The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2025 to 2035
By the NumbersThe Budget Outlook, by Fiscal YearNotesSee Appendix B.
Journalistic malpractice: constant complaints about the extra $3.3 trillion (over 10 years) from the new tax bill; failure to point out that deficits were _already_ going to total $21.1 trillion over the same interval. Reckless fiscal policies driving the US off a cliff.
www.cbo.gov/publication/...
04.07.2025 12:01
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Summertime β when there are actually seats available in the best campus reading rooms!
06.06.2025 18:03
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L'historien et Γ©diteur Pierre Nora, membre de l'AcadΓ©mie franΓ§aise, est mort lundi Γ l'Γ’ge de 93 ans, a annoncΓ© sa famille Γ l'AFP.
02.06.2025 19:24
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When your letterhead carries an amazing font, every letter commands attention. (Admittedly, the drawing is kind of cheesy.)
02.06.2025 11:46
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This week's new archive was the Archiv GrΓΌnes GedΓ€chtnis (Archive of Green Memory) in Berlin-Friedrichshain. They're only open a few days per week but they're very nice and have an enormous collection on the environmental movement, as one would expect!
24.05.2025 09:29
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Second archive last week: the Institute for Contemporary History in Munich (built 1972Β β was that peak brutalism?).
18.05.2025 20:43
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Iβm actually seeing a bit of Argentina stuff since itβs often alphabetically in the same folders as Brazil. Iβm in the 1970s today so Iβll try to get impressions where I can.
13.05.2025 04:00
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But since they performed the search I have no way of knowing if thereβs another cache of super-sensitive material theyβre deliberately holding back. I will say that they clearly didnβt go through what I ordered to remove files, given the timing of the correspondence.
13.05.2025 04:00
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Not too much postwar stuff is processed & open yet, but they are using the Nachlass of Hermann Abs as an entry point. And since he was at the heart of it all for several decades, thatβs not bad! Iβm working through two daysβ worth of Brazil material and itβs fairly good.
13.05.2025 04:00
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In Podgorica? (Frantically googling to pretend I got the reference, but no.)
12.05.2025 18:45
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Todayβs archive visit took me to the Deutsche Bank headquarters in Frankfurt. The mother ship of German capitalism called me home.
12.05.2025 18:39
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Sunday @ the St Louis Zoo
04.05.2025 20:54
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People in my book group raved about the audio version. Multiple voices _can_ be cheesy but in this case it apparently works brilliantly.
01.05.2025 13:11
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Hearty congrats to Stefano Palermo, who successfully defended his Purdue dissertation prospectus β "Business Europe: A History of the European Round Table of Industrialists." Shaping up to be a landmark study on πͺπΊ integration!
@rkpejsova.bsky.social
@drdaveatkinson.bsky.social
@palstef.bsky.social
11.03.2025 23:43
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Uppgifter: USA
hoppar av militΓ€r-
ΓΆvningar i Europa
USA har meddelat sina allierade att man tΓ€nker stoppa sitt deltagande i planeringen infΓΆr kommande militΓ€ra ΓΆvningar i Europa, erfar Expressen. Flera ΓΆvningar i Sverige kommer att berΓΆras av beslutet.
Expressen: US abandons planning of new military exercises in Europe
US has notified its allies that it intends to stop its participation in planning for upcoming military exercises in Europe. Already scheduled ones for 2025 are not (so far) affected
www.expressen.se/nyheter/varl...
07.03.2025 20:40
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These are passing thoughts from a historian of 20th-Century Europe. I have no idea how to organize institutional memory preservation at scale. What I can say from experience is that even academic history departments are not very good at passing along accumulated knowledge! 8 & final.
06.03.2025 15:44
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Corruption will make the challenge of restoration all the harder. MAGA loyalists will cynically abuse their power to enrich themselves and form mutual back-scratching networks. Outside interested parties will continue to offer bribes, given that such behavior is becoming normalized. 7/
06.03.2025 15:44
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In effect, what we're dealing with is a wave of refugees from a foreign-occupied capital. We need to know what they know, so that after DC has been "recaptured," there will be some way to return to accountable governance. 6/
06.03.2025 15:44
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One information nexus will be the government's on-staff historians (also fired?), though they may not have detailed knowledge of present operations. Privacy issues will arise in any recounting of paused investigations β and what to do with essential classified information? 5/
06.03.2025 15:44
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So it seems urgent to debrief the fired workers now. Hundreds, perhaps thousands. They will need time and resources β and emotional support! β to commit their agencies' procedures to paper. Who will sponsor them? Private foundations may need to "adopt" specific agencies. 4/
06.03.2025 15:44
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When the country's fever has broken β in four, eight, twelve years? β rebuilding such agencies will be a post-apocalyptic task. Nobody will be left who remembers how things used to work. Human and digital memories will have evaporated. Not enough of a paper trail any more. 3/
06.03.2025 15:44
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We have to assume that many of the most competent people staffing the federal government are already out the door, searching for new work; and that the new agency leaders of "guard rail" institutions like the DOJ, FBI, or SEC will actively prevent them from functioning. 2/
06.03.2025 15:44
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State capacity. Institutional memory. How can we preserve these things in the wake of mass firings and β perhaps even worse β several years of Trumpian cluelessness? Perhaps @historians.org is already at work on this, but anxiety over this woke me up last night. Some thoughts: 1/
06.03.2025 15:44
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#Caturday
01.03.2025 15:42
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Yes, but this is the kick that Europe needed. Now there's a threat on two fronts, so the case for a heightened (unified?) military posture is clear to most everyone. Rearmament can no longer be decried as getting caught up in America's wars; quite the contrary. Terrible for the US, good for Europe.
01.03.2025 15:29
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Okay, that seems more tenable!
17.02.2025 13:19
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Wow. These folks are off to a great start with an⦠obvious falsehood.
17.02.2025 13:07
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What is the message of the protest, I wonder? There are so many outrages being perpetrated that I worry any oppositional message will be muddled. βRule of lawβ is the core problem but that kind of rhetoric played poorly for the Harris campaign.
17.02.2025 11:37
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