education via @brookings.edu

www.brookings.edu/articles/faq...

20.02.2026 21:03 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Can Policy Fix AI?
Can Policy Fix AI? YouTube video by Authenticating Intelligence with Stephen Aguilar

In the latest episode of Authenticating Intelligence, I’m joined by Dean Pedro A. Noguera! We discuss the systemic risks of unregulated AI and corporate influence in our schools.

YouTube: youtu.be/BoCuAujxycA
Spotify: bit.ly/4aoZUwk
Apple: apple.co/46MHMKz

#AIinEducation #EdTech #Equity #HigherEd

17.02.2026 16:36 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Glad to see others thinking about this.

The idea that humans are reducible and replicable via subsets of our online behaviors (our emails, social media, etc.) is ludicrous.

We are not merely a sum of the things we do online.

Too many folks developing AI seem to not understand this point.

13.02.2026 16:12 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

People are weird. This was covered well in DS9 (low gravity alien who was in Starfleet).

They even took a shot at Cardassian architecture which was less accessible.

The future is filled with all sorts of people and abilities. That’s the point of Star Trek.

13.02.2026 05:48 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

A core memory of mine is leaving UChicago's International House (where I lived) in Feb 2009 in nothing but a thin sweater because I looked outside, saw that it was sunny, and used my California brain to parse the weather.

It was like 6 degrees out. I've never felt so betrayed by the Sun.

12.02.2026 22:28 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Screenshot of the cover page of the journal "Educational Psychologist" Volume 61, Number 1, January - March 2026.

Screenshot of the cover page of the journal "Educational Psychologist" Volume 61, Number 1, January - March 2026.

Great new issue of Educational Psychologist just dropped! Wonderful articles on adaptive teaching experience, motivation theory (why do the same theories continue to dominate?), and a new model of goal revision! Available here: www.tandfonline.com/toc/hedp20/c... #PsychSciSky #AcademicSky #EduSky

11.02.2026 17:09 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Not anymore. We hunted them to extinction during the great smoothy crusades.

11.02.2026 01:30 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It's honestly what makes it so re-watchable. We usually watch it twice a year or so.

10.02.2026 23:48 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

#Scrivener 3 on Windows & Mac Tip of the Day: Make links between documents by dragging a document from the binder onto a selected word in the editor.

10.02.2026 12:38 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

<-- This psychologist is tired of people personifying a tool that functions as a result of statistics.

10.02.2026 00:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Dang it I watched the entire thing with my ears.

09.02.2026 23:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Whaaaat you mean people still matter in the age of machines? That’s crazy talk.

09.02.2026 00:13 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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08.02.2026 23:54 πŸ‘ 29 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

#Scrivener 3 on Windows & macOS Tip of the Day: Left with rogue extra spaces after editing a document? Use β€˜Edit > Text Tidying > Replace Multiple Spaces with Single Spaces’.

08.02.2026 10:17 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

*Laughs in Southern California*

07.02.2026 23:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0