FPL Schaden

schadenball .com is back for #UCLFantasy 25/26!

👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds

Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️

#UCL

Season-long odds: goals,assists,cards for #FPL (Select players)

Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs

Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season

Mike Trésor Ndayishimiye from Burnley

Only MIDs

Only FWDs

xA per 90 vs CBIT-R per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)

Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs

Position-wise viz in the comments 👇

#FPL

idk why a low res image was posted. I think you'd be able to read from this one

Finishing skill vs npxG p90 for all Premier League players* (career data)

*Includes the newest FPL additions

Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz

Only Midfielders

Only Defenders

xA per 90 vs CBIT per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)

Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*.

*Includes the newest FPL additions

thanks for the recommendation. I had fun with the Daily classic

Daily Octordle #1269
🕚4️⃣
7️⃣🕛
8️⃣🔟
5️⃣9️⃣
Score: 66

➡️Team-level Data for MD1

Fix. Quality = eG/eGA

➡️Player-level eG (Tournament Totals)

Select players - full list will be available on Patreon (free access) and also on FPL__Fran's YT channel

P.S. MD1 eGI will be available closer to the weekend. 3/n

➡️Team Strength Model

I've used a new methodology of trying to reverse engineer team strengths using Spreadex eG for MD1 and OPTA's power rankings.

Your feedback will help me tune the model even further before Sunday. 2/n

#CWCFantasy

Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available:

➡️Team Strength Model
➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD)
➡️Team-level eG & odds movement

FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n

#UCLFantasy

Ended up just outside the top 10k which is respectable enough

However, well done to @schadenball.com
who win The Great and The Good, they finished 109th overall!

Congratulations to Sukhraj, Obay and @big4fpl.bsky.social
who pushed them to the end

#UCLFantasy #UCL

Captaincy choices* for #MD16

Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com

*INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline

#UCLFantasy #MD16

Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)

*Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93

All jewel mules have been outed

"Once it comes into force, which could take up to a year, UK consumers are likely to benefit from the reduction in tariffs on goods coming into the country from India, the Department for Business said. As well as clothing, that will include some Indian foodstuffs, such as frozen prawns, jewellery and gems."

I know Indian food is much better than British food, but I had no idea they were eating jewellery and gems! No wonder our cooking doesn't have that same sparkle.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

and I thought I was being reasonable hoping for 55

#UCLFantasy #UCL

Captaincy choices* for #MD15

Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com

*ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline

#UCLFantasy #MD15: SF L1

Spread Markets eG for select players

Imo, the most effective ways to gain leverage on FH is not to chase low EO punts, but to build team stacks - particularly in defence. It's such a powerful strategy that DFS (daily fantasy sports) tournaments have stacking penalties to combat this

There was only one def triple up in these drafts...

ran this post deadline and the top line is a -16 with probability fixtures

did you though 😼

not confident in his xMins and want money itb if something crazy happens in 36/37. Also 1.3M OR so can't go for obvious picks ig lol