Annie Duke's Avatar

Annie Duke

@annieduke.com

Speaker/writer/student of decision science. New book #QUIT out now! Author of #ThinkinginBets & #HowToDecide. I used to play poker. Navigating uncertainty.

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12.11.2024
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Latest posts by Annie Duke @annieduke.com

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On 1/29 Eric Horvitz, Microsoft Chief Scientific Officer, Mike Miles, HoustonISD Superintendent, David Samuelson, Alliance for Decision Ed Executive Director, and I will discuss how Decision Education can connect classroom learning to real-world success. Join us!
bit.ly/TheHumanAdva...

07.01.2026 15:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Games help us understand life, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.socialโ€”the best games involve the two things that characterize life and provide the context for the decisions we makeโ€”skill, and luck:

buff.ly/yMQsF7u

11.08.2025 05:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Ever wish you could hack #DecisionMaking?
Expert @annieduke.com shares practical and powerful strategies for making better choices for a better life! Her @psychologytoday.com interview starts here: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #Thinking #SelfHelp #CognitiveScience #Success @AllDecisionEd

15.08.2025 04:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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After every decision we make, we have an opportunity to learn how we can reduce uncertainty when making future decisions.

Great insight by @annieduke.com in conversation with @jennygrankin.bsky.social:

buff.ly/m8HslTO

18.08.2025 05:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Itโ€™s VITAL we teach students ๐ŸŽ“ to make quality decisions.๐Ÿง  Learn more in this powerful @psychtoday.bsky.social interview ๐ŸŽ™๏ธwith scientist+pro @annieduke.com โ™ ๏ธ: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... ...& from her nonprofit @AllDecisionEd (loaded with resources & support)!
#TellEWA #EdChat

19.08.2025 19:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Persistence is not always a virtue.

A good heuristic: when you consider quitting is likely the point at which you should quit, @annieduke.com tells @jennygrankin.bsky.social:

buff.ly/Q43aQQ4

22.08.2025 05:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โ€œFor something as important as decision making, we spend remarkably little time teaching people how to do it.โ€

Matt Grawitchโ€™s latest post builds on @annieduke.comโ€™s framework, suggesting it embraces more explicitly real life emotion, complexity and change:

buff.ly/NJECv7R

02.09.2025 10:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Thinking about quitting? ๐Ÿค”Hold that thought ๐Ÿ’ญand check out this @psychologytoday.com interview,๐ŸŽ™๏ธ where the brilliant @annieduke.com โ™ฃ๏ธhelps you decide what to do about it: www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/much... #DecisionEd #IQuit #DecisionMaking @AllDecisionEd

05.09.2025 16:34 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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It may go against your intuition, but good decision making is not measured by its *outcome*โ€”itโ€™s a case of adopting a sound framework as a basis for the *process*, argues @annieduke.com: buff.ly/ciaElUt

07.09.2025 18:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Harris Calls Decision to Let Biden Run Again Reckless in New Memoir The former vice president defends Bidenโ€™s mental acuity but says the choice to run shouldnโ€™t have been โ€˜left to an individualโ€™s ego.โ€™

Classic example of "outcome bias," or what @annieduke.com calls "resulting." To avoid reckless decision processes, read my blog TEAMpubilchealth.substack.com .

www.wsj.com/politics/ele...

10.09.2025 15:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Thanks to the @forbes.com Expert Panel for including #ThinkingInBets in their article on "20 Resources To Hone Your Leadership Skills" as "a game-changer for decision making under uncertainty."

www.forbes.com/councils/for...

h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership

22.03.2025 15:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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For Anyone Following Netflixโ€™s Success: I just finished (& โค๏ธd) @reedhastings.bsky.socialโ€™s ๐Ÿ“•No Rules Rules (re. Netflix), where Chapter 6 is about thinking ๐Ÿง in terms of placing bets. A FANTASTIC๐Ÿคฉ book for learning such decision strategies is @annieduke.com's ๐Ÿ“•Thinking in Bets.๐Ÿ†โญ๏ธ #Netflix #GreatBooks

29.09.2025 20:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Beyond Luckโ€”Behavioral Science and the Art of Decision Making with Annie Duke The Angle podcast brings you sharp insights on the forces shaping financial markets. With dynamic perspectives from the T. Rowe Price global investing team and special guests, curious investors can ga...

I joined Justin Thomson of @troweprice.bsky.social on his podcast to discuss the science of decision-making and how it can be applied to #investing Listen to the latest episode of โ€œThe Angle from T. Rowe Price" today. โฌ‡๏ธ trowe.com/4nmtM0t

06.10.2025 21:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Enjoyed collaborating with @jennygrankin.bsky.social for @psychologytoday.com on how to help you make winning decisions. Hope you enjoy the 7-part series, too.

07.08.2025 18:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Annie Duke's AMA for Maven Course: Make Better Decisions Ask Me Anything! Event Timing: Thursday, April 3, 2025; 6:00 PM ET Event Address: A Zoom link will be sent to registrants Course Dates: April 28-May 15

Join me tonight on Zoom for an "ask me anything."

I'm so excited for my next live, 3-week cohort-based course on Making Better Decisions with Maven from April 28- May 15. If you have any Qs about the course-please come and ask!

Register here! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

03.04.2025 16:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Thanks to the @forbes.com Expert Panel for including #ThinkingInBets in their article on "20 Resources To Hone Your Leadership Skills" as "a game-changer for decision making under uncertainty."

www.forbes.com/councils/for...

h/t to @juliarafalbaer.bsky.social #leadership

22.03.2025 15:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Running for Change: Support Bay Cove Human Services Hi everyone.The last few years have been a long journey. While in prison I became a runner. When I found out last year that I had been denied a hearing by the Supreme Court and might have to go back t...

Sharing this cause for a good friend, today. Donate if you can!
www.givengain.com/project/char...

20.03.2025 17:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Opinion | Finally, something is puncturing conspiracy theories Researchers have long struggled to combat conspiracy theories. Artificial Intelligence offers hope.

Fascinating, from @annieduke.com

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

26.02.2025 18:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

One thing to learn from Thinking in Bets by @annieduke.com is how every product-related decision is a bet.

Building a feature, defining experiments, scoping MVP, you name it.

What follows, in the vast majority of cases, smaller bet will be smarter.

In other words: build less.

07.03.2025 13:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€œWhen we finally quit, we realize we should have done it long ago.โ€ ~ @annieduke.com

It always surprises me in how many contexts it stands true.

Pulling a plug on a new product idea? Check.
Finally, letting an underperformed go? Check.
Heck, my marriage... Check.

11.03.2025 11:34 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Critical Thinking skills are sorely lacking in the West.

Probabilistic resources:
alliancefordecisioneducation.org
@annieduke.com book "Quit"
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (David Spiegelhalter 2025)
Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions (Gerd Gigerenzer)

06.02.2025 00:28 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Did you know former pro poker player โ™ ๏ธ @annieduke.com has her PhD in #CognitivePsychology & writes about #DecisionScience? I'm so pumped to read her books! ๐Ÿคฉ๐Ÿ“š๐Ÿ”– www.today.com/video/annie-...

19.02.2025 23:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 10 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Author & Poker Champion Annie Duke winning bets: decision science in venture capital

Decision-making in venture capital is filled with cognitive traps.

I had a fascinating conversation with @aurenh.bsky.social about loss aversion, mental accounting, and knowing when to trust your gut.

Check out our full discussion on World of DaaS: www.worldofdaas.com/p/annie-duke

25.02.2025 18:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Opinion | Should you take the Musk buyout? Hereโ€™s a test. How to decide whether theย โ€œdeferred resignationโ€ offer makes sense for you.

"I am not in the business of telling people what to decide, but in helping people with how to decide," @annieduke.com writes.

"That is what I did this week when two government workers (independently) sought me out for help." wapo.st/4jJg0mW

03.02.2025 20:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Episode 035: Your Future Self Will Thank You with Bina Venkataraman Annie Duke speaks with journalist and author Bina Venkataraman about the barriers to making long-term decisions.

You donโ€™t want to miss my conversation with journalist & author Bina Venkatarama on this weekโ€™s episode of The Decision Education Podcast! We explore the difficulty of delaying gratification, the power of gamification, & more. Listen now!

alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

05.02.2025 17:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The highest compliment from someone who disagrees with you is not โ€œYou were right.โ€ Itโ€™s โ€œYou made me think.โ€

Good arguments help us recognize complexity where we once saw simplicity.

The ultimate purpose of debate is not to produce consensus. Itโ€™s to promote critical thinking.

29.01.2025 13:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 3123 ๐Ÿ” 765 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 89 ๐Ÿ“Œ 82
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Opinion | Should you take the Musk buyout? Hereโ€™s a test. How to decide whether theย โ€œdeferred resignationโ€ offer makes sense for you.

There are currently 2.3 million people working for the federal government who have until Feb. 6 to decide whether to take a โ€œdeferred resignationโ€ offer.

So, if you're one of them, should you take it Let's discuss. My latest in the @washingtonpost.com.
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...

04.02.2025 17:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Opinion | Should you accept a โ€˜deferred resignationโ€™ offer? Annie Duke takes your questions. This live chat with readers will begin at 2 p.m. ET on Feb. 4. Submit your questions.

Join me tomorrow at 2 p.m. ET for a live chat online with @washingtonpost.com.

Are you a federal worker considering whether to accept a "deferred resignation" offer? Join the chat and let's discuss. #WhenToQuit

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

04.02.2025 02:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Episode 034: The Systems That Shape Us with Seth Godin Annie Duke and Seth Godin, renowned author, entrepreneur, and marketing expert, explore the role of systems in shaping our choices.

I had a fabulous time talking to author and entrepreneur @sethgodin.bsky.social for the latest episode of The Decision Education Podcast. We covered how both social identities and systems shape our behaviorโ€”and ways we can reclaim our agency. Tune in! alliancefordecisioneducation.org/podcasts/epi...

22.01.2025 17:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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This is an excellent book that I really wish I'd been able to read 40 years ago.

Fantastically useful in all sorts of areas of life. Thank you
@annieduke.com

19.01.2025 16:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0