Ivan U. KŁYSZCZ's Avatar

Ivan U. KŁYSZCZ

@ivanklyszcz.com

Insights on int'l security, intel, Russia | Research Fellow @ICDS-Tallinn.bsky.social | ivanklyszcz.com | Tweets reflect my views only

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Latest posts by Ivan U. KŁYSZCZ @ivanklyszcz.com

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Ученые, которые изучали использованное для убийства Навального вещество, до этого исследовали химическое оружие зарин • «Агентство» Группа ученых предприятия «Государственный научно-исследовательский институт органической химии и технологии» (ГосНИИОХТ), которая изучала использовавшийся для отравления Алексея Навального эпибатидин...

Ученые, которые изучали использованное для убийства Навального вещество, до этого исследовали химическое оружие зарин www.agents.media/uchenye-koto...

18.02.2026 19:37 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Russia-Mali-Algeria Security Triangle – Riddle Russia Ivan U. Klyszcz on Russia’s strategic maneuvers in Algeria and Mali’s security dynamics

Here are our team’s top 10 picks for the most relevant and compelling Riddle Russia articles published in 2025:
The Russia-Mali-Algeria Security Triangle
@ivanklyszcz.com on Russia’s strategic maneuvers in Algeria and Mali’s security dynamics
1/10
ridl.io/the-russia-m...

30.12.2025 19:36 👍 13 🔁 9 💬 1 📌 0
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Confronting the Russian Hydra: Continuity and Innovation in the Grey Zone - International Centre for Defence and Security The major threat to European security today is posed by Russia’s aggressive foreign policy, enacted in part by its intelligence services.

In this ICDS report, Ivan U. Kłyszcz shows how the chekist mindset still shapes information warfare, while Marek Kohv explores the use of sabotage — a tool to maximise impact and undermine foreign societies.

@ivanklyszcz.com

23.12.2025 12:10 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Deep Dive: The GCC-Russia battle for Chinese energy markets Beijing and Moscow are maneuvering to boost Russian oil and natural gas exports to China and strengthen cooperation on liquefied natural gas (LNG). A string of new agreements inked in September could ...

‘…the [CN-RU energy] agreements are the product not of the natural development of economic interests, but of political games—and thus artificial conditions, which may change and force Beijing to ultimately reconsider its interest in Russian hydrocarbons.’ amwaj.media/en/article/s...

22.12.2025 15:09 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Early Christmas gift! 🎄

My book Russian Grand Strategy: The Quest for Major Power Status and a Multipolar World Order is set for publication with Cambridge University Press.

I will be promoting the book across my social media, so, apologies in advance for the self-promotion.

20.12.2025 09:53 👍 9 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Russia-Africa Ties Catch Global Tailwinds in 2025 – Riddle Russia Ivan U. Klyszcz on Russia — Africa dynamics in 2025

My 2025 Russia-Africa in review for Riddle Russia: ridl.io/russia-afric...

18.12.2025 17:36 👍 5 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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Confronting the Russian Hydra: Continuity and Innovation in the Grey Zone - International Centre for Defence and Security The major threat to European security today is posed by Russia’s aggressive foreign policy, enacted in part by its intelligence services. This report draws attention to the services’ strategic culture...

"Hybrid and sabotage operations thrive because they exploit and capitalise on ambiguity, surprise, and the seams between civilian and military domains."

New report by Ivan U. Kłyszcz and Marek Kohv examines the legacy and future of Russian covert ops. @ivanklyszcz.com

15.12.2025 11:25 👍 5 🔁 5 💬 0 📌 0
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Russian hybrid threats: Council sanctions twelve individuals and two entities over information manipulation and cyber attacks The Council adopted restrictive measures against an additional twelve individuals and two entities in view of Russia’s destabilising activities against the EU and its member states and partners.

'The Council is also sanctioning the International Russophile Movement for amplifying destabilising narratives globally on behalf of the Russian government'.

Council sanctions twelve individuals and two entities over information manipulation... www.consilium.europa.eu/fr/press/pre...

15.12.2025 20:09 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Germany to send soldiers to fortify Poland border Germany has said it will send a group of soldiers to Poland to help with a project to fortify the country's eastern border as worries mount about the threat from Russia.

