‘While Russia’s theatrical outrage at breaking international law is surely staged, it may not be entirely insincere. Moscow would like U.S. power to be more constrained,’ I write in my short contribution to this snapshot. Overall, if #Urals oil regains competitiveness, 🇷🇺 looks at a net benefit.
‘While Russia’s theatrical outrage at breaking international law is surely staged, it may not be entirely insincere. Moscow would like U.S. power to be more constrained,’ I write in my short contribution to this snapshot. Overall, if #Urals oil regains competitiveness, 🇷🇺 looks at a net benefit.
Against Putin’s imperial ambitions, Europe’s core interest is clear: stop Russia in Ukraine and deter further aggression. To achieve this, Europeans must continue to empower Ukraine & unpower Russia, writes @ditrych.bsky.social. ow.ly/CSUI50YmkNk
Europeans must continue to empower Ukraine, #unpower Russia’s war machine, and engage more forcefully in diplomacy to shape a ceasefire that effectively constrains Russia. A free and independent Ukraine needs Europe on its side — and a free and independent Europe needs Ukraine on its side, too.
Europeans must continue to empower Ukraine, #unpower Russia’s war machine, and engage more forcefully in diplomacy to shape a ceasefire that effectively constrains Russia. A free and independent Ukraine needs Europe on its side — and a free and independent Europe needs Ukraine on its side, too.
The EU's northern flank is central to European security. President Costa in Norway & HRVP Kallas in Sweden today make that clear. The Arctic is both a pillar of Russia’s economy & its weak spot, writes @ditrych.bsky.social.
How the EU can #UnpowerRussia there ⤵️ ow.ly/9CjX50YhZ2N
The Munich Security Conference was all about the transatlantic relations & two distinct messages came from the US administration. @ditrych.bsky.social on @f24debate.france24.com on the outcome of #MSC2026. ➡️ Full show: f24.my/BkEi
Murder of political opponents is an admission of fear, says
@kajakallas.bsky.social on the second anniversary of Navalny killing. Putin's Russia is a #necropolitical regime that fears any competition but Navalny proved that it's not the only Russia there is: iss.europa.eu/publications....
"This is a regime that kills rather than protects its own people."
Two years after #Navalny's murder, @ditrych.bsky.social words on his legacy, and the system that silenced him, still ring true.
As NATO launches a new Arctic mission, @ditrych.bsky.social explains the Russian threat there is real. It could take the form of a clash at sea or over territory like Bear Island in the Norwegian Svalbard archipelago. 🎙️ Story by @terischultz.bsky.social on NPR: www.npr.org/2026/02/12/n...
What a delight to convene a group of brilliant experts on Russia’s elites, economy, and society to discuss where Russia is headed - and what the EUshould prepare for. Many thanks to the Polish Permanent Representation for hosting!
Good to see @euiss.bsky.social paper on shifts in Transatlantic relationship featured in @munsecconf.bsky.social #MSCreport. The paper can be read here: www.iss.europa.eu/publications... ...and my chapter on how to turn the wheel and see more unity on Ukraine here: www.iss.europa.eu/sites/defaul....
Basic #takeaways: The likelihood of change is low in foreseeable future. The systemic changes under way create powerful path dependencies. Still, the #EU can take steps to further 'unpower' Putin's regime, including through secondary sanctions, and to invest in a peaceful future Russia.
What a delight to convene a group of brilliant experts on Russia’s elites, economy, and society to discuss where Russia is headed - and what the EUshould prepare for. Many thanks to the Polish Permanent Representation for hosting!
Where could change in Russia really come from - elites or society? @markgaleotti.bsky.social shares his take on Russia’s possible futures.
EU ambassadors are close to a deal on a €90 billion loan to finance Ukraine’s defense against Russia - with talks expected to be finalized today - thanks to a draft text spelling out participation of third countries in arms deals, say three diplomats.
Delighted to contribute to @carnegieendowment.org ’s #TakingThePulse on whether Europe should reengage with #Belarus. An interesting set of diverse views: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat....
Pleased to speak with @financialtimes.com about Russia's ambitions and military posture in the increasingly busy #Arctic: www.ft.com/content/4130....
More in our recent @euiss.bsky.social
analysis for more about Russia's foothold in the region: iss.europa.eu/publications....
"Russian imperialism is still the gravest threat to European security & the European project."
@ditrych.bsky.social at @europarl.europa.eu.
Watch his intervention: www.europarl.europa.eu/delegations/...
V češtině jsem k tomu napsal kratší komentář pro newsletter
11am: 11am.cz/arktida-v-hl....
V posledních měsících jsme se tématu v
@euiss.bsky.social poměrně podrobně věnovali. Výsledkem jei veřejně dostupná analýza, která témata rozhovoru popisuje do větší hloubky: iss.europa.eu/publications....
Arktida je teď velké mezinárodní téma, ale není to jenom Grónsko. Díky za příležitost @zaminutusest.bsky.social podrobněji projít zájmy a kapacity, které tu má konkrétně Rusko, kde jsou jeho silné stránky a proč je Arktida zároveň taky jeho Achillova pata.
www.seznamzpravy.cz/clanek/audio...
Trump v Davosu ujistil, že si Grónsko silou brát nebude. Reálné zájmy velmocí v Arktidě ale zůstávají a nejvíce se to vedle USA týká Ruska. Jak se to s posilováním jeho vojenských kapacit v oblasti má, vysvětluje v @zaminutusest.bsky.social analytik @euiss.bsky.social @ditrych.bsky.social
I had the pleasure of speaking yesterday at the
@euparliament.bsky.social. I argued that Putin’s Russia remains the gravest threat to European security, and discussed the key contexts (transatlantic, prospective ceasefire) in which it’ll be evolving.
europarl.europa.eu/delegations/...
To challenge Moscow’s Arctic ambitions, Europe should end LNG imports from the Russian Arctic & reduce dependence on Rosatom, argues @ditrych.bsky.social in WorldECR. Future sanctions & export controls could also target Arctic minerals, increasingly accessible due to climate change.
Infographic map titled "Russia's hydrocarbon economy: The importance of the Arctic."
🧊 The #Arctic is central to Russia's power but also its Achilles' heel.
As Moscow's threat to European security grows, the EU must make the Arctic a strategic priority, constraining Russia's revenues and countering its hybrid campaigns, argues @ditrych.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
Will the reparations loan to Ukraine be adopted? What consequences if it isn't? And what are the other options on the table?
@sbeverts.bsky.social & @ditrych.bsky.social unpack the strategic stakes of the European Council.
▶️ Watch the full discussion: youtube.com/live/UbeFjlC...
I would rule it out, actually, but explain why mentioning the accession matters in the context of the peace framework negotiations.
A decisive week for EU support to Ukraine.
As diplomatic discussions intensify around possible peace terms, #EUCO will decide on funding options on Thursday: reparation loan or another model?
Join @sbeverts.bsky.social and me on Wednesday to discuss the options and their strategic consequences.
