spoke with @nymag.com about my biggest concerns about the war in iran, best — and worst — case scenarios, and trump’s relationship with bibi.
06.03.2026 20:55
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spoke with @nymag.com about my biggest concerns about the war in iran, best — and worst — case scenarios, and trump’s relationship with bibi.
timing was a bit off
always loved this book
trump says cuba is “gonna fall pretty soon.”
cuba feeling plenty of pressure, even as the white house stays consumed by iran. but there's no plan in place yet. give this a few months, minimum.
i don’t buy that claude is conscious. but i’m also skeptical about a lot of human beings.
trump not looking for any off-ramps in his iran war...
who's at risk of attack from iran? via @gzeromedia.com
unclear how president trump came to believe he should be personally involved in determining the next leader of iran.
we apparently missed this part of his 2024 campaign.
washington talking to iranian kurdish militias about a role against tehran...and iran is already hitting their hq in iraq. unlikely to be a game changer in the war (and many in white house are skeptical)
what do americans think is the number one problem in the country? the government.
gavin newsom talking about israel as an apartheid state highlights just how dramatically american public opinion on israel has changed in the last couple years.
polymarket has removed the market that allowed people to bet on the chances of nuclear detonation (what were they thinking?). you can still bet on the iranian regime falling though.
trump has backed away from regime change in iran.
so what’s the strategy?
if not tehran, then maybe the oil.
@gzeromedia.com
roughly 13 million barrels of oil passed through the strait of hormuz each day last year. here's where it goes.
satellite photos showing damage to saudi oil refinery after a drone attack
white house releases objectives for operation epic fury. regime change not (any longer) a specific goal
gulf states have been able to limit damage using air-defense interceptors, but they could run out of interceptors before iran runs out of drones and missiles.
congress debating trump’s iran war powers… after strikes already underway. as with previous administrations, odds congress actually takes responsibility for war powers are slim.
oil prices up nearly 10%. reflects markets thinking this won't go on for long...and limited iranian & proxy capabilities.
you have to hope president trump didn’t think iran would be as easy as venezuela. and yet.
the us and israel attacked iran. why now and what comes next? i break down the decision, the risks of escalation, and what to watch.
american and israel military escalation dominance is the most important geopolitical story in the middle east post-october 7.
no ability of iran or its proxies to counter strikes against them. and nobody willing or capable to support them outside the region.
assassination of iranian supreme leader is not regime change. we remain far from that, at least for now.
militarily, the americans can act with impunity.
globally, there’s no one remotely close.
the question isn’t whether they can strike.
it’s whether regime change from the air actually works.
@gzeromedia.com
new farage foreign policy dropping
cleanup on aisle vp
satellite image shows major damage to supreme leader ali khamenei's compound. unclear if he was there.
iran strikes map tells the story: tehran, karaj, qom, kermanshah, isfahan, shiraz, minab, urmia — all hit.