‘The main task of the German soldiers in Poland will be "engineering activities," a spokesman for the defence ministry in Berlin said late Friday.’

Germany to send soldiers to fortify Poland border www.rfi.fr/en/internati...

13.12.2025 18:11 👍 25 🔁 11 💬 0 📌 1
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Brussels Adds New Names To Blacklist In Latest Russia Sanctions Package European Union ambassadors on December 10 decided on further sanctions against Russia, with a new package adding several individuals and entities to its sprawling blacklist adopted in response to the ...

‘The updated [EU sanctions] list includes John Mark Dougan […] [who participated in information operations] with the goal of “influencing elections, discrediting political figures and manipulating public discourse in Western countries.”’ www.rferl.org/a/eu-blackli...

10.12.2025 16:34 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Zelensky says ready to hold Ukraine elections President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Tuesday he was ready to hold new elections in Ukraine, and that he expected to send Washington within a day revised proposals on ending the nearly four-year war wi...

‘President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Tuesday he was ready to hold new elections in Ukraine, and that he expected to send Washington within a day revised proposals on ending the nearly four-year war with Russia.’ www.france24.com/en/live-news...

09.12.2025 21:15 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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EU’s Costa warns US against interference in Europe The European Council president said allies must respect each other’s sovereignty.

‘According to Costa, critical remarks by U.S. Vice President JD Vance and social media posts from President Donald Trump are no longer isolated outbursts but now constitute “the doctrine of the United States.”’ www.politico.eu/article/eu-c...

08.12.2025 15:10 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Exclusive: US sets 2027 deadline for Europe-led NATO defense, officials say The United States wants Europe to take over the majority of NATO's conventional defense capabilities, from intelligence to missiles, by 2027, Pentagon officials told diplomats in Washington this week,...

‘The U.S. officials told their counterparts that if Europe does not meet the 2027 deadline, the U.S. may stop participating in some NATO defense coordination mechanisms’.
www.reuters.com/business/aer...

06.12.2025 09:47 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1
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US Urged Europeans to Oppose EU Plan for Loan to Support Ukraine The US lobbied several countries in the European Union in an effort to block EU plans to use frozen Russian central bank assets to back a massive loan to Ukraine, according to European diplomats famil...

‘US officials argued to [EU] member states that the [frozen RU] assets are needed to help secure a peace deal between Kyiv and Moscow and should not be used to prolong the war, said the diplomats, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

05.12.2025 12:32 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Confidential Conference on Ukraine Peace: "We Must Not Leave Ukraine and Volodymyr Alone with These Guys" DER SPIEGEL has obtained notes from a conference call involving EU leaders - including Germany's Friedrich Merz and France's Emmanuel Macron - showing just how little trust Europe has in Washington.

‘While the Europeans have consistently praised Washington's new peace initiative, the document shows that in addition to Merz and Macron, other participants in the call also do not trust the two U.S. emissaries.’
www.spiegel.de/internationa...

04.12.2025 17:06 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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EU moves to reduce reliance on China for rare earth supplies Europe will on Wednesday unveil a plan to reduce its reliance on China for rare earths and other critical minerals, opening a fresh front in its effort to secure supplies needed for major industries.…

‘RESourceEU is part of a wider package being unveiled on Wednesday that the commission calls its Economic Security Doctrine, which is intended to make European firms more self-sufficient’.

EU moves to reduce reliance on China for rare earth supplies www.rfi.fr/en/internati...

03.12.2025 20:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Trump’s Push to End the Ukraine War Is Sowing Fresh Fear About NATO’s Future The U.S.’s latest efforts to end the conflict between Ukraine and Russia have jolted the trans-Atlantic alliance.

‘[the 28-point plan] described the U.S. as a mediator between Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, suggesting America no longer saw itself as a member of the alliance’. www.wsj.com/world/europe...

02.12.2025 06:56 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Utility rates in Russia rise over 40% since 2022 - intel In the Russian Federation, tariffs for housing and communal services have increased by more than 40% since 2022, and their next increase has been approved for 2026—after five years of full-scale war a...

Utility rates in Russia rise over 40% since 2022 - intel www.ukrinform.net/rubric-econo...

