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Thomas Probert

@thomasprobert.com

Researcher on human rights and development. Formerly @UNHumanRights. Writes slowly on the politics of human rights. Posts slower. London • Cambridge • Pretoria • Geneva

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Latest posts by Thomas Probert @thomasprobert.com

Can’t help thinking this is as much about avoiding the hypocrisy of still inviting the US

06.03.2026 14:21 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

"To prevent the US from leading the world down a dangerous slide from which there is no return, governments at the Convention on Conventional Weapons should use this week’s meeting to support and strengthen the draft treaty banning and regulating autonomous weapons systems."

- @verityc.bsky.social

03.03.2026 20:41 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
GANG VIOLENCE: Can It Be Stopped? | The Crime Agents
GANG VIOLENCE: Can It Be Stopped? | The Crime Agents YouTube video by The Crime Agents

Hospital admissions of young people for knife assault have almost halved since I set up London’s Violence Reduction Unit in 2019.

London's Violence Reduction Unit director Lib Peck spoke to The Crime Agents about how prevention has played a key role in the progress we’re making:

01.03.2026 11:15 👍 230 🔁 48 💬 4 📌 3
Apollo with the dodgeball of prophecy

Apollo with the dodgeball of prophecy

Years ago in another life I gave a guest lecture at The Hague warning “AI weapons” could be invoked to remove accountability for war crimes from the chain of command. I said “there are no autonomous weapons, only unsupervised ones,” and sadly it seems I was cooking with that one

01.03.2026 09:27 👍 3357 🔁 685 💬 27 📌 19

Today's presentation of evidence and victim's testimony underlines @elainepearson.bsky.social 's remark that this "really shows the power of human rights documentation to hold perpetrators of abuses to account"

24.02.2026 14:45 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Before: Duterte’s Fans Rally in The Hague as the I.C.C. Weighs Evidence Against Him
After: Duterte Won’t Appear at Hearing as I.C.C. Weighs Evidence Against Him

Before: Duterte’s Fans Rally in The Hague as the I.C.C. Weighs Evidence Against Him After: Duterte Won’t Appear at Hearing as I.C.C. Weighs Evidence Against Him

Change in Headline

23.02.2026 15:20 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
‘Deliberate targeting of vital body parts’: X-rays taken after Iran protests expose extent of catastrophic injuries Exclusive: Expert analysis of images from one hospital suggests severe trauma to the face, chest and genitals was caused by metal birdshot and high-calibre bullets

The targeting of vital body parts would certainly be unlawful, but the weapon itself is also proscribed. International law is very clear: "birdshot" is never a legitimate weapon for police to use in crowd-control contexts (see UN's Guidance on Less-Lethal Weapons, §7.5.6).

17.02.2026 18:08 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Of course if it’s not Anthropic it’ll be just another AI company who will gladly acquiesce, but it’ll be interesting to see how firm Anthropic’s red lines will be now. The bar is already quite low www.theguardian.com/technology/2...

15.02.2026 07:49 👍 14 🔁 8 💬 0 📌 0
14.02.2026 20:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Honoured to be invited to speak at this morning's convening organised by SA's Dept of Justice about the human rights obligations to protect individuals from sexual violence in places of detention, alongside powerful presentations from @justdetention.bsky.social -SA #JusticeBehindClosedDoors

06.02.2026 09:15 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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geneva-academy.ch/wp-content/u...

02.02.2026 12:19 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1
Preview
International law meant to limit effects of war at breaking point, study finds Report covering 23 conflicts over last 18 months concludes more than 100,000 civilians have been killed as war crimes rage out of control An authoritative survey of 23 armed conflicts over the last 18 months has concluded that international law seeking to limit the effects of war is at breaking point, with more than 100,000 civilians killed, while torture and rape are committed with near impunity. The extensive study by the Geneva Academy of International Humanitarian Law and Human Rights describes the deaths of 18,592 children in Gaza, growing civilian casualties in Ukraine and an “epidemic” of sexual violence in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Continue reading...

International law meant to limit effects of war at breaking point, study finds

02.02.2026 05:07 👍 62 🔁 32 💬 1 📌 5

reposting both for underlying insight and for solid use of "zugzwang"

01.02.2026 09:46 👍 1574 🔁 305 💬 23 📌 3
Preview
Stilfontein disaster exposed a systemic failure to gather and act on information Last year’s tragic events at an abandoned gold mine in South Africa show the danger of poor information in policing operations.…

The second phase of the SA Human Rights Commission's inquiry into Operation Vala Umgodi is due to get underway next week, including hearing evidence from the police

31.01.2026 19:48 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Would be interested to see that data… I assume a study looking at the relative (in)effectiveness of different types of additional or remedial training on top of a certain baseline?

24.01.2026 18:15 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Postgraduate students sat around a table in discussion.

