That first set of questions (on amnesty/path to citizenship) is asking materially different things, though; it's not just a variance in "wording".
03.03.2026 19:28
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That first set of questions (on amnesty/path to citizenship) is asking materially different things, though; it's not just a variance in "wording".
Kinda brutal potshot at Blizzard writers though
I'm VERY far from being a Newsom fan, but for anyone who was curious about what the actual repost was:
Yeah and I think it's notable that chatbots themselves do seem to be quite popular, because they're a pull rather than a push.
"You're likeable enough" is an all-timer.
"Please proceed, governor" has a lot of good uses.
Doesn't really sound like the rental company is bearing the brunt of the penalty in this situation though, some random family is.
Folks should at least publicize which companies this involves; if I were traveling there, I'd have no idea which to avoid, and no idea how to find out.
The risk is that if that IS established then the a-priori-rejected folks are going to left behind.
I appreciate it!
It's not necessarily true that politicians will just chase public opinion to the right -- Biden mostly chased it to the left, for example.
Right or wrong, I'm pretty sure his stated position is that politicians should be fairly subservient to public opinion in order to win elections, and pundits/public thought leaders should be doing the work of shaping public opinion.
(Obama & gay marriage being the canonical example)
Hey @joshtpm.bsky.social maybe don't retweet this with no context? Love your work, but I didn't really need this coming up on my feed.
And IIRC he recently said something (snarkily) complimentary of AOC, and has very publicly not been a fan of Newsom.
Multiple jobholders have increased since the Covid disruption, but are not historically high. They're lower than the 90s, about the same as the 2000, and slightly higher than the 2010s.
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12...
And even if you do accept the 2-out-of-9 ratio, that falls well within your original statement of "by far more common than the reverse".
I think if you're going to assert that there was pressure that could have been applied, you should be able to describe what sort of pressure she might have been susceptible to, yes.
You're insisting that there were Things That Could Have Been Done, but when asked what those things were, you admit you don't know. But remain sure they exist.
You get how that's frustrating for other people, right?
Prime age labor force participation has recovered though. Overall it hasn't (and probably won't for a while) because the big Baby Boomer wave is leaving the workforce to retire.
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNU01...
This is a compositional effect. 2020 and 2021 had artificially high median wages because low-wage workers disproportionally lost their jobs, which made the median look higher.
2020/2021 was obviously not an amazing employment environment (though 23/24 actually were).
Here's the FRED graph that illustrates this. 2020 was pretty clearly not a massive wage boom, in practice!
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LES12...
Measuring from Jan 2021 is going to give you bad data because we were still in the midst of Covid, and there were huge compositional effects happening (more lower-wage people lost jobs so the median wage went *up*, making things look better than they were).
Also leveraged for entertainment -- The Price is Right exists!
The entire article talks about real wages being up, but not up a lot.
That's still real wage growth and an increase in affordability.
Definitely agree with that, yeah.
Sure people fixate on outliers, but that's not a new phenomenon with humans, and by this logic you'd expect people to always be upset about inflation, because there's always outliers, but that's not the case.
It does not seem like material inflation is the actual driver here.
But the if the aggregate is much less than the increase of the price of item X, relatively few people must be in that "someone who buys X a lot" bucket. So it doesn't explain broad sentiment.
I mean Matt explained the context and it seems plausible that it’s a one-off because polymarket is doing a new embedding thing. We’ll see.
Yeah, as a long-time subscriber, I responded in the comments on the post that I'd much prefer to be his customer rather than advertisers.
I'm not happy about opening that door even a little, but I also don't think it's a "X is now sponsored" sort of situation. We'll see how it ends up I guess.
Maybe! If it becomes a longstanding thing, the OP's post will be true.
But I think they're being deliberately overbroad for now given a single on-topic embed in one post.
Of that post, yeah. But they're not like an ongoing sponsor, it was a single on-topic widget embed.
If I read "X sponsors Y" I assume it's an ongoing sponsorship.