30.11.2025 14:39 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Make Money Not War: Trump’s Real Plan for Peace in Ukraine The Kremlin pitched the White House on peace through business. To Europe’s dismay, the president and his envoy are on board.

‘Dmitriev was pushing a plan for U.S. companies to tap the roughly $300 billion of Russian central bank assets, frozen in Europe, for U.S.-Russian investment projects and a U.S.-led reconstruction of Ukraine.’
www.wsj.com/world/russia...

29.11.2025 12:13 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Russia Is Building Su-35 Fighter Jets for Iran—Secret Files Reveal the Numbers and Delivery Timeline Iran may receive up to 50 Russian Su-35 jets by 2027. Such delivery would boost its air power and pose serious regional risks.

🧐 Russia Is Building Su-35 Fighter Jets for Iran—Secret Files Reveal the Numbers and Delivery Timeline united24media.com/world/russia...

28.11.2025 19:39 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The multi-aligned Sahel: Reframing the EU’s role in a crowded region The Sahel remains strategic for the EU amid the threats posed by terrorism, criminal networks and rising geopolitical competition. As multi-alignment reshapes regional partnerships, the EU must place ...

In the Sahel multi-alignment can turn into a zero-sum game, jeopardising the EU’s stakes in the region. To mitigate the risk, the EU needs a selective approach, avoiding confrontation while advancing its interests, write Rossella Marangio & @ivanklyszcz.com ➡️ ow.ly/9G3U50XxtYv

26.11.2025 14:14 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Europe thinks the unthinkable: Retaliating against Russia Countries are looking at joint offensive cyber operations and surprise military drills as Moscow steps up its campaign to destabilize NATO allies.

Europe thinks the unthinkable: Retaliating against Russia www.politico.eu/article/euro...

27.11.2025 13:27 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Trump's Ukraine plan: 'For Europe, this is the moment of truth: It must say no' OP-ED. Five contributors, including historian Sylvain Kahn and geographer Béatrice Giblin, challenge the premise underlying Donald Trump's proposed 'peace plan' to end the war in Ukraine. They argue t...

Trump's Ukraine plan: 'For Europe, this is the moment of truth: It must say no' www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/a...

25.11.2025 19:44 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Sahel is now a crowded, multi-aligned arena where countries diversify partners while Russia, China, Türkiye, the UAE, India & Iran race for influence. The EU must stay engaged selectively: focusing on organised crime, energy/mining, justice & education 🔗 ow.ly/9G3U50XxtYv

25.11.2025 14:41 👍 6 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

The more concerning scenario is the US and Russia coordinating their foreign policies to attempt to coerce Ukraine, but that is also yet to happen. Plus, thanks to Ukraine's resistance and European support, the US and Russia are not guaranteed to succeed at coercion. 2/2

22.11.2025 17:30 👍 3 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

Echoing a point made by @aphclarkson.bsky.social, I believe that a lot of the panic in Europe over US dealings with Russia has proved misplaced. The US has not waged the leverage needed to ensure Moscow sticks to any point of the leaked deal. There is no ‘table’ for Europe to sit at. 1/2

22.11.2025 17:29 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Trump peace plan for Ukraine includes NATO-style security guarantee Trump would be committing the U.S. to defend Ukraine if Russia attacks again.

‘[the plan] states that any future "significant, deliberate, and sustained armed attack" by Russia on Ukraine "shall be regarded as an attack threatening the peace and security of the transatlantic community," and the U.S. and its allies will respond accordingly, […].’ www.axios.com/2025/11/21/u...

21.11.2025 10:56 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Reuters: Russia Says It Held 'In-Depth' Talks With China on Missile Defence and Nuclear Issues www.usnews.com/news/world/a...

20.11.2025 15:52 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Scoop: U.S. secretly drafting new plan to end Ukraine war "We feel the Russian position is really being heard," Russia's envoy told Axios.

Axios reports that the US and Russia have been negotiating in secret this October: ‘The 28-point U.S. plan is inspired by President Trump's successful push for a deal in Gaza.’ www.axios.com/2025/11/19/u...

19.11.2025 14:06 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

‘16% of prisoners held in Ukrainian POW camps are Ukrainian citizens, 6% of whom are Crimeans.’
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...

18.11.2025 16:26 👍 4 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0