Baden-Württemberg was divided into an American and a French occupation zone after WW2 along a highway. Settlement patterns of German refugees from the East differed, and so does the vote for the AfD today. 👇🏻
... und hier der aktuelle Artikel der Stuttgarter Zeitung dazu:
... Jetzt mit Daten bis zur Wahl 2025, neuer Evidenz zu Mechanismen und einem ähnlichen Muster in ganz Deutschland ...
Rechtzeitig zur #Landtagswahl: eine neue Version von „Immigration and Nationalism in the Long Run“
(mit schneiderst.de/)
-> Die historischen Erfahrungen mit Einwanderung wirken sich dort bis heute auf die Wahlergebnisse der #AfD aus. <-
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Wer vor der Landtagswahl am Sonntag noch etwas richtig interessantes über Wahlergebnisse in Baden-Württemberg lesen will, hier entlang:
1/3 A new study by @valentinlang.bsky.social & Stephan A Schneider suggests that 🇩🇪 regions that received a high number of refugees in the wake of WWII are less likely to be deceived by the siren songs of far-right parties in today’s elections than regions that received few migrants in the late 1940s
It’s insane this is legal. People around Trump are profiting off war and death. I’m introducing legislation ASAP to ban this.
must read 👇
IE SPEGA had the pleasure to host the 18th edition of @the-peio.bsky.social, a truly transatlantic conference that brings together senior and junior scholars from both sides of the Atlantic doing state-of-the-art work in the fields of international political economy and international organizations.
If you're in Europe and just waking up, here are the 60+ bodies - around half of them under the UN umbrella - from which the US has withdrawn
The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
Herzlichen Glückwunsch Thomas!
Don’t say you weren’t warned.
New poll suggests Jordan Bardella would win second round of 🇫🇷 presidential election against any other of four tested candidates ⬇️
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
abstract
Happy to share that our paper on the ideological biases of international organizations is now out in the current issue of the AJPS (@ajpseditor.bsky.social):
dx.doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
@the-peio.bsky.social @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social @akentikelenis.bsky.social
Congrats! I really like this paper.
Latest projection suggests that more than 505,000 adults and kids have died due to USAID's illegal dismantling by Musk, Rubio, and Lewin
Source: www.impactcounter.com/dashboard?vi...
Genau! Und dieses Muster wiederholt sich in der Geschichte der Bundesrepublik in unterschiedlichen Kontexten immer wieder – wie unser Paper zum Thema zeigt: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Last week, OpenAI finally released GPT-5, which many had hoped would usher in the next significant leap in A.I. capabilities. But it is just the latest product to suggest that A.I. might not get much better.
Our paper with @nicolaslagios.bsky.social & @ilantojerow.bsky.social is now out in the Economic Journal ( @resmedia.bsky.social). It shows that demonstrating against the far-right in France had the intended effect. 1/18
academic.oup.com/ej/article-a...
1/18
Freue mich drauf!
Important and interesting work on EU regional cohesion policies and how they need to be reformed.
Yesterday, the Commission proposed piling a whole heap of new goals—from competitiveness to defense—onto the EU’s regional policy.
Since that’s pretty much the opposite of what @valentinlang.bsky.social, @danbischof.bsky.social, and I argued in a recent paper, a quick recap of our main points:
sickening grotesque repugnant horrifying repugnant nauseating shameful shame shame shame shame shame
Rubio’s position seems to be:
- We get to say who is a terrorist. Our decision is final. It can’t be challenged. Just trust us.
- Once we decide you are a terrorist, we can immediately deport you. No judges.
- After we deport you, we can make you rot in a foreign prison. No criminal charges needed.
This is exactly what the Erdogan regime used to do (before it got all the compliant courts it needed): remove judges that rule against it.
🚨 Updated paper alert! 🚨
Switzerland, the world’s most infamous tax haven, has seen a strong shift in tax compliance. How? A global crackdown on offshore tax evasion: the Automatic Exchange of Information (AEoI). 🌍💰
Here’s what I found 👇 (🧵)
Europe urgently needs to ramp up defense spending.
But it must do so without risking a repeat of the euro crisis.
@lucasguttenberg.bsky.social and I think the Commission’s current plan to use the flexibility built in the EU’s fiscal rules will not achieve this.
Short thread:
tinyurl.com/327u4ph6
