@climatecasino.net
Retired professor of mathematics and computer science, casino consultant, author of 4 books: 3 on casino games & 1 poetry book. Now I volunteer, walk a lot & feed local critters. Climate blog: climatecasino.net Casino blog: advancedadvantageplay.com
Your 'hope porn' quote for today:
"We just need to be people who want this planet to continue to be a safe, hospitable home for us all. And to share this message effectively, we need to bring our hearts to the table, not just our heads."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/saving-us-...
A Blue Ocean Event later this year? Make your fake bets here!
x.com/EliotJacobso...
Here's daily Arctic sea-ice volume, currently 2nd lowest (2017 was lower).
Among doomers, there are the NTHE doomers, and they are yet again predicting a blue ocean event later this year. The Climate Casino will offer 15-to-1 against in a wager coming soon on Twitter.
Stay tuned!
Since 3-year averages tend to be somewhere between climate and weather, here it is, the 3-year running mean for Arctic sea-ice volume.
Although volume is not currently at an all time low, the record was reached on Oct. 30, 2019, it is trending in that direction.
Stay tuned!
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
Average Arctic sea-ice thickness is at a *record low* for the date, if we are looking at either the 1-year or 3-year running average.
I'll post the volume graphics tomorrow, which are *not* at record lows.
The Climate 8-Ball says: No BOE for you!
A day of bounty! Monthly Arctic sea-ice data was just posted by PIOMAS.
Here is average Arctic ice thickness, through Feb. 28. Thickness is currently second lowest for the date, with only 2017 seeing lower average thickness than 2026.
Data:
psc.apl.uw.edu/wordpress/wp...
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
February CO2 data from Mauna Loa was just posted by NOAA, and the 3-year running average for the mean rate of atmospheric CO2 growth hit yet another new record high, now up to 8.15 ppm per 3 years.
And that dip in the early 1990's was Mt. Pinatubo.
Your 'moment of doom' for Mar. 5, 2026 ~ RIP tropical insects.
"Since insects fulfill central functions in ecosystems as pollinators, decomposers, and predators, there is a threat of far-reaching consequences for entire ecosystems."
phys.org/news/2026-03...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"If warming were to reach what was at that point considered a likely maximum—a figure that now looks too low—by the middle of this century, between 38 and 52 percent of the species would be fated to disappear."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/the-sixth-...
Your 'moment of doom' for Mar. 4, 2026 ~ Expecting worse than expected.
"the authors determined that 3.28 feet (1 meter) of global sea level rise could inundate 37% more land area than previously thought, impacting 77 million to 132 million people ..."
gizmodo.com/more-than-90...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
Kill, kill, kill, kill, kill, kill
This is the end
Beautiful friend
This is the end
My only friend, the end
www.youtube.com/watch?v=VScS...
This looks great. The 'World Adaptation Forum.'
I'll be going "virtually" -- anyone else going?
worldadaptationforum.org
Normalcy bias in action. Overall, folks think we are slightly less f&%ked today than we were a year ago...
For those on tenterhooks, yes, Arctic sea-ice extent is still below the record low maximum extent, set just last year.
Latest JAXA data
Mar. 2, 2026: 13,496,796 km²
Record low maximum
Mar. 21, 2025: 13,783,274 km²
Your 'moment of doom' for Mar. 3, 2026 ~ Meating the moment.
"Grasslands represent the world’s largest agricultural production system, making their decrease a critical concern for meat and dairy supplies..."
impakter.com/climate-chan...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"I see the bad moon a-risin'
I see trouble on the way
I see earthquakes and lightnin'
I see bad times today"
www.youtube.com/watch?v=w6iR...
Why we are f&%ked, reason #49.
A huge part of the Western U.S. saw not just a warm winter, but the hottest winter in 131 years of record keeping.
But it was the much smaller region of non-record cold in the East that made all the headlines.
Summer is coming.
Your 'moment of doom' for Mar. 2, 2026 ~ a greater sorrow.
"there is a risk of 2026 being the warmest year on record even without El Niño, due to the global warming trend"
phys.org/news/2026-03...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Unfortunately, the conversation about climate change has become unnecessarily polarized, not to mention clouded by conflicting information and confusing stories."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/how-to-avo...
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
February, 2026, finished as the 5th warmest February since 1940, at 1.50°C above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline, and likely the 5th warmest February in the last 120,000+ years.
Hot times ahead!
The younger generation would not exist to complain about the older generation but for the actions taken by the older generation in the 1970s -- I've been waiting for the younger generation to pick up their swords for about the last 40 years. Still waiting.
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Human-made aerosols are the likely offset of GHG warming. Such aerosol cooling is a Faustian bargain because payment in enhanced global warming will come due once we can no longer tolerate the air pollution."
academic.oup.com/oocc/article...
Your 'moment of doom' for Mar. 1, 2026 ~ Hansen's Faustian bargain.
"Our atmosphere is becoming more transparent, with fewer aerosols there are fewer clouds, so the solar radiation comes straight down to the ground much more easily."
www.forbes.com/sites/jamieh...
The median day for peak Arctic sea-ice extent is March 7th. Historically, the peak has happened as early as February 15th, while last year the peak was on March 21st.
Will we see a new record low maximum sea-ice extent this year?
What an interesting time to be alive, right?
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Fire has no heart, no soul, and no concern for the damager it does, or who it harms. Its focus is soley on sustaining itself and spreading as broadly as possible, wherever possible."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/fire-weath...
2043 is my over/under.
2nd lowest for the day, still lowest for the seasonal maximum.
Exciting times in the Arctic. The Arctic could begin its Spring melt any day now and Arctic sea-ice extent is still below the record low maximum, set just last year.
Will 2026 set a new record low maximum? Stay tuned! Same bat-time! Same bat-channel!
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"On the mornings that had once throbbed with the dawn chorus of robins, catbirds, doves, jays, wrens, and scores of other bird voices there was now no sound; only silence lay over the fields and woods and marsh."
www.thriftbooks.com/w/silent-spr...
Your 'moment of doom' for Feb. 27, 2026 ~ For the birds.
"However, the scientists discovered that the strongest predictor of accelerating population declines was not temperatures, but agricultural intensity."
news.mongabay.com/short-articl...