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James Harris

@james-harris

National security consultant; economist by trade; former chief of the China Division and the Strategic Assessments Group at CIA; later, VP at CENTRA Technology.

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09.12.2024
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Latest posts by James Harris @james-harris

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NYT on why we may have no choice but boots on the ground in Iran.

07.03.2026 15:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Even though...

06.03.2026 14:33 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

He's gonna run out of carrier battle groups pretty soon...

06.03.2026 14:26 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I find this to be an amazing portrayal of intelligence tradecarft. Wonder where they git this stuff. www.ndtv.com/world-news/i...

03.03.2026 14:38 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Over on X, this guy was on target before the war started.

03.03.2026 14:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I needed this thread. Funny!

02.03.2026 19:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Opinion | How Fast Will A.I. Agents Rip Through the Economy?

Ezra Klein in the NYT on how the impact of AI is about to accelerate. Agents > Chatbots. Good piece. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/24/o...

25.02.2026 14:23 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

All true. But let's be clear: a tariff is paid by the US importer as their goods clear customs at POE; payment is most often an electronic transfer to Treasury; Treasury has a receipt for all such transactions and can refund all if that becomes policy; importer decides what to do with the $.

24.02.2026 14:35 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

MAGA is a reservoir of hate and resentment, and Trump tries hard to be their champion. So, yes.

23.02.2026 15:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Importer of record is also tariff payer of record.

21.02.2026 18:16 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, media outlets are going to spend the next 36 hours displaying it for all to see. Pathetic.

20.02.2026 19:31 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Very polished. Ossoff is rightly doing more of this lately.

19.02.2026 14:38 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Sobering thoughts on what we might have in mind for Cuba.

19.02.2026 14:17 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Meanwhile, over on X...

18.02.2026 14:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump’s Claims About Noncitizens Voting Are False. We Can Prove It. A number of states have undertaken investigations into noncitizen voting, cross-checking voter rolls with citizenship status, and found it virtually nonexistent.

CATO, that recklessly liberal think tank. www.cato.org/commentary/t...

17.02.2026 13:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Has anyone collected the names of the 250 most likely ex-cons or former criminals, and current residents of southeastern AZ, to be associated with a kidnapping? The police ought to have a pool of most likely suspects against which to cross check other evidence.

16.02.2026 14:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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15.02.2026 14:12 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Guardian.

14.02.2026 14:16 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The surge in independents began way back in 2008 and continues.

13.02.2026 14:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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WaPo:

11.02.2026 14:25 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Very interesting. And I noticed in WaPo's generally upbeat coverage, it said:

11.02.2026 14:20 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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He's not right in the head, Feb 10 edition. He wants to cancel an 8 year, $4.7 billion project just as it's about to open. He's pissed at Canada again.

10.02.2026 14:11 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Remember when we thought Sarah Palin was the dumbest person in politics

Good times.

08.02.2026 14:02 πŸ‘ 19655 πŸ” 2250 πŸ’¬ 650 πŸ“Œ 135
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Trump says he’ll free infrastructure funds for New York if Penn Station is renamed after him Trump also demanded Dulles airport be given his name in exchange for funding NY-NJ tunnel and subway extension

Comic. Disgusting. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

06.02.2026 22:50 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Trump's DOJ interferes by injecting itself into the early vote counting, so that there is no record of the original vote. I imagine that if they do this, it will occcur in some strategically pre-selected swing districts.

06.02.2026 15:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Igor Bobic
@igorbobic
Tillis warns that sending ICE to the polls in November, as Steve Bannon suggested, could have β€œa chilling effect” on voting:

β€œI think there's an estimated 60 million Hispanics legally present in this country. We have seen some apprehensions of legally present people…I think it can have a chilling effect on even US citizens going to the polls because they don't want to be detained and have to prove citizenship.”

Igor Bobic @igorbobic Tillis warns that sending ICE to the polls in November, as Steve Bannon suggested, could have β€œa chilling effect” on voting: β€œI think there's an estimated 60 million Hispanics legally present in this country. We have seen some apprehensions of legally present people…I think it can have a chilling effect on even US citizens going to the polls because they don't want to be detained and have to prove citizenship.”

he's so close to figuring it out!

05.02.2026 20:23 πŸ‘ 4942 πŸ” 925 πŸ’¬ 152 πŸ“Œ 45
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Poll: Two-thirds of Americans say ICE has 'gone too far' in immigration enforcement A new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll finds a jump in disapproval of the agency among Democrats and independents, but Republicans are standing by ICE and the president.

"Trump's overall approval rating remains low at 39%, with 56% disapproving, and a whopping 51% strongly disapproving. That's the highest Marist has seen in its polling since it started asking how strongly respondents approve or disapprove of presidents." www.npr.org/2026/02/05/n...

05.02.2026 15:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Immigrants’ Recent Effects on Government Budgets: 1994–2023 Our analysis in this paper shows that immigrants generated a fiscal surplus of about $14.5 trillion from 1994 to 2023, that the average immigrant is much less costly than the average US-born American,...

www.cato.org/white-paper/...

05.02.2026 14:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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CATO.

05.02.2026 14:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, and the list goes on… and on….

02.02.2026 23:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0