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Will

@will-rich

EM macro watcher

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28.08.2024
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Latest posts by Will @will-rich

On current pace we won't get a choice

08.03.2026 09:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

What a stupid idea

08.03.2026 08:19 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

So the argument is that it is uneconomical to develop but we ban it anyway.

And if it wasn't uneconomical and it wasn't banned then they'd charge market prices so it wouldn't be helpful for consumer.

..but also they don't charge market prices they'd charge above market prices?

07.03.2026 19:21 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Not sure why production rather than reserves is the right metric to make your point

07.03.2026 13:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
What people get wrong about women’s rights Elites should stop assuming that the barriers to progress are the same from Brazil to Bangladesh, writes Alice Evans

β€œOne-size-fits-all approaches are unhelpful” when it comes to discussing women’s rights, argues Alice Evans in a guest essay

06.03.2026 17:08 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Can it be switching e.g., part time students to full time (otherwise unemployed) graduates?

06.03.2026 14:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

So far no updates on the above and so the minimum wage for workers aged 18 to 20 is set to rise 8.5% following a 16% rise last year

06.03.2026 11:56 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Because we're approaching the frontier, right? :( Growth slows as a country approaches the frontier

05.03.2026 16:05 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Can Claude IPO already so I can get in on the action

04.03.2026 17:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It won't be when grads have to make student loan repayments on minimum wage, mid-career teachers pay the higher rate and MPs are in the 100k income trap

04.03.2026 14:50 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Seems fine

04.03.2026 13:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Energy price shocks are always greater than the "just pay it" cost though

04.03.2026 07:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Tests count in this market

03.03.2026 18:20 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Isn't moral panic when there's _unfounded_ worries about societal standards slipping?

03.03.2026 17:34 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Do we know if they were actually in there yet?

03.03.2026 15:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I don't really get the inflation and rates forecast combination

03.03.2026 14:42 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This ofc isn't true because no sane government would implement all these backloaded taxes in an election year

03.03.2026 14:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

OBR: "taxes are forecast to increase from 36% of GDP this year to 38% by the end of the forecast, with personal taxes accounting for half the increase. The projected 2030-31 level would be a historical high in the UK and almost 6% of GDP above the pre-pandemic level."

03.03.2026 14:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Glad to hear it!

03.03.2026 13:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

OBR forecast now at 5.3% for 2026, a 0.4ppt increase from previous est.

03.03.2026 13:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Inflation at 2.3% in 2026 also likely too high if not for oil shock

03.03.2026 13:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

UK OBR: Unemployment to peak at around 5.3% in 2026

We'll be above that by June..

03.03.2026 13:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Gilts down, ftse down, GBP down

03.03.2026 10:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

God bless the FT

03.03.2026 10:29 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Schadenfreude over Dubai expats is particularly ugly given what is plausibly coming next

03.03.2026 10:27 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

US PPI hot, PMIs hot, euro joining in the party?

*EURO AREA PRELIM FEB. CONSUMER PRICES RISE 1.9% Y/Y; EST. +1.7%

*EURO AREA PRELIM FEB. CORE CPI RISES 2.4% Y/Y; EST. +2.2%

03.03.2026 10:07 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Classic Bluesky who could never believe anyone goes to the gym and eats lean. Completely implausible.

03.03.2026 06:46 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Martin Wolf on the incredible soft power of the UK

03.03.2026 06:38 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What a success πŸ™ƒ

02.03.2026 18:50 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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I still can't believe we chose to do this to ourselves

02.03.2026 18:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0