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Daan van den Broek

@daanvandenbroek.com

Researcher @ Finnish Meteorological Institute Freelance Writer MSc in Atmospheric Sciences, University of Helsinki www.daanvandenbroek.com Main interests: Meteorology | Climate | Polar Regions | Nature | Energy Transition Opinions & views are my own

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Latest posts by Daan van den Broek @daanvandenbroek.com

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Office for the next 2 weeks - not bad!

Winter school at TvΓ€rminne zoological station. Learning about the marine and coastal environment and its interactions with the atmosphere.

03.03.2026 13:17 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

In any case, a memorable winter, for current climatological standards!

🧡(4/4)

bsky.app/profile/daan...

01.03.2026 14:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The streak of consecutive ice-days was also the largest since 2011, with an unfortunate break of the streak in mid January, when temperatures reached a few decimals above 0Β°C.

bsky.app/profile/daan...

🧡(3/4)

01.03.2026 14:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is in a large part due to the extremely warm December (the 7th warmest on record at +2.5Β°C).

January (-7.4Β°C) and February (-8.5Β°C) were more 'properly cold'.

February 'benefited' from an almost fully frozen Gulf of Finland.

The attached post shows the peak sea ice extent in late February.

01.03.2026 14:54 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
The average temperature in Helsinki this winter. The winter of 2025-2026 is highlighted in a red circle. The red line indicates the trend since the 1880's.

The average temperature in Helsinki this winter. The winter of 2025-2026 is highlighted in a red circle. The red line indicates the trend since the 1880's.

Winter '26 mean temperature: -4.4Β°C

The past winter (dec-feb) in Helsinki was the coldest since 2010-2011 (-7.2Β°C).

The coldest winter since I moved to Finland, but in historical terms, this winter was far from exceptional.

🧡(1/4)

01.03.2026 14:54 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

🀯

01.03.2026 11:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

When was this nation-wide record, well below -30C in January? 1987?

01.03.2026 09:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Daily average temperature in Finland in 2026, based on FMI ClimGrid data. The values have been consistently below normal, except for 5-day period in mid-January.

Daily average temperature in Finland in 2026, based on FMI ClimGrid data. The values have been consistently below normal, except for 5-day period in mid-January.

The Finnish area mean temperature has stayed below normal now for 33 straight days.

The weather has remained consistently cold during 2026, except for the brief 5-day period in mid-January.

24.02.2026 10:54 πŸ‘ 31 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Exactly, and only marginally so, I believe the maximum temperature was only +0.4C.

If it wasn’t for those two days, it would have been a truly remarkable streak.

27.02.2026 13:27 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Bye winter…

the disgusting melting phase has begun.

27.02.2026 07:54 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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What snow + a thick layer of freezing rain looks likeπŸ‘‡πŸΌ

Yesterday evening, just before it started thawing.

27.02.2026 07:52 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Longest streak of ice days (days with maximum temperature below 0Β°C) for each winter year at the Helsinki Kaisaniemi weather station.

Longest streak of ice days (days with maximum temperature below 0Β°C) for each winter year at the Helsinki Kaisaniemi weather station.

Today, after 37 days, the temperature will rise above 0Β°C again in Helsinki. πŸŒ‘οΈπŸ“ˆ

This is the longest continuous streak of frost since the winter of 2009-2010 (59 days).

26.02.2026 09:58 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2
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Went for a walk along and over the sea ice at Porkkalaniemi yesterday.

If it wasn’t for the forested coastline, it could’ve been the Arctic Ocean.

Wonderful day with the sun and blowing snow! β˜€οΈβ„οΈ

23.02.2026 09:01 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Walking on the Gulf of Finland last night.

21.02.2026 09:01 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

More about the extreme cold in the beginning of this year in the thread below πŸ‘‡

bsky.app/profile/daan...

20.02.2026 09:21 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Time series of average January temperature (Β°C) in Karesuando, Sweden, based on data from the Norwegian Meteorological Institute. 

Each point shows the mean temperature for January in a given year (1878–2026). The coldest January on record occurred in 1893 (βˆ’25.0 Β°C), highlighted with a red circle. The most recent January (2026) averaged βˆ’22.4 Β°C, also highlighted.

Time series of average January temperature (Β°C) in Karesuando, Sweden, based on data from the Norwegian Meteorological Institute. Each point shows the mean temperature for January in a given year (1878–2026). The coldest January on record occurred in 1893 (βˆ’25.0 Β°C), highlighted with a red circle. The most recent January (2026) averaged βˆ’22.4 Β°C, also highlighted.

