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Ryan Thibodaux

@notmrtibbs.com

Baseball Hall of Fame Ballot Tracker with @tonycal.bsky.social and @shutthedore.bsky.social Tracker: tracker.fyi

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Latest posts by Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com

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@productiveouts.bsky.social Watching some bowling this morning.

24.02.2026 18:26 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Oh, no, everyone we had in the sheet was on the list of voters (also on the BBWAA site and published immediately after the results) so there were no public lost in the mail ballots again this year.

03.02.2026 17:06 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

No, the BBWAA verifies and reconciles what they publish with what the Hall counted.

03.02.2026 16:59 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Here is the BBWAA ballot release: bbwaa.com/26-hof-ballo...

Looks like about 100 ballots that will be new to the Tracker. We'll have them in the Tracker later this afternoon.

03.02.2026 16:50 πŸ‘ 36 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 1

RIP Dan. 😒 defector.com/a-baseball-h...

29.01.2026 14:48 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Wrapping up my 2026 Hall of Fame election coverage with a look at the next 5 upcoming classes and the dynamics in play. This time around, I audited my admittedly-spotty performance in this endeavor going back to 2019 (my first one at @fangraphs.com; began doing this iat SI.com in 2014)

26.01.2026 17:18 πŸ‘ 26 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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New from me:

I answered your Hall of Fame questions

Pettitte vs Bonds/Clemens
Hamels vs Felix
Rollins vs Abreu
Schilling, Whitaker & 3 more players we've whiffed on
The All One-Vote-for-the-HOF team

And lots more!
www.nytimes.com/athletic/699...

26.01.2026 14:35 πŸ‘ 82 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 28 πŸ“Œ 3

Chase Utley ended the pre-results portion of ballot season at 69.0%. We've added 15 post-results ballots since then and Utley has been on 13 of them! With 260 ballots tracked, Utley sits at 70.0%.

Utley has *never* been at 70% in the Tracker (min. 10 ballots) until a few minutes ago.

24.01.2026 00:32 πŸ‘ 77 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 6

Would love to be a fly on the wall so I could see just how hard Jack laughs when you pitch this.

23.01.2026 16:51 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks Mike!

23.01.2026 14:26 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Carlos BeltrΓ‘n's wife intently followed Hall of Fame vote-tracker Carlos BeltrΓ‘n's wife closely followed the Hall of Fame vote-tracker, celebrating each gain. BeltrΓ‘n received 84.2% of the votes from the Baseball Writers’ Association of America, surpassing the 75% n...

Good lede, in my opinion. apnews.com/article/hall...

23.01.2026 03:38 πŸ‘ 75 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0
Carlos BeltrΓ‘n, left, and Andruw Jones pose in Hall of Fame caps and jerseys at the site of their future plaques. (Nancy Ford/National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum)

Carlos BeltrΓ‘n, left, and Andruw Jones pose in Hall of Fame caps and jerseys at the site of their future plaques. (Nancy Ford/National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum)

Center stage with our newest Hall of Famers.

22.01.2026 21:30 πŸ‘ 72 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 4

new @fangraphs.com: Here it is, my rundown of the Hall of Fame election results as they pertain to all 27 candidates on this year's ballot.

22.01.2026 17:56 πŸ‘ 31 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Buster Posey takes center stage among the newcomers for next year's Hall of Fame ballot Buster Posey is expected to be the top newcomer on baseball's 2027 Hall of Fame ballot. There are no first-ballot inductees this year after the results were announced Tuesday night.

Every year, @noahtrister.bsky.social is the only reporter who asks to chat with me *after* the results are announced. Here's his look ahead to the 2027 cycle: apnews.com/article/hall...

21.01.2026 14:47 πŸ‘ 32 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Looks like I failed to re-post this. Sorry! bsky.app/profile/tony...

21.01.2026 13:57 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
A table showing that Jason Sardell had the lowest average error, median error, and root mean square error of Baseball Hall of Fame election forecasters in 2026.

A table showing that Jason Sardell had the lowest average error, median error, and root mean square error of Baseball Hall of Fame election forecasters in 2026.

Congrats to @sardell.bsky.social, who once again had the most accurate #HOF projections this year! However, @mwwdean.bsky.social and @shutthedore.bsky.social's Flip Rate model also had very good years.

21.01.2026 03:55 πŸ‘ 52 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you Kevin!

21.01.2026 03:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

new @fangraphs.com: my first look at tonight's Hall of Fame election results β€”Β record-setting gains, record-setting comebacks, and some key trends.

I'll go candidate-by-candidate in my next installment.

21.01.2026 02:56 πŸ‘ 36 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

@jimalexander24.bsky.social You know I won't be able to rest until your post-results ballot is safely accounted for.

21.01.2026 02:47 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Five things we learned from the 2026 Baseball Hall of Fame election Carlos BeltrΓ‘n and Andruw Jones have changed the landscape of modern Hall of Fame voting. But there is so much more to discuss.

New from me:

5 Things We Learned from the Hall of Fame election
www.nytimes.com/athletic/698...

21.01.2026 00:45 πŸ‘ 70 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 2

Carlos Beltran on trying not to think too much about his HOF chance the last few weeks: "Let me tell you, my wife Jessica, she spent hours and time trying to basically stay in contact with the Hall of Fame baseball tracker." CC: @notmrtibbs.com @tonycal.bsky.social @shutthedore.bsky.social

21.01.2026 00:39 πŸ‘ 43 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Fixed FΓ©lix Year 0 percent here (accidentally re-typed Pettitte's Year 0 number there).

21.01.2026 00:24 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

Thanks! Long day!

21.01.2026 00:22 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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21.01.2026 00:08 πŸ‘ 93 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 10
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This will need to be updated. FΓ©lix ties Aparicio for biggest all-time year over year gain (we'll have to dive into the decimal places to see who's actually #1). Utley and Pettitte also join the list.

20.01.2026 23:32 πŸ‘ 54 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Full voting results per the BBWAA:

20.01.2026 23:23 πŸ‘ 122 πŸ” 31 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 57

okay sounds good

20.01.2026 23:14 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Same to you, Joe!

20.01.2026 23:09 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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We finish at 245 pre-results ballots. Thank you for following!

20.01.2026 23:09 πŸ‘ 128 πŸ” 18 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 1
Ballot 245 from Anthony McCarron: BeltrΓ‘n, FΓ©lix, Andruw, Pedroia, Pettitte, Utley, Wright

Ballot 245 from Anthony McCarron: BeltrΓ‘n, FΓ©lix, Andruw, Pedroia, Pettitte, Utley, Wright

Ballot #245 is from Anthony McCarron, via SNY’s Baseball Night in NY. He votes again for his seven holdovers, with no changes. Carlos BeltrΓ‘n ends the pre portion of the program at 89.8%, Andruw Jones at 83.3%.

In the Tracker: tracker.fyi

20.01.2026 23:08 πŸ‘ 36 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0