@stormscale.io
Personal account, views my own, you know the drill. Techniques Development Meteorologist for the Storm Prediction Center. See more of my photography: https://www.instagram.com/keltore My blog: https://www.stormscale.io
Today is SPC's first explicit forecast of significant tornadoes possible (CIG1) in a tornado probability less than 10%. Based on radar data and environment a significant tornado may have occurred in parts of that forecast area. SPC could not have explicitly forecast this kind of scenario previously.
I think today was the perfect example of the value added with conditional intensity outlooks. First potential significant tornado in a 5% CIG 1.
The .gifs are not going to exist going forward, as far as I know
Some exciting news to share: very soon, NOAA Research will be hiring new federal employees into science positions across the agency! A couple of notes:
1) They will only be open on USAJobs for seven days.
2) Multiple positions at different sites may be in one posting.
(1/2)
It’s not long for this world
Omg and it’s parquet
Fair. I’ll allow it!
We don’t frown at less CIN, Larissa
Are these the drifters or are these launches from the ground?
Also reminding me that it’s about time to pipe the windborne BUFR profiles through my new viewer.
Still do, for a lot of things. Believe it or not it’s got better performance for CONUS scale data rendering than the bloated behemoth that is AWIPS2
Please don’t make me touch NCL again
I think there’s two different things being said about “drawing lines”.
What I’m referring to is the generation of the graphics from the product. That’s all Python based via @nawendt.com.
The actual construction of the lines still happens in NMAP.
A new era for SPC Outlooks & severe storms forecasting begins today! If you haven’t seen the new outlook (severe & fire weather) graphics yet, check out the SPC website. www.spc.noaa.gov Increasing severe risk in the coming days will give a first live look at the new conditional intensity levels.
@nawendt.com deserves the title “Bane of GEMPAK”
The end of an era: with today’s SPC Conditional Intensity update comes new graphics. For the first time ever, the main convective outlook graphics will not be plotted by GEMPAK.
Be sure to check out the short explainer from SPC on what conditional intensity is, and what it means for our outlooks!
The NWS Storm Prediction Center's severe weather outlooks will be changing slightly next week.
Meteorologists Evan Bentley and Liz Leitman, our experts at SPC, provide an update about the new conditional intensity outlook.
I’m pretty sure mine guarantees the layer is truly continuous, but it will only be the first layer identified from a top-down search.
I’m actually very interested in this and would like to work with you to implement it at some point. I considered it, but opted against it for this update since it would be a breaking API change. I’d like to collect a few more of those to apply in one big update.
The PyroCB stuff is what is powering this bottom right inset. The documentation has links to the peer reviewed studies it is based off of: keltonhalbert.github.io/SHARPlib/v1....
There were also two updates over the fall and winter I didn’t mention here, so be sure to check out the change logs to see what all has been added.
SHARPlib 1.3.0 is available via PyPI, conda-forge, & source distributions.
This update brings a fix to a longtime issue present since SHARPpy w/ how the dendritic growth zone is calculated. New features include PyroCB Firepower Threshold, PBL top detection, & more.
github.com/keltonhalber...
First time making rack of lamb and frankly knocked it out of the park.
Duck fat crispy potatoes
Oven roasted baby carrots
Rack of lamb with red wine and chimichurri sauces
SPC Conditional Intensity teaser video dropped on YouTube. We’ll have another explainer video (around 3 min length) coming soon! Outlook changes coming March 3rd. youtube.com/shorts/uWzMP...
Last level*
Final suggestion, you can try a constant relative humidity above your left level and get the mixing ratio that way… it would help it perhaps scale more reasonably with temperature above the tropopause. Every option has its caveats.
No problem! Though, seeing that profile, the small mixing ratio value could be a bad assumption here. I’m surprised the profile can be that close to saturation, but the BUFR won’t output anything other than MISSING past that. Hmmmm. Could always experiment with using a constant value from last lvl