Postgraduate students sat around a table in discussion.

We’re delighted to offer bursaries covering the cost of delegate fees and accommodation for up to 16 PhD students to attend the LEPH2026 conference (6-9 September) and Postgraduate Day (5 September 2026).

Deadline: Monday 9 February 2026, 17:00 GMT

Read more and apply:

leph2026.org/funded-places/

19.01.2026 16:35 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Today Dr Kwanele Pakati, Head of #SouthAfrica's National Preventive Mechanism, will discuss their detailed new position paper on how NPMs can more robustly address the tools of torture, including their manufacture and trade, in line with obligations under the UNCAT & the Robben Island Guidelines

19.01.2026 10:05 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Partisanship and Economic Behavior: Do Partisan Differences in Economic Forecasts Predict Real Economic Behavior? | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core Partisanship and Economic Behavior: Do Partisan Differences in Economic Forecasts Predict Real Economic Behavior? - Volume 103 Issue 3

I am 100% certain that this is standard partisan views of the economy stuff. Just our partisanship is so age-structured this is how it manifests

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

18.01.2026 11:45 👍 29 🔁 1 💬 3 📌 0
LONDON'S HOMICIDE RATEIS LOWESTIN RECORDED HISTORY
Targeted measures led by the Mayor to tackle violent crime have helped London achieve its lowest per capita homicide rate on record in 2025, despite a growing population.
3.0 Г
Homicide rate per 100,000 residents
55% LOWER
THAN 1997
2.5
V
2.0
-
1.5
T
1.0
1997
2001
2009 2013
2017
Source:
MPS recorded homicide data for period 1s January to 31s December, 1997 to 2025
Population Source: ONS Mid Year Population Estimates for London, 2024
2025

LONDON'S HOMICIDE RATEIS LOWESTIN RECORDED HISTORY Targeted measures led by the Mayor to tackle violent crime have helped London achieve its lowest per capita homicide rate on record in 2025, despite a growing population. 3.0 Г Homicide rate per 100,000 residents 55% LOWER THAN 1997 2.5 V 2.0 - 1.5 T 1.0 1997 2001 2009 2013 2017 Source: MPS recorded homicide data for period 1s January to 31s December, 1997 to 2025 Population Source: ONS Mid Year Population Estimates for London, 2024 2025

Lowest murder rate in London since records began.

12.01.2026 09:34 👍 930 🔁 293 💬 55 📌 38

good (and extremely timely) first step to removing qualified immunity for all governmental actors

09.01.2026 18:06 👍 154 🔁 29 💬 0 📌 0

One for @omegarf.bsky.social…?

08.01.2026 18:58 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
EVs, though a clear improvement on their petrol predecessors, reproduce many of the same problems of car-based urbanism, binding us into a system of maintaining expensive machines that are stationary 95% of the time. The loss of Zipcar isn’t a business failure; it’s a warning that our leaders’ transport priorities are out of whack. Ultimately, if we want a country built for people rather than parked cars, we need to get serious about sharing.

EVs, though a clear improvement on their petrol predecessors, reproduce many of the same problems of car-based urbanism, binding us into a system of maintaining expensive machines that are stationary 95% of the time. The loss of Zipcar isn’t a business failure; it’s a warning that our leaders’ transport priorities are out of whack. Ultimately, if we want a country built for people rather than parked cars, we need to get serious about sharing.

Yes, but it *is* also a case of business failure...

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

07.12.2025 13:33 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The IACHR reiterates that, under the standards of the Inter-American Human Rights System, the use of military force for public security purposes should be exceptional, strictly regulated, and limited to circumstances where civilian authorities are unable to respond effectively. The deployment of armed forces in operations against alleged criminal groups, particularly outside the territory, carries a high risk of arbitrary deprivation of life, lack of accountability, violations of due process, and erosion of civilian oversight.

The IACHR reiterates that, under the standards of the Inter-American Human Rights System, the use of military force for public security purposes should be exceptional, strictly regulated, and limited to circumstances where civilian authorities are unable to respond effectively. The deployment of armed forces in operations against alleged criminal groups, particularly outside the territory, carries a high risk of arbitrary deprivation of life, lack of accountability, violations of due process, and erosion of civilian oversight.

It's being reported that a first family of victims has sought remedy before the Inter-American Commission (I'm sure others will join): www.theguardian.com/world/2025/d...

Worth noting that (I think before that news broke) the Commission issued a press release yesterday:
www.oas.org/en/IACHR/jsF...

03.12.2025 12:02 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The law of armed conflict is generally a more permissive legal regime for the use of military force than international human rights law (IHRL). In particular, the LOAC permits targeting members of the armed forces, including members of organized armed groups, based on their status, and others if and for such time as they “directly participate in hostilities,” which encompasses more than conducting attacks. By contrast, targeting based on status outside an armed conflict is prohibited. Acts opening the door to the use of force against an individual are generally limited to situations in which they pose an imminent threat of death or grievous bodily harm. If the Hegseth and Bradley orders and the ensuing second strike had been violations of LOAC in a non-international armed conflict, they would, a fortiori, have violated human rights law as a matter of peacetime law enforcement.

