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Jacob Gellman

@jacobgellman.com

Assistant Professor at Oregon State University. Research: Economics of climate risk and adaptation. https://jacobgellman.com.

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20.09.2023
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Latest posts by Jacob Gellman @jacobgellman.com

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Even Without Hurricanes, U.S. Disaster Costs Surpassed $100 Billion Last Year

"Even without hurricanes, US disaster costs surpassed $100 billion last year."

"More than half of 2025 disaster costs, $61 billion, were tied to the wildfires that burned in Los Angeles last January."

www.nytimes.com/2026/01/08/c...

11.01.2026 21:17 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Cheap Solar Is Transforming Lives and Economies Across Africa

"Cheap Solar Is Transforming Lives and Economies Across Africa"

www.nytimes.com/2025/12/30/c...

04.01.2026 21:39 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Newer planes are also nicer to ride in.

18.12.2025 20:35 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

See also Watson, Guettabi, Reimer (2020), "Universal Cash and Crime" in ReStat.

10.12.2025 20:53 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Prospective PhD student interested in environmental, agricultural, or development economics? Consider applying to Oregon State University.

Video explainer on our PhD program:

www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...

04.12.2025 00:07 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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These are huge effect sizes.

27.10.2025 18:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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M. Nolan Grey has a great breakdown of California's SB 79, the bill signed last Friday to upzone neighborhoods and add housing near transit.

mnolangray.substack.com/p/everything...

15.10.2025 23:23 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Increased immigration to the United States since 1965 may have increased innovation and wages by 5 percent.

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

29.09.2025 14:55 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Good infographic:

04.09.2025 19:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Opinion | Students Hate Them. Universities Need Them. The Only Real Solution to the A.I. Cheating Crisis.

I don't like it but HIGH FREQUENCY, IN-PERSON assessments are the only way college students are going to learn anything this semester

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/26/o...

26.08.2025 22:07 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

Impossible for me to see this study, which values trade-offs in urban green space and car space, and not think about the congestion pricing experience in New York. Ex-ante people were protective of car space, but ex-post everyone seems to like congestion pricing...

28.08.2025 20:42 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Developing a new method to answer whether environmental markets actually improve allocative efficiency. California's RECLAIM program improved allocative efficiency, but the US's NOx Budget Trading Program did not, from Kyle C. Meng and Vincent Thivierge https://www.nber.org/papers/w34111

15.08.2025 17:00 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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I was not aware that a major driver of Indonesian deforestation is... American RV demand

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/w...

19.08.2025 19:46 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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I didn’t appreciate that a downtown MAX tunnel in Portland would speed up *the whole system* by alleviating the main choke point.

Cool video about it:
youtu.be/OF2-lnj8vEQ

02.08.2025 19:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What prompts interest in climate change? - Yale Program on Climate Change Communication In June and July 2025, a majority of Americans experienced an extreme heatwave that pushed summer temperatures to record-breaking highs in places like New York, Washington, D.C., and Philadelphia. As ...

climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications...

31.07.2025 17:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What prompts interest in climate change? Batzer et al. explore Google search data to answer.

β€’ Heatwaves drive interest more than wildfires or hurricanes.
β€’ Climate change interest is seasonal.
β€’ Search interest jumps temporarily after extreme weather events.

31.07.2025 17:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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A New Supermodel Competition! What wildfire risk model should the California Insurance Regulator use to determine whether "price gouging" on insurance premiums is taking place?

open.substack.com/pub/matthewe...

26.07.2025 12:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Top states by EV or plug-in electric hybrid share (as of 2023):

CA: 4.5%
DC: 3.8%
HI: 3.0%
WA: 2.8%
OR: 2.4%
NJ: 2.4%

22.07.2025 18:43 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Rent freezes are a major part of Zohran Mamdani's platform for NYC mayor.

A nice review of the literature on the effects of rent control is Kholodilin (2024, J. Hous. Econ.)

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

13.06.2025 02:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

🚨New @nber.org WP🚨
We use data on 42,000 households in #India to study how the agricultural sector copes w/ labour loss. As #farmers move to cities for higher wages, their left-behind families *don't* substitute with increased capital -- they downsize their farms. (1/2)

01.06.2025 18:37 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Oregon’s cap and trade would be modeled after Washington’s.

Unlikely with only 5 weeks in the session, but would mean the whole West Coast under cap and trade.

22.05.2025 21:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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First Street Foundation projected unhealthy air days over the next 15 years:

18.04.2025 00:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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One consequence of restrictive development in urban cores:

Most of the employment growth in the western US since 1990 has taken place in high wildfire hazard areas.

Via Joiner, Walls, Wibbenmeyer 2025.

media.rff.org/documents/Re...

14.04.2025 18:22 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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E.P.A. Is Said to Plan Deep Cuts to Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program Officials are moving to eliminate requirements that most big polluters disclose how much carbon dioxide and other planet-warming gases they emit.

RIP.

www.nytimes.com/2025/04/10/c...

11.04.2025 13:37 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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This paper was making the rounds, but did you notice it has a key contradiction?

They divide cities into two groups (high and low housing supply constraints), and estimate the supply elasticityβ€”how much quantities change in response to prices. Result: no difference!

1/

03.04.2025 19:16 πŸ‘ 61 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3
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People have very low willingness to privately and voluntarily reduce their carbon footprint.

Via DechezleprΓͺtre et al. (2025), "Fighting Climate Change: International Attitudes toward Climate Policies"

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

31.03.2025 20:37 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What’s the longest footnote you have ever read

27.03.2025 19:32 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

When I got my current job one of my committee members, Olivier DeschΓͺnes, said to me: "In the winter Alaska is very dark, so there won't be much to do besides work. And in the summer, the sun is out all day -- which is great for working."

27.03.2025 03:13 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The funny thing about the logged x-axis is it shows that utility is concave in wealth

25.03.2025 20:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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This is so odd to me. CoreLogic was a much better name.

24.03.2025 19:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0