Ailsa Henderson

Great news. Well done you!

SES scoop out
@scotvoting.bsky.social

Fractured Scottish poll bodes ill for Labour and Conservatives this May Scottish Labour trails in fourth on the regional list as the SNP lead on 34 and Reform UK hold second place, the final Scottish Election Study poll…

Scottish Labour trailing in fourth behind a resurgent Scottish Greens, according to new poll. Story by @hannahmargbrown.bsky.social www.heraldscotland.com/news/2589383...

Calls to mind Parizeau's rx to 1995 Quebec referendum defeat

So what does it mean to be properly English? There’s nothing wrong in anybody taking pride in being English, of course, but as Orwell said, there’s something very un-English in shouting about it.

Trafodir ymchwil @theunionsurvey.bsky.social gan @richardwynjones.bsky.social ac @ailsahenderson.bsky.social yn yr erthygl hon 👇 / This article discusses our research about Englishness from The Union Survey 👇
www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2...

Congratulations Chris!!
Clicking on that link is going to shake up the ads I now see

Having used same products for all mine, my sense is some are sleepers and some are screamers regardless of sleep routine, surroundings, etc.

The underlying study: "Experimental evidence of the effects of large language models versus web search on depth of learning" academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/ar...

"participants reported developing shallower knowledge from LLM summaries even when the results were augmented by...web links" vs. search

Budget Week Opens with Rising Public Skepticism Canadians remain split on Carney's ability to deliver results, while dissatisfaction with Ottawa ticks upward

"I am willing to accept slower economic growth in Canada if it means greater economic independence from the United States"

🟢 Agree: 70%
🔴 Disagree: 19%

Read it here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/budget-wee...

Shifting sands: Sources of voter volatility in the 2024 UK General Election in Scotland Abstract. In one sense, the 2024 UK General Election in Scotland provided a significant departure from what we have come to expect from elections in the af

Newly out from James Mitchell and me, explaining the 2024 UKGE in Scotland
@edinburghpir.bsky.social

academic.oup.com/pa/article-a...

Email me if you want access and can't get it via your institution

New SES methodology incoming. Flawless.

Was just drawing distinction with English single tier locals, London boroughs etc

Not a comment on speed, flavour of devolved govt formation!

Indeed. While often ignoring the devolved elections in May, which *will* lead to government formation

Both UK Lab and UK Cons making life difficult for their devolved parties by fighting the next UKGE 4 years early

You need breadcrumbs to navigate back out

Advice for the age

Latest ITV BarnCymru 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 poll confirms trend seen over last 6 months - neck and neck race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK for largest party, with Labour falling to even more distant third. Evidence growing of distinct realignment in Wales 🧵

158. AP-GfK, 2009: "If you had to choose, would you prefer to attend a wedding that served champagne and caviar, wine and chicken breasts, or beer and pigs in a blanket?"

153. Gallup/CNN/USA Today, 1998: "For the next question, assume that the Seinfeld characters were real people. Aside from how funny you think they are, would you generally consider them to be likeable people or annoying people?"

Well done James!

Calls to mind this beloved Quebec classic.

Wee Habs fan's mum navigates the English catalogue badly, gets him a Leafs sweater by mistake. Drama ensues

Can't imagine it quite working like that with mystery SPL options tho

Humanities and arts degrees disappearing in parts of UK Students from rural and disadvantaged areas disproportionally affected by subject cuts, British Academy warns

Humanities, arts and social sciences degrees are disappearing in many UK regions.

With more young people than ever studying close to home, course cuts are narrowing their choices at university.

@timeshighered.bsky.social covers our 'Cold Spots' report today. Read more at https://bit.ly/46e3wOy

No!!

Western Canadians Cooling On Separation While many believe they'd be better off on their own, support for leaving remains low

Those who say the Western provinces should join the United States:

🔴 MB: 6%
🔴 AB: 6%
🔴 BC: 4%
🔴 SK: 3%

Read it here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...

Department of Offense

Featuring @scotvoting.bsky.social data and our recent blog

You can read it, and other great SES analysis, here:
scottishelections.ac.uk/category/blog/

Lovely use of the phrase "constitutional Tetris" in explaining why lack of effective devolved (and local?) democracy in England enables Farage to stir up xenophobia

My own was mostly loop of Cartier to Riel, but esp 1759-1885. Could have wept when 1st yr uni history was New France to Confederation. Again.

Did get a break for causes ww1, Russian revolution at one pt in high school

Up here we get WW2 as a break from the endless cycle of Romans and wars of independence

A Less Resentful Federation? Findings from the 2025 Provincial Resentment Index - Centre of Excellence on the Canadian Federation The fourth edition of the Provincial Resentment Index shows that, on average, Canadians feel slightly less aggrieved about their province’s place in the federation than at any point since the index wa...

centre.irpp.org/research-stu...

Same is visible in SQA data (which admittedly is begging out for control vars like course choice)

Large gap at Nat5
Visible gap at Highers
Gone by Adv Highers - pity we don't use those for uni entrance as much

www.itv.com/news/2025-08...

Fraserburgh and Peterhead now 'strongest candidates in Scotland' for new rail links Campaigners say it’s more important than ever to reverse historic railway cuts in north Aberdeenshire - ahead of a major energy conference.

I grew up near the route of the old Aberdeen-Ellon-Fraserburgh railway - it would have made my life a lot easier.
Freight was still using the line after oil was struck, and towns mushroomed.
Maybe a pipe dream, but this would be great for the region.
www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/politics/...