After nearly a decade measuring American public support for political violence, @nathankalmoe.bsky.social and I have published a somewhat comprehensive guide to measuring these attitudes. This includes historical comparisons and responses to common critiques. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
reminder that precision (or reliability) is somewhat useless without validity
two tin cans and a piece of string
the new internet
Want to come work with @olivierklein.bsky.social and me on a socially relevant topic in a warm research center full of amazing people, in the no-less international and vibrant city of Brussels? And for three years, full-time?
Then apply by April 15!
More details here: lnkd.in/erXmpcBm
action clips for Amazon's sequel to Melania
"When I polled Americans asking them what they thought about his death, if it was just him killing himself or if he was killed by a broader conspiracy, half the country thought it was a conspiracy," political scientist and conspiracy theory expert Joe Uscinski said.
“Conspiracy theories about globalist cabals, climate hoaxes and election fraud may seem ubiquitous on social media. But a report has found that they come from a tiny minority of users…
just 100 users were responsible for almost 70% of online conspiracy posts…”
Via @nationalobserver.com #UrbanTruth
@manjusrii.bsky.social Some good news www.politico.eu/politico-exp...
Accounts based in Sri Lanka are using generative AI to whip up anti-immigration sentiment in Australia on social media.
#ausnews #auspol
also, I found the opening sentence amusing to someone who may be DYOR: "We are 23 of the 27 original members". What happened to the other 4?
this is the grassy-knoll of our time
Olympic highlight in this house.
Grateful to @cenmag.bsky.social and @sarahbraner.bsky.social in particular to be able to offer my commentary about aluminum salt adjuvants here (with additional quotes from @pauloffit.bsky.social @elizabethjacobs.bsky.social):
🚨 New paper out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social 🚨
Do the public hold meaningful attitudes? Using the case of abortion policy preferences, we provide strong evidence that policy prefrences can be coherent, stable over time, and causally explain vote choice.
doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
"AI will cure cancer"
No bro, it is fully on cancer's side
Literally the terror content government
People form beliefs not only as individual agents, but as members of social groups.
Children (4-6 years old) who belonged to a group were more convinced by evidence that supported their ingroup’s belief (and were less convinced by evidence that opposed their ingroup): www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Well worth 60 seconds of your time! 😂😂
The history books will remember this one
#auspol
dplyr 1.2.0 was released last week and since I use {dplyr} a lot in my work, I wanted to take some time to try some of the new functions.
This post provides some supplemental examples of the new functions, beyond what is provided in the new Posit materials.
#rstats
cghlewis.com/blog/dplyr_u...
Vale, Jon Kudelka.
And as always, Fuck Cancer.
the chaos that agents are about to unleash as they are increasingly used by people with diminishing technical competence is going to be incredible. will be car crashes everywhere. this guy is a VC!
a table labeled "How common is your problem, how helpful is the response?" There are three columns labeled common, rare, and novel and two rows labeled Actual Human Expert and LLM. Common problem, human expert: helpful Rare problem, human expert: more helpful Novel problem, human expert: most helpful Common problem, LLM: helpful Rare problem, LLM: unhelpful Novel problem, LLM: harmful
i feel compelled to remind everyone that chatgpt/LLMs are functionally the *opposite* of an actual expert.
the more your problems are unusual or novel, the more likely LLMS are to be wrong. they are least helpful when it's most important
