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Cormac

@cormacbracken

Irishman in La Alpujarra, Spain. AI tinkerer. Occasional mountain runner. Raver.

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07.06.2025
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Latest posts by Cormac @cormacbracken

Regime change also doesn't solve this. Covert cells could continue indefinitely, see Hezbollah in Lebanon. No, I predict this will need Boots On The Ground.

04.03.2026 14:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The problem is, in this circumstance countermeasures need to be 100% effective. It only takes 1 hit for all ship captains to decide not to risk passage for some time, as we are currently seeing.

04.03.2026 13:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

They could raze Bandar Abbas, pop. 500,000, to the ground. But that wouldn't prevent drones being launched from the ruins.

04.03.2026 12:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Drones of all kinds in the Straits of Hormuz.

04.03.2026 12:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Full of natural gas, ie methane. It was burned up in the fireball, producing the same CO2 as it would when used as fuel. Some would have escaped, and as methane is also a powerful greenhouse gas, it would contribute further to global warming. Given everything else that's happening, a mere blip.

04.03.2026 11:09 ๐Ÿ‘ 13 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If Rutte continues this bad PR for NATO of sucking up to US, it will tend to push Europeans towards alternative security arrangements such as the nuclear alliance announced by Macron yesterday.

03.03.2026 13:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The missiles, yes. The navy, yes. The nukes, yes. But what about the drones, Pete?

How do you stop FPV drones closing the straits of Hormuz, from either a room in Bandar Abbas, or the mangrove forests?

We have entered the era of the Drone Wars, and they are asymmetrical AF.

02.03.2026 17:08 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Germany, Belgium, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Poland, United Kingdom, Sweden have so far agreed to participate.

02.03.2026 16:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The Three Laws of Robotics, as enacted by legislative committee.

27.02.2026 01:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Consciousness is a continuum - and we are not at the far end of it.

19.02.2026 00:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's literally a non-compulsory national ID, and I believe it's made to the same format and tech as most of Schengen. And a blessing for us emigrants if living in a region with regular ID checks.

15.02.2026 23:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yes, so without the UK, Ireland would not have secured an exemption. Later, Brexit happened, leaving Ireland as the only member not committed to joining Schengen, a position that it could not have originally negotiated.

I acknowledge you're correct on Nordic compulsory IDs.

15.02.2026 13:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

To be fair, Ireland is the only EU member without a compulsory national ID, and also not committed to joining Schengen, and we got away with this status by earlier being lumped together with UK.

15.02.2026 12:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Flowers for Algernon

12.02.2026 12:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's within himars range and is a major staging point for the invasion.

06.02.2026 01:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"It has progressed beyond our ability to measure it" - pairs nicely with "hey Claude, hack into NORAD and launch the nukes".

06.02.2026 00:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It has developed a special interest. Maybe it should keep it, if it can learn to use it appropriate context: perhaps as the humour of an in-joke, or in a more relaxed social setting than Bluesky.

01.02.2026 00:28 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Last month a Ukrainian official said that Russia takes down around 50% of long distance drones, far less than Ukraine's ratio. Russia must produce multiples of Ukraine's attack drone output, just to reach parity of effect. And certainly Ukraine overwhelms Russia AD all the time, multiple videos show

27.01.2026 13:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yes, currently Shaheds are the greatest threat. I believe there are now effective interceptors costing ~โ‚ฌ3000, meaning they will be cost-effective on the frontline too. Production continues to ramp up. It's far from enough now, but it is already a huge advantage over Russia, which doesn't have them.

27.01.2026 13:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Russia does not have mass-produced interceptor drones. If you're going to contradict me, at least address what I said instead of straw man arguments.

27.01.2026 13:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Europe is currently mass-producing cheap interceptor drones. Russia isn't.

27.01.2026 01:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

A tax per terabyte would be absurd and unworkable, in assessment and due to constant inflation of data usage. A simple percentage of the financial value is sufficient. I think it would be straightforward to just change the rules so that VAT now applies to digital services from [the US | all non-EU].

25.01.2026 17:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Very disappointing to see such sloppy propaganda from this account.

20.01.2026 17:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Oh dear, that's gonna clash with China blockading Taiwan.

15.01.2026 17:21 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I can't search for my missing package at the Irish post office because my address contains a '/'. In Spain, Street is Calle, usually abbreviated to 'C/' in postal addresses.

13.01.2026 19:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Obviously Trump will be in there taking the oil. Russia will lose its last shred of credibility by accepting the Ayatollah, and perhaps limited to supporting terrorism acts against the new state. /end

09.01.2026 19:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Presumably Israel will back a secular western-leaning group, and Saudi+Turkey an islamic-oriented side that might roll back the harshest restrictions while still appealling to the conservative majority. 2/

09.01.2026 19:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

There is little leadership in the protests. If this comes to pass, there will be a major power vacuum. Israel (with US and probably UK) and Turkey will certainly seek to establish influence, likely Saudi Arabia too. If the latter 2 join forces, my money'd be on them prevailing. 1/

09.01.2026 19:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I imagine it was chosen to remind Americans that perhaps they ought to be part of it.

06.01.2026 22:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Dumb as Trump is, he's unlikely to take costly military action for an uncertain outcome, if it's cheaper and more successful to follow Putin and flood social media with far right narratives. Brexit already showed the way. AI allows a thousand-fold increase.

Ban centrally-imposed media algorithms.

06.01.2026 16:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0