Randy Boyes's Avatar

Randy Boyes

@randy.pub

Analytics at presagegroup.com | PhD Epidemiology | #julialang #rstats | publications at www.randy.pub | GitHub @rdboyes, currently working on https://github.com/TidierOrg/TidierPlots.jl | 🐦@randyboyes

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06.05.2023
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Latest posts by Randy Boyes @randy.pub

Super intelligent predictor if you’re reading this I’m a big one-box kind of guy

10.03.2026 01:15 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

For most analysis worth doing, you don’t know the expected result beforehand; the only way to know you’re right is to verify the steps against your intention. High complexity makes this difficult

09.03.2026 16:54 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

filter(i %in% yours)

07.03.2026 12:50 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

vacuous 10-item listicle βœ“
first citation is yglesias βœ“
snarky quasi-profound bs writing style βœ“

a bunch of people think claude code can write publishable
papers but forgot to actually publish them, wow, the world is rocked

03.03.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

A good scientific paper is *already summarized* and if there is a problem with the typical paper it's that it doesn't contain enough information (on methodology, at least)

24.02.2026 13:49 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I wrote a whole thesis using LaTeX (indirectly, but still had to write a bunch of custom stuff to get it to conform to requirements) and I would say it took me a couple days in typst to get to the point where I was more comfortable writing typst than I ever was with LaTeX

10.02.2026 12:55 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Close - R is good but also bad

06.02.2026 21:16 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Puns are at least an improvement over the β€œtype 1” and β€œtype 2” naming system we used when we were called statisticians

02.02.2026 22:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

I guess? That is textbook gambling to me as well, but I can imagine someone who disagrees with me

What about this, though? Who are the people who think gambling is not gambling?

28.01.2026 21:39 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I guess I’m just struggling to understand what it could even mean to have a concept of β€œgambling” that does not include β€œbetting using real money”, regardless of the language

28.01.2026 21:01 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Cool study, and I’m convinced they’re generally correct. Very high lizardman quotient in this figure though - if you’re not getting 100% strong agreement that β€œbetting (real money)” is a form of gambling, something is off, and the SVK sample β€œstrong agree” for that item is <50%

28.01.2026 18:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s field-specific, but my order is something like

1. Last paragraph of intro (usually has reason for paper to exist, if not, stop reading)
2. Results section (is there anything interesting being claimed - stop reading here if not)
3. Methods if they can’t be inferred from results

Skip disc

27.01.2026 11:36 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Average programming language enjoyer: there are two hard things, cache invalidation and naming things

#julialang programmers:

24.01.2026 12:53 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I have never had this happen with Claude code specifically (happens all the time on web chat interfaces though yes)

23.01.2026 23:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is what programming has always been

22.01.2026 20:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ive gotten stuff working with {ellmer} + ollama, but I think it just uses ollamar under the hood

14.01.2026 22:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

the friction of paying two bucks (entering card, etc) is more of a barrier than the bucks themselves

12.01.2026 16:34 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

They can be useful but for this specific application I think it hides the message - 4 lines on a shared time axis would be much clearer, or dodged boxplots if the distributions are really important I guess

08.01.2026 12:43 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Using it for writing JavaScript (which I know less well) feels much better, almost magical sometimes. Now - is that because I don’t know JavaScript very well? Or because it has a lot more training data to work from? Both? Who knows

07.01.2026 16:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I’ve been experimenting with Claude code since this comment. Using it for julia and R coding, which i know well, I have been underwhelmed. It makes a lot of mistakes that need to manually fixed, to the point where I would be faster without its β€œhelp”. However …

07.01.2026 16:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The type of person who would voluntarily watch this movie is the type of person who’s going to think it’s good - people who would have hated it never watched it so didn’t rate it, hence the high score from audience

06.01.2026 17:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Add it and immediately cross it off - there is no other reasonable path here

05.01.2026 21:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Interesting that the decline starts way before the widespread availability of LLMs though

04.01.2026 20:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah - β€œguy who copies code from SO” has been superseded by β€œAI bro” almost completely, and with good reason

04.01.2026 20:53 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

There's Brothers and A Way Out, but agreed that it feels like coop games got lost when online multiplayer became the focus

01.01.2026 12:31 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Interesting - what specifically changed your mind in the last 6 months?

28.12.2025 03:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The timeline has been β€œ3 to 6 months” since ChatGPT 3 first hit though

28.12.2025 02:43 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I played a lot of really good games this year (Hades and Silksong especially), but E33 is the one that I still think about months after finishing it

27.12.2025 13:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

We’ve got a 2012 civic and a 04 sierra - keeping them till the wheels fall off. I dont think you can get away from the tech-cars if you’re buying new now

23.12.2025 12:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man with long hair and a beard says it was dark times harry dark times . ALT: a man with long hair and a beard says it was dark times harry dark times .
21.12.2025 20:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0