In Karesuando πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ, January 2026 was the coldest since 1893!

The average January temperature was -22.4Β°C, well above the 1893 record (-25.0Β°C).

Once again goes to show the abnormally cold weather in northern Fennoscandia last month.

20.02.2026 09:18 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Two days narrowly above 0Β°C mid-January prevented an even more remarkable frost streak starting December 30th (49 days).

🧡(2/2)

17.02.2026 08:42 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Few would've guessed after such a mild December, but this winter in Helsinki is turning out to be quite a 'special one' under current climatological standards.

It has been freezing 'permanently' for 29 days.

🧡(1/2)

17.02.2026 08:42 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Currently (counting today), we're at 29 consecutive ice days at Helsinki Kaisaniemi.

Based on today's 00z runs, I suspect the streak might be broken early next week, likely giving us the longest such streak since 2011.

If it wasn't for those 2-3 days mid January...

17.02.2026 08:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

It certainly is! Stay tuned for the winter statistics at the end of this month πŸ˜‰

16.02.2026 08:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Another very cold morning in southern Finland.

14.02.2026 09:02 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Exactly 🎯

Climate β€œskeptics” (almost always also β€˜skeptical’ of EVs or any kind of renewables/sustainable development -β€œcoincidentally”) are never actually skeptical.

They’re either gullible, deceptive, or both - and unwilling to change preconceptions they hold bc of certain political beliefs.

08.02.2026 08:17 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
13-month graph of daily, weekly and monthly values, showing the seasonal swing on top of the upward trend.

13-month graph of daily, weekly and monthly values, showing the seasonal swing on top of the upward trend.

The January average of atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa was 428.6 ppm; that's 2.0 ppm higher than last year, fortunately not as fast a growth rate as we've often seen in recent years.

07.02.2026 21:36 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Also, climate β€˜skeptics’ continuously told me that electric vehicles don’t work in the cold…

Yet, we drove hundreds of kms throughout Lapland in these kind of temperatures, without a problem.

07.02.2026 20:49 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Nice to see the consistent temperature inversion driving from Muonio (at the foot of the hill) to Olos, on the hill, where we’re currently staying. πŸ€“

This evening: -26Β°C in Muonio, -19Β°C in Olos.

Horizontal distance, 4km. Elevation difference: ~140 m

07.02.2026 19:07 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Pohjoismainen raportti AMOC-kiertoliikkeen keikahduspisteen Tuoreeseen raporttiin on koostettu tieteellinen tieto Pohjois-Atlantin kiertoliikkeen (AMOC) mahdollisen romahduksen vaikutuksista Pohjoismaissa. Raportissa annetaan toimenpidesuosituksia alueen

Tuore raportti AMOC-kiertoliikkeen keikahduspisteen vaikutuksista kehottaa tehostamaan ilmastonmuutoksen hillitsemistΓ€, seurantaa ja varautumista.

Raporttiin on koostettu tieteellinen tieto AMOCin mahdollisen romahduksen vaikutuksista Pohjoismaissa.

www.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi/tiedote/6TWT...

05.02.2026 11:11 πŸ‘ 122 πŸ” 51 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 6
Preview
A Nordic Perspective on AMOC Tipping This report is the outcome of the Nordic Council of Minister’s sponsored workshop arranged in October 21-24, 2025 in Helsinki and Rovaniemi, Finland as part of Finland’s council presidency theme resil...

Pleased to have contributed as an author to this analysis of impacts and policy responses to a potential AMOC tipping point from a Nordic perspective!
pub.norden.org/temanord2026...

05.02.2026 11:30 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
A Nordic Perspective on AMOC Tipping This report is the outcome of the Nordic Council of Minister’s sponsored workshop arranged in October 21-24, 2025 in Helsinki and Rovaniemi, Finland as part of Finland’s council presidency theme resil...

Presented today.

The report β€œA Nordic Perspective on AMOC Tipping” reviews the current state of science on the impacts of potential Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse and provides recommendations for policy actions.

pub.norden.org/temanord2026...

05.02.2026 09:54 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

The report follows from the Nordic Tipping week, an AMOC workshop funded by the Nordic council of ministers.

(4/4)

bsky.app/profile/daan...

05.02.2026 10:31 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The report calls for:
βœ… faster emissions cuts
βœ… better monitoring & early warnings
βœ… preparedness planning, including planning for multiple possible futures

(3/4)

05.02.2026 10:30 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0