With respect to the U.S. lethal strikes on suspected drug trafficking vessels at issue here, two of us (Schmitt and Goodman, along with co-author Marko Milanovic) have explained why “there is absolutely no question that the U.S. lethal strikes on the boats are a violation of international human rights law.” Without rehashing that analysis here, the bottom line is that the U.S. strikes on suspected drug traffickers at sea are clearly arbitrary deprivations of the right to life under IHRL, an obligation that the United States acknowledges applies extraterritorially. As they wrote:

The widely-accepted standard for arbitrariness prohibits the use of force likely to cause death or grievous bodily injury “except in self-defence or defence of others against the imminent threat of death or serious injury, to prevent the perpetration of a particularly serious crime involving grave threat to life, to arrest a person presenting such a danger and resisting their authority, or to prevent his or her escape, and only when less extreme means are insufficient to achieve these objectives” (Basic Principles on…

The law of armed conflict is generally a more permissive legal regime for the use of military force than international human rights law (IHRL). In particular, the LOAC permits targeting members of the armed forces, including members of organized armed groups, based on their status, and others if and for such time as they “directly participate in hostilities,” which encompasses more than conducting attacks. By contrast, targeting based on status outside an armed conflict is prohibited. Acts opening the door to the use of force against an individual are generally limited to situations in which they pose an imminent threat of death or grievous bodily harm. If the Hegseth and Bradley orders and the ensuing second strike had been violations of LOAC in a non-international armed conflict, they would, a fortiori, have violated human rights law as a matter of peacetime law enforcement. With respect to the U.S. lethal strikes on suspected drug trafficking vessels at issue here, two of us (Schmitt and Goodman, along with co-author Marko Milanovic) have explained why “there is absolutely no question that the U.S. lethal strikes on the boats are a violation of international human rights law.” Without rehashing that analysis here, the bottom line is that the U.S. strikes on suspected drug traffickers at sea are clearly arbitrary deprivations of the right to life under IHRL, an obligation that the United States acknowledges applies extraterritorially. As they wrote: The widely-accepted standard for arbitrariness prohibits the use of force likely to cause death or grievous bodily injury “except in self-defence or defence of others against the imminent threat of death or serious injury, to prevent the perpetration of a particularly serious crime involving grave threat to life, to arrest a person presenting such a danger and resisting their authority, or to prevent his or her escape, and only when less extreme means are insufficient to achieve these objectives” (Basic Principles on…

www.justsecurity.org/125948/illeg...

02.12.2025 16:32 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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#LFJL welcomes the transfer of Khaled Mohamed Ali Al Hishri to #ICC custody after his arrest in Germany earlier this year. Al Hishri, a senior member of the Special Deterrence Force, is accused of overseeing torture, rape, and other serious crimes at Mitiga Prison.

01.12.2025 21:58 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 1
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✨ A hard copy has arrived! 📘

Excited to share my contribution "A Feminist Critique" to the @oxunipress.bsky.social Handbook of Peaceful Assembly, edited by T. Abu El-Haj, M. Hamilton. @thomasprobert.com, and S. Srinvasan!

@edinburghpir.bsky.social @uoe-sps.bsky.social

25.11.2025 10:34 👍 5 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

📣 Torture equipment found at Paris arms fair: A team from @amnestyfrance.bsky.social
& Omega discovered Chinese companies marketing illegal torture equipment at the Milipol arms & security trade fair. As a result of our intervention, fair organisers took measures against the firms involved.

20.11.2025 15:37 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 1

A counterclaim might be an interesting idea

15.11.2025 09:03 👍 165 🔁 44 💬 10 📌 5
Preview
Asim Qureshi · Short Cuts: Misuses of the Terrorism Act Thousands of people each year are detained and questioned under Schedule 7, the majority of them from ethnic minority...

‘A Muslim’s rights are secondary to perceived security concerns.’

Asim Qureshi on the case of Fahad Ansari, and the uses and abuses of Schedule 7 of the Terrorism Act 2000.

www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v4...

04.11.2025 17:50 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Police and crime commissioners to be abolished, government to announce System introduced in 2012 across England and Wales has faced criticism from police chiefs * UK politics live – latest updates The controversial system of police and crime commissioners is to be abolished by the government, the Guardian has learned. Under the system, introduced under the Conservatives, all 43 police forces covering local areas across England and Wales had to answer to an elected official. Continue reading...

Police and crime commissioners to be abolished, government to announce

13.11.2025 11:12 👍 107 🔁 38 💬 16 📌 93