China sets 2026 economic growth target at 4.5-5 pct
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Xinhua: "China targets an economic growth of 4.5 percent to 5 percent this year."
While this is the lowest target in decades, it's still roughly twice what I think the economy can sustainably deliver without a lot more more non-productive investment.
english.news.cn/20260305/d0f...
05.03.2026 05:24
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"If a major burden shift is likely, Britain and its neighbours can try to negotiate a Fulton-in-reverse, receiving back the baton, but in an orderly, stable and gradual way, creating a less American, not a post-American Europe."
05.03.2026 06:35
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Last night, I spoke to former Army Pfc. Jeremy Watson who said this about Capt. Cody Khork: “[he] enjoyed being in the service…and was a great coach,” who taught him “Compassion, friendship, loyalty…[and] to always try to stay positive when you can.”
04.03.2026 17:09
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This is what “regime change” means for Trump. No freedom for the Venezuelan, no democratic vote, just leave the old dictatorial system in place with most of the same people.
04.03.2026 21:05
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These quotes are actually very revealing about modern American civil-military relations
04.03.2026 20:03
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Opinion | If Russia Has ‘All the Cards,’ Why Has It Achieved So Little?
"Russia has failed at much since it began its full-scale invasion in Ukraine, but it has had some success in creating the narrative that its victory in Ukraine is but a matter of time," historian Lawrence Freedman writes: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/o...
04.03.2026 20:18
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Lastly, they are for the soul of your nation and your cause. Limits on war preserve humanity. Mercy transcends violence. After the fighting, there has to be something more. Rules of engagement and the laws of armed conflict protect you; abandoning them is dire.
04.03.2026 20:27
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I know that the people who need to read this aren’t here, but here goes:
Rules of engagement aren’t for the enemy. They’re for you. They’re for your soldiers when they’re captured or wounded. They’re for your civilians when they’re in range of the enemy. They’re for your allies, to reassure.
04.03.2026 20:25
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It seems my intuition was right that OpenAI seems to be relying on contract terms (aka Hegseth pinky swearing) to enforce the U.S. military doesn't use ChatGPT for weapons and domestic spying while Anthropic actually built safeguards into the model.
03.03.2026 23:13
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"Arab countries are probably using more interceptors each day or two than America can churn out each year."
03.03.2026 21:44
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So much good information and anlaysis coming from up and coming scholars like @slair.bsky.social during this operation.
03.03.2026 22:51
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That’s a big mission the Navy probably doesn’t have the force for while offensive operations are ongoing.
03.03.2026 22:48
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Who can blame him
03.03.2026 15:15
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Another crisis in UK-US relations. How does the alliance survive repeated ruptures?
Greg Kennedy & I brought together 14 brilliant scholars to answer that in Transatlantic Storms in Anglo-American Relations: How the Alliance Weathers Crises.
Out today with Georgetown University Press. 1/2
03.03.2026 11:53
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Anthropic’s AI model Claude gets popularity boost after US military feud
Claude climbs to top of app store charts in US and UK after being blacklisted by Pentagon over ethics concerns
As I've been saying for days: this feud with Hegseth -- in which Anthropic looks principled, and Claude looks so valuable that the Pentagon can't live without it -- has been terrific marketing for Anthropic www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
03.03.2026 01:53
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Wait — IRGC control of the country was the plan?!?
03.03.2026 01:23
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The Arc of Australia's Strategic Future
Australia has seemingly continued largely unaware of the global shifts around it—it cannot afford to continue to do so.
I'd started thinking through the implications for Australia of the excellent article by Zack Cooper in the latest Foreign Affairs before the US and Israeli strikes on Iran. To my mind those have exacerbated the issues Cooper identified and the consequences for Australia, as set out below.
02.03.2026 23:29
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"We have a question submitted online...A Mr. Carl von C, from Germany and/or Poland would like to know specifically what you mean by 'win'"
02.03.2026 18:18
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If Forced to Choose, Our Military Leaders Should Follow the Law Not the President—Like Ulysses S. Grant
The choices the Civil War general faced can inform how they ought to conduct themselves in these perilous times
The military's obligation isn't to the president. It's to the law. That's not a radical idea—what Ulysses S. Grant modeled during the most serious civil-military crisis in American history.
@kschake.bsky.social
02.03.2026 18:00
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Trump’s Way of War
Iran, Venezuela, and the end of the Powell Doctrine.
"By claiming multiple and often vague objectives, the president retains the ability to stop the fighting without admitting defeat. This, rather than obvious victory, is his exit strategy.” Richard Fontaine in @foreignaffairs.com
02.03.2026 18:00
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Trump on the Medal of Honor: "I tried for myself. I've tried numerous times to get one by myself. I keep getting shut down."
02.03.2026 17:02
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Opinion: Trump's military doctrine is insular, with short military commitments
The objective isn't invasion, it's low-risk opportunism
"The common thread connecting these operations is not escalation, but political opportunism: applying force only where the political and military costs appear low, in pursuit of quick wins that serve a limited foreign policy agenda.” @lanoszka.bsky.social
02.03.2026 17:04
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Iran fired 1200+ projectiles at 5 countries in the first 48 hours. Most were drones. These saturation attacks aim to overwhelm air defenses and drain interceptors. $20-50K Shaheds vs. $4.19M air defense interceptors put US partners on the wrong side of the cost curve.
02.03.2026 15:25
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Coordinated with Macron - sometimes that Franco-German cooperation does work - Merz announces that France and Germany have set up a 'nuclear steering group' and that DE will participaty with conventional forces in French nuclear exercises.
02.03.2026 15:45
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Trump campaign peace promises loom large over wartime presidency
The "anti-war" candidate has bombed seven countries and launched a new regime-change war in Iran.
💥“No president in the modern era has ordered more military strikes against as many different countries as Trump. He's attacked 7 nations, 3 of which — Iran, Nigeria & Venezuela — had never been targeted by US strikes. He authorized more individual air strikes in 2025 than Biden did in 4 years.”💥
02.03.2026 12:39
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So happy to see my book Safe Passage made the cut, @ericmmurphy.bsky.social — thank you!
02.03.2026 14:17
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How to Think About the Anthropic-Pentagon Dispute
A conversation with Kat Duffy from the Council on Foreign Relations and Amos Toh from the Brennan Center for Justice.
excellent discussion of the DoD-Anthropic situation with @justinhendrix.bsky.social @rightsduff.bsky.social & @amostoh.bsky.social - highly recommend
02.03.2026 08:38
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For the first time ever Claude is the top free app in the US App Store. There’s been no better marketing than the U.S. military trying to force the company to use its AI to fight wars and spy on Americans.
It’s also notable that AI apps and Threads are the most popular apps on iOS.
02.03.2026 13:09
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