If this MRP is right and the SNP win a majority on a mere 35% of the constituency vote (by winning 67 of the 73 constituencies), it would really show how awfully disproportionate the Scottish AMS can be.
Not quite as bad as FPTP in Westminster, but still.
www.thetimes.com/article/c5e4...
At the Commons for our public affairs alumni drinks. Good to see the gift shop stocking the core texts...
This will be brilliant
My thoughts on the poll showing the Greens have overtaken Labour following the Gorton and Denton by-election, whether this could be a "bandwagon effect", and what that means, for The Conversation: theconversation.com/how-to-under...
Indeed. There is evidence, from Germany, that this changes how voters see the polls.
I love how Ipsos show the margin of error on their charts. Should be industry standard!
Ah, yes, the invaluable wisdom of the markets.
We're delighted to be joined by @matthewholehouse.bsky.social (Policy Editor, @economist.com), @emilyrobinson.bsky.social (co-author of The Politics of Feeling in Brexit Britain) and @michaelchessum.bsky.social (activist and author of This Is Only the Beginning)
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/no-second-...
As Maria Sobolewska and I first said in Brexitland, the legacy parties under FPP are like Tinkerbell - they need belief to survive. if people cease to believe they see the best and only options, they can die fast. Is this the moment Labour’s Tinkerbell dies?
Q: Would we get a more representative parliament if parties randomly selected their candidates from their grassroots members?
A (c/o @philipjcowley.bsky.social, Paul Webb and me): Probably not.
This loss of talent will have long term consequences for our national research base. Government and funders should do something about it.
Tbh, they're not especially keen on anyone
Country Life editorial not keen on Reform.
You just dont get letters like this anywhere except Country Life.
A different Cowley, altho it all felt familiar.
You just dont get letters like this anywhere except Country Life.
Country Life is woke.
Tbh, they're not especially keen on anyone
Country Life editorial not keen on Reform.
What I want to know, @stephenkb.bsky.social, is what the abyss is saying now.
From September last year...
It's about ethos, as Henry Drucker explained in 1979.
New post by me on how and why support for Labour has dropped since the general election, and how the Green by-election win yesterday increases the chances of a Reform majority at the next GE because tactical coordination failure on the left is now more likely.
electionsetc.com/2026/02/27/t...
Who is Hannah Spencer, the new Green Party MP in Gorton & Denton?
As Tom Hamilton is on indefinite posting hiatus, he's not able to make the customary "Yes, that's right" joke. Instead, I will make it and then laboriously overexplain its linguistics stroppyeditor.wordpress.com/2026/02/27/w...
I have literally nothing to add to the thousands of takes, except that I suddenly remembered that me and @whyoutloud.bsky.social had previously described Gorton and Denton as sounding like the Building Society your nan used.
www.politicshome.com/thehouse/art...
A Tory MP outlined a theory to me in 2023 that Tories with “and” seats were doomed but Tories with single place seats would probably be ok because they’d have a lot of Tory villages.
I keep meaning to check how this worked out.
On which, I see @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social had a G&D query from a reader yesterday and mentioned "wonderful collection" of political articles.
"Wonderful" - the Guardian
You don’t need to do a podcast.
On which, I see @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social had a G&D query from a reader yesterday and mentioned "wonderful collection" of political articles.
"Wonderful" - the Guardian
bsky.app/profile/bens...
That this only occurred to me after the election is yet further proof I am going downhill fast.
