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Philip Cowley

@philipjcowley

Professor of Politics.

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13.10.2023
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Latest posts by Philip Cowley @philipjcowley

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At the Commons for our public affairs alumni drinks. Good to see the gift shop stocking the core texts...

04.03.2026 21:17 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

This will be brilliant

04.03.2026 17:52 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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How to understand the post-Gorton and Denton national poll that puts the Greens ahead of Labour It’s not the byelection win that matters but the scale of the swing to Zack Polanski’s party.

My thoughts on the poll showing the Greens have overtaken Labour following the Gorton and Denton by-election, whether this could be a "bandwagon effect", and what that means, for The Conversation: theconversation.com/how-to-under...

04.03.2026 17:08 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Indeed. There is evidence, from Germany, that this changes how voters see the polls.

04.03.2026 13:32 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I love how Ipsos show the margin of error on their charts. Should be industry standard!

04.03.2026 12:58 πŸ‘ 393 πŸ” 59 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 2
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Ah, yes, the invaluable wisdom of the markets.

04.03.2026 12:00 πŸ‘ 3624 πŸ” 505 πŸ’¬ 79 πŸ“Œ 81
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No Second Chances: The Inside Story of the Campaign for a Second Referendum Join Mile End Institute to celebrate the publication of Morgan Jones’s new book about the campaign for a second EU referendum and its impact

We're delighted to be joined by @matthewholehouse.bsky.social (Policy Editor, @economist.com), @emilyrobinson.bsky.social (co-author of The Politics of Feeling in Brexit Britain) and @michaelchessum.bsky.social (activist and author of This Is Only the Beginning)
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/no-second-...

03.03.2026 17:26 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
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As Maria Sobolewska and I first said in Brexitland, the legacy parties under FPP are like Tinkerbell - they need belief to survive. if people cease to believe they see the best and only options, they can die fast. Is this the moment Labour’s Tinkerbell dies?

03.03.2026 07:24 πŸ‘ 107 πŸ” 35 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 3
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Different Process, Same Outcome? The Problems of Within‐Party Sortition A recent article in Political Quarterly argues for a β€˜sortition of candidature’. We show that because political parties are not themselves socially representative, such a scheme would not result in a...

Q: Would we get a more representative parliament if parties randomly selected their candidates from their grassroots members?
A (c/o @philipjcowley.bsky.social, Paul Webb and me): Probably not.

02.03.2026 11:07 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

This loss of talent will have long term consequences for our national research base. Government and funders should do something about it.

02.03.2026 09:49 πŸ‘ 98 πŸ” 30 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
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Tbh, they're not especially keen on anyone

01.03.2026 13:53 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2
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Country Life editorial not keen on Reform.

01.03.2026 13:52 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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You just dont get letters like this anywhere except Country Life.

01.03.2026 13:57 πŸ‘ 59 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

A different Cowley, altho it all felt familiar.

01.03.2026 16:42 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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You just dont get letters like this anywhere except Country Life.

01.03.2026 13:57 πŸ‘ 59 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Country Life is woke.

01.03.2026 13:56 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Tbh, they're not especially keen on anyone

01.03.2026 13:53 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2
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Country Life editorial not keen on Reform.

01.03.2026 13:52 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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What I want to know, @stephenkb.bsky.social, is what the abyss is saying now.

28.02.2026 08:49 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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From September last year...

It's about ethos, as Henry Drucker explained in 1979.

28.02.2026 07:28 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
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Things continue to go badly for Labour By Stephen Fisher, 27 February 2026 Yesterday LabourΒ lostΒ the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election. This was a constituency were they took 50.8% of the vote at the 2024 general ele…

New post by me on how and why support for Labour has dropped since the general election, and how the Green by-election win yesterday increases the chances of a Reform majority at the next GE because tactical coordination failure on the left is now more likely.

electionsetc.com/2026/02/27/t...

27.02.2026 20:56 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3
Who is Hannah Spencer, the new Green Party MP in Gorton & Denton?

Who is Hannah Spencer, the new Green Party MP in Gorton & Denton?

As Tom Hamilton is on indefinite posting hiatus, he's not able to make the customary "Yes, that's right" joke. Instead, I will make it and then laboriously overexplain its linguistics stroppyeditor.wordpress.com/2026/02/27/w...

27.02.2026 16:27 πŸ‘ 76 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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Constituency names are getting longer and frankly, more ridiculous If weΒ carry on like this, single-word seat names face extinction. But at least we did away with Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East.

I have literally nothing to add to the thousands of takes, except that I suddenly remembered that me and @whyoutloud.bsky.social had previously described Gorton and Denton as sounding like the Building Society your nan used.

www.politicshome.com/thehouse/art...

27.02.2026 08:31 πŸ‘ 31 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

A Tory MP outlined a theory to me in 2023 that Tories with β€œand” seats were doomed but Tories with single place seats would probably be ok because they’d have a lot of Tory villages.
I keep meaning to check how this worked out.

27.02.2026 09:04 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1
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On which, I see @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social had a G&D query from a reader yesterday and mentioned "wonderful collection" of political articles.

"Wonderful" - the Guardian

27.02.2026 08:36 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

You don’t need to do a podcast.

27.02.2026 08:48 πŸ‘ 89 πŸ” 24 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 5
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On which, I see @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social had a G&D query from a reader yesterday and mentioned "wonderful collection" of political articles.

"Wonderful" - the Guardian

27.02.2026 08:36 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/bens...

27.02.2026 08:34 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

That this only occurred to me after the election is yet further proof I am going downhill fast.

27.02.2026 08:32 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Constituency names are getting longer and frankly, more ridiculous If weΒ carry on like this, single-word seat names face extinction. But at least we did away with Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East.

I have literally nothing to add to the thousands of takes, except that I suddenly remembered that me and @whyoutloud.bsky.social had previously described Gorton and Denton as sounding like the Building Society your nan used.

www.politicshome.com/thehouse/art...

27.02.2026 08:31 πŸ‘ 31 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0