Quinton Lawton, PhD's Avatar

Quinton Lawton, PhD

@quintonlawton.com

ASP Postdoctoral Fellow at NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, studying tropical waves and hurricanes. Meteorologist and T1D. Let’s talk weather!

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27.08.2023
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Latest posts by Quinton Lawton, PhD @quintonlawton.com

Haha that’s the spirt!!

20.02.2026 01:53 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 5

I did a lot of my dissertation writing in that office when we didn’t have visitors! Also happens to be the closest staircase to Wetlab…

19.02.2026 02:12 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Fantastic thread by @drkimwood.bsky.social that also mirrors my thoughts! I try to spend much of my outreach emphasizing the “category” can be misleading and isn’t the whole story, especially with rain and surge impacts.

29.10.2025 15:52 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

🚨 New Study Alert!

Our study with @zmoon92.bsky.social & @edougherty.bsky.social offers new insights into how
African Easterly Waves (AEWs), the seeds of Atlantic hurricanes 🌀, are being shaped by a warmer, moister climate.

doi.org/10.1029/2025...

03.10.2025 17:25 👍 4 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

Oh hey, that's our paper!

02.10.2025 19:05 👍 31 🔁 9 💬 0 📌 0
Texas A&M Atmospheric Sciences
Texas A&M Atmospheric Sciences YouTube video by TAMU Atmospheric Sciences

The Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences at Texas A&M has a YouTube channel. Check out our first video! Starring @knubez.bsky.social along with many faculty and students!

youtu.be/_e57SmX2Ijw?...

02.10.2025 01:18 👍 22 🔁 9 💬 1 📌 0

Just a reminder that NWS is considered essential during a government shutdown. Meteorologists will still go to work, forecasts will still be made, watches and warnings will be issued, data will flow. We won’t be paid until the shutdown ends, but we’ll still protect life and property as always.

01.10.2025 19:01 👍 347 🔁 102 💬 11 📌 4

It's not often we get a stratiform rain day like this! I'm quite enjoying it

23.09.2025 23:33 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Graphic for the Peer Review Week congratulating Rosimar Rios-Berrios, NSF NCAR, with a citation.

Graphic for the Peer Review Week congratulating Rosimar Rios-Berrios, NSF NCAR, with a citation.

Much appreciation for AMS Editor's Award recipient Rosimar Rios-Berrios for meticulous, thoughtful, constructive reviews 🤩

Learn more: bit.ly/48gR7vJ

#JAtmosSci #PeerReviewWeek

16.09.2025 19:06 👍 17 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Helene in Southern Appalachia One year later: An event analysis and how we move forward.

Incredibly proud of my colleagues at NOAA's NCEI that put together this thorough storymap of Hurricane Helene.
storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/8887...

16.09.2025 15:48 👍 39 🔁 17 💬 3 📌 0
Post image

🌍 The MMM lab at @ncar-ucar.bsky.social is running experimental realtime forecasts with a global 3.75-km MPAS model.

Goal: Highlight the power of global km-scale models for weather prediction from local to planetary scales, incl. tropical cyclones.

👉 project.mmm.ucar.edu/real-time-fo...

05.09.2025 15:30 👍 45 🔁 13 💬 2 📌 1
Preview
White House cuts to science funding threaten AI weather forecasting institute The Trump administration has proposed a 55% budget cut for the National Science Foundation, but Congress has yet to pass a budget.

More news on AI2ES. Please help save science funding in general but also help save AI for weather!

www.nbcnews.com/science/scie...

04.09.2025 21:22 👍 23 🔁 10 💬 1 📌 2

Likely, but not 100% sure yet!

31.08.2025 18:41 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Wow, congratulations!

27.08.2025 20:13 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Leaving negative comments isn’t really helpful. It takes zero effort to be kind and just scroll past. I choose to remain hopeful and love what I do, because the people that matter most are the ones I took an oath to serve - the American public.

25.08.2025 19:56 👍 38 🔁 2 💬 4 📌 1

Don’t remember much about JAX, but 100% agree about SLC being a great airport!

13.08.2025 21:10 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Funny, I was just looking at the Boulder forecast and wondering this. Feels really far out for a severe mention, but then again I’m a tropical guy…

11.08.2025 02:57 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Attention hurricane enthusiasts, connoisseurs, experts: the Atlantic season is entering the active months (Aug-Sep-Oct) so what better time to remind you of this Starter Pack so you can get reliable information and insights!
go.bsky.app/88mXQKD

01.08.2025 11:33 👍 112 🔁 54 💬 8 📌 1

Our research on the connection between African easterly waves (AEW) and ENSO was accepted! Using a wave tracker, we show that there is increased circulation, moisture, and convection around AEWs during La Niña, especially in the wave's mid- to low- levels near Africa. This may have TC implications.

30.07.2025 17:17 👍 14 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 0

I have nothing to add to the existing comments other than to say: welcome to MPAS world :)

30.07.2025 23:34 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I am especially proud of this work because of the contributions from Brooke Weiser, a former @miamirosenstiel.bsky.social undergraduate student who I had the honor of mentoring in research a few years ago. Our collaboration continued as I moved to @ncar-ucar.bsky.social and she started her career!

30.07.2025 17:17 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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This paper also reflects an update to our easterly wave tracker, which now has been updated to work in the eastern Pacific. We also have produced tracks for both ERA5 and MERRA2. A climatology is shown below. The software is available as a python module (via pip). github.com/qlawton/QTrack

30.07.2025 17:17 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

We believe these AEW changes are connected to shifts in regional circulation, including the African easterly jet and west African monsoon. While previous work has looked at ENSO and wave "activity", our use of a wave-tracker allowed us to directly quantify wave attributes and structure.

30.07.2025 17:17 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Our research on the connection between African easterly waves (AEW) and ENSO was accepted! Using a wave tracker, we show that there is increased circulation, moisture, and convection around AEWs during La Niña, especially in the wave's mid- to low- levels near Africa. This may have TC implications.

30.07.2025 17:17 👍 14 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 0

Breaking my bluesky silence to say: what was the thought process behind this 💀

04.06.2025 17:16 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
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As always, thanks for this. Just want to add that the NSF request document also has detailed info on proposed cuts to major facilities like NCAR (40% cut). nsf-gov-resources.nsf.gov/files/00-NSF...

31.05.2025 13:34 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Dr. Levi Cowan on X
@TropicalTidbits

"The GFS commonly develops fictitious storms in the western Caribbean.

Typically, these arise from the aggregation of multiple small-scale vorticity perturbations (left panel) caused by and collocated with strong bursts of convection/precip (right panel).

While the GFS is not always wrong about the existence of these localized convective bursts, they are often way too strong, leading to small areas of intense vorticity/spin that eventually aggregate upscale into a tropical cyclone circulation, as we can see here on today's 12Z model run.

This is why the GFS is difficult to take seriously when it predicts TC formation, unless other models show a similar forecast. This is especially true in the western Caribbean, where the GFS has an extremely high false alarm rate.

Know your weather model before you trust its output!"

7:53 PM Jun 10, 2023

Dr. Levi Cowan on X @TropicalTidbits "The GFS commonly develops fictitious storms in the western Caribbean. Typically, these arise from the aggregation of multiple small-scale vorticity perturbations (left panel) caused by and collocated with strong bursts of convection/precip (right panel). While the GFS is not always wrong about the existence of these localized convective bursts, they are often way too strong, leading to small areas of intense vorticity/spin that eventually aggregate upscale into a tropical cyclone circulation, as we can see here on today's 12Z model run. This is why the GFS is difficult to take seriously when it predicts TC formation, unless other models show a similar forecast. This is especially true in the western Caribbean, where the GFS has an extremely high false alarm rate. Know your weather model before you trust its output!" 7:53 PM Jun 10, 2023

A quick heads up on some tropical weather social media posts you may see around this time of year. The GFS (U.S.) model is known to over-intensify storms in the western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico in May and June. This means sometimes it will show a strong hurricane developing ~7+ days out,

1/

29.05.2025 14:48 👍 14 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
Redirecting to: https://www.youtube.com/@wclivestream/live

200+ scientists are in the middle of a marathon livestream to show why weather and climate science is so important and needs all our help to continue.

It is here: wclivestream.com/watch

28.05.2025 23:03 👍 4869 🔁 1352 💬 32 📌 62
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The first CGWaves research flight is scheduled for tonight! This is the plan, which could change a bit during the flight. @miamirosenstiel.bsky.social

21.05.2025 00:07 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0

Completely anecdotal, but my personal experience is that many local Miami realtors are astutely aware of this bubble. The scrupulous ones I knew were very open with their clients about climate/hurricane/flooding risk. But my guess is they were in the minority

12.05.2025 20:41